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Foreign Elections

SCOTUS & courts

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

Kevin Warsh1.07x

Judy Shelton

Judy Shelton15.64x

$145,438,794 vol23 markets

2028 Democratic nominee for President?

Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom3.08x

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.45x

$46,128,384 vol39 markets

Next U.S. Presidential Election Winner?

J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance3.80x

Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom4.51x

$10,208,819 vol23 markets

Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?

Before September 1, 20262.81x

Before July 1, 20263.08x

$17,494,621 vol4 markets

Portugal Presidential election winner?

António José Seguro

António José Seguro1.01x

Henrique Gouveia e Melo

Henrique Gouveia e Melo93.52x

$1,454,889 vol8 markets

NJ-11 special Democratic nominee?

Analilia Mejia1.03x

Tom Malinowski31.21x

$1,381,488 vol12 markets

How many seats will the LDP win in the Japanese snap election?

Above 3101.16x

Between 300 and 31093.52x

$213,371 vol9 markets

Which party will win the U.S. House of Representatives?

Democratic Party

Democratic Party1.26x

Republican Party

Republican Party4.31x

$4,668,743 vol2 markets

Government shutdown on Valentine's Day?

Yes1.67x

No2.29x

$163,105 vol1 market

World leaders out this year?

Ali Khamenei

Ali Khamenei1.83x

Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu2.09x

$4,617,961 vol37 markets

2028 Republican nominee for President?

J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance2.05x

Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio5.25x

$13,898,649 vol30 markets

Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez

Delcy Rodríguez1.57x

María Corina Machado

María Corina Machado5.90x

$3,560,570 vol18 markets

Who will win the 2026 Thailand parliamentary election?

Bhumjaithai Party1.01x

People's Party23.43x

$139,058 vol7 markets

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Before January 21, 20292.29x

Before 20274.73x

$2,938,438 vol3 markets

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

Ken Paxton

Ken Paxton2.09x

John Cornyn

John Cornyn2.98x

$1,065,106 vol5 markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes5.90x

No1.18x

$1,478,655 vol1 market

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Yes1.01x

No93.52x

$100,024 vol1 market

Texas Democratic Senate nominee?

James Talarico

James Talarico1.31x

Jasmine Crockett

Jasmine Crockett3.66x

$1,462,761 vol11 markets

Donald Trump out as President?

Before January 20, 20292.14x

Before 20282.73x

$2,277,823 vol3 markets

California Governor winner? (Person)

Eric Swalwell

Eric Swalwell1.79x

Matt Mahan

Matt Mahan3.80x

$2,259,516 vol25 markets

Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?

Before 20274.31x

Before July10.45x

$4,992,755 vol2 markets

2026: Trump's dream year?

Yes6.74x

No1.15x

$239,526 vol1 market

Keir Starmer Out?

Before Jul 1, 20262.09x

Before Apr 1, 20262.29x

$95,672 vol4 markets

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Before January 20, 20293.08x

Before 20277.85x

$5,680,992 vol3 markets