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Foreign Elections

SCOTUS & courts

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

Kevin Warsh1.07x

Judy Shelton

Judy Shelton15.64x

$144,974,074 vol23 markets

2028 Democratic nominee for President?

Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom3.08x

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.45x

$46,106,613 vol39 markets

Next U.S. Presidential Election Winner?

J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance3.96x

Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom4.73x

$10,194,519 vol23 markets

Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?

Before September 1, 20262.66x

Before July 1, 20263.08x

$17,460,603 vol4 markets

NJ-11 special Democratic nominee?

Analilia Mejia1.05x

Tom Malinowski18.75x

$1,363,027 vol12 markets

Portugal Presidential election winner?

António José Seguro

António José Seguro1.01x

Henrique Gouveia e Melo

Henrique Gouveia e Melo93.52x

$1,398,307 vol8 markets

How many seats will the LDP win in the Japanese snap election?

Above 3101.01x

Below 24093.52x

$190,995 vol9 markets

2028 Republican nominee for President?

J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance2.05x

Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio5.25x

$13,874,216 vol30 markets

Which party will win the U.S. House of Representatives?

Democratic Party

Democratic Party1.26x

Republican Party

Republican Party4.31x

$4,664,786 vol2 markets

World leaders out this year?

Ali Khamenei

Ali Khamenei1.90x

Miguel Díaz-Canel

Miguel Díaz-Canel1.90x

$4,615,616 vol37 markets

Government shutdown on Valentine's Day?

Yes1.67x

No2.29x

$152,057 vol1 market

Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez

Delcy Rodríguez1.57x

María Corina Machado

María Corina Machado5.90x

$3,557,126 vol18 markets

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Before January 20, 20292.89x

Before 20276.74x

$5,677,328 vol3 markets

Who will win the 2026 Thailand parliamentary election?

Bhumjaithai Party1.05x

People's Party23.43x

$136,442 vol7 markets

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Karen Bass

Karen Bass2.09x

Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman2.52x

$199,266 vol9 markets

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

Ken Paxton

Ken Paxton2.09x

John Cornyn

John Cornyn2.89x

$1,064,221 vol5 markets

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Before January 21, 20292.29x

Before 20275.25x

$2,934,956 vol3 markets

Texas Democratic Senate nominee?

James Talarico

James Talarico1.33x

Jasmine Crockett

Jasmine Crockett3.52x

$1,461,820 vol11 markets

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Yes1.02x

No46.79x

$98,469 vol1 market

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes6.29x

No1.16x

$1,472,038 vol1 market

2nd place in the NJ-11 special election Democratic primary?

Tom Malinowski1.06x

Analilia Mejia93.52x

$155,229 vol9 markets

Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?

Before 20274.31x

Before July9.41x

$4,991,232 vol2 markets

Keir Starmer Out?

Before Apr 1, 20262.29x

Before Jul 1, 20262.09x

$94,257 vol4 markets

California Governor winner? (Person)

Eric Swalwell

Eric Swalwell1.83x

Matt Mahan

Matt Mahan4.31x

$2,257,112 vol25 markets