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Recurring
Politics
Trending
Frequency
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
1.07
x
93
%
Judy Shelton
15.64
x
6
%
$144,974,074 vol
23 markets
2028 Democratic nominee for President?
Gavin Newsom
3.08
x
31
%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.45
x
9
%
$46,106,613 vol
39 markets
Next U.S. Presidential Election Winner?
J.D. Vance
3.96
x
24
%
Gavin Newsom
4.73
x
20
%
$10,194,519 vol
23 markets
Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Before September 1, 2026
2.66
x
36
%
Before July 1, 2026
3.08
x
31
%
$17,460,603 vol
4 markets
NJ-11 special Democratic nominee?
Analilia Mejia
1.05
x
95
%
Tom Malinowski
18.75
x
5
%
$1,363,027 vol
12 markets
Portugal Presidential election winner?
António José Seguro
1.01
x
99
%
Henrique Gouveia e Melo
93.52
x
1
%
$1,398,307 vol
8 markets
How many seats will the LDP win in the Japanese snap election?
Above 310
1.01
x
99
%
Below 240
93.52
x
1
%
$190,995 vol
9 markets
2028 Republican nominee for President?
J.D. Vance
2.05
x
47
%
Marco Rubio
5.25
x
18
%
$13,874,216 vol
30 markets
Which party will win the U.S. House of Representatives?
Democratic Party
1.26
x
78
%
Republican Party
4.31
x
22
%
$4,664,786 vol
2 markets
World leaders out this year?
Ali Khamenei
1.90
x
51
%
Miguel Díaz-Canel
1.90
x
51
%
$4,615,616 vol
37 markets
Government shutdown on Valentine's Day?
Yes
1.67
x
58
%
No
2.29
x
42
%
$152,057 vol
1 market
Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
1.57
x
62
%
María Corina Machado
5.90
x
16
%
$3,557,126 vol
18 markets
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Before January 20, 2029
2.89
x
33
%
Before 2027
6.74
x
14
%
$5,677,328 vol
3 markets
Who will win the 2026 Thailand parliamentary election?
Bhumjaithai Party
1.05
x
95
%
People's Party
23.43
x
4
%
$136,442 vol
7 markets
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Karen Bass
2.09
x
46
%
Nithya Raman
2.52
x
38
%
$199,266 vol
9 markets
Texas Republican Senate nominee?
Ken Paxton
2.09
x
46
%
John Cornyn
2.89
x
33
%
$1,064,221 vol
5 markets
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
2.29
x
42
%
Before 2027
5.25
x
18
%
$2,934,956 vol
3 markets
Texas Democratic Senate nominee?
James Talarico
1.33
x
74
%
Jasmine Crockett
3.52
x
27
%
$1,461,820 vol
11 markets
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
Yes
1.02
x
98
%
No
46.79
x
2
%
$98,469 vol
1 market
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes
6.29
x
15
%
No
1.16
x
85
%
$1,472,038 vol
1 market
2nd place in the NJ-11 special election Democratic primary?
Tom Malinowski
1.06
x
94
%
Analilia Mejia
93.52
x
1
%
$155,229 vol
9 markets
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Before 2027
4.31
x
22
%
Before July
9.41
x
10
%
$4,991,232 vol
2 markets
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Apr 1, 2026
2.29
x
42
%
Before Jul 1, 2026
2.09
x
46
%
$94,257 vol
4 markets
California Governor winner? (Person)
Eric Swalwell
1.83
x
53
%
Matt Mahan
4.31
x
22
%
$2,257,112 vol
25 markets