Here’s a look at key Kalshi prediction markets offering insights for the week ahead.

Please note: Election Day is just around the corner, and Plaid bank deposits can take 2-3 days to process. Deposit now to avoid delays and ensure you're prepared to trade on Tuesday, November 5.

^{This is an opinion, and is not financial advice. The author uses a pseudonym and cannot trade on Kalshi.}

Still trending Trump...

If you're holding Harris, and you were hoping that an offensive joke about Puerto Rico was going to do some damage to the Trump campaign, I’ve got some bad news for you. Nothing yet.

In fact, the former President’s odds of victory are at an all-time high of 66%. So anyone long on The Donald has to be feeling good.

Yes, Harris still has a path, and a 34% chance is nothing to sneeze at. But with just seven days left, our markets suggest the momentum favors Trump. We'll know for sure soon enough!

New election markets:

• When will the AP call the election?
• How many swing states will Trump win?
• Popular vote margin of victory in Florida?
• Which states will move to the right?
• Will there be a 269-269 electoral college tie?
• Will Harris flip a 2020 Trump state?
• Will Trump flip a Biden state?
• Will Harris win a solid red state?
• Will Trump win a deep blue state?
• Will Trump impose large tariffs (if he wins)?

Harris on Rogan: Do or dodge?

Last week, President Trump sat down for an interview with Joe Rogan. There was a time when a Presidential candidate wouldn’t sit down for an interview with a man who claims he spoke with God while on DMT. That time has long passed. 

In fact, we now live in a world where Presidential hopefuls will sit down and talk to professional wrestlers, so Joe ends up looking like the ghost of Walter Cronkite by comparison.

Rogan claims he is still in talks with the Harris campaign to set up an interview, but the two sides are having trouble agreeing on terms. With the election just one week away, traders think there’s only a 26% chance it will happen.

Tulsi Gabbard in Trump's cabinet?

The world’s worst kept political secret is now finally out in the open. No, not Lindsey Graham. Tulsi Gabbard!

At a recent Trump rally in North Carolina, Gabbard announced she is officially a registered Republican. I know it’s hard to believe that the former guest host of Tucker Carlson Tonight is voting red. Also, did you know Benjamin Netanyahu is Jewish?

The move comes as many are speculating that the former Democratic congresswoman turned conservative pundit may end up in Trump’s cabinet. Kalshi traders currently think her chances of being nominated are 48%.

Jamie Dimon in Kamala's closet?

According to the New York Times, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon is actually a closet Harris supporter, but is afraid to voice his support publicly due to fear of MAGA retribution. The Times also claims that Dimon is open to a cabinet position, should Harris win.

Kalshi traders currently think there’s only a 13% chance he’ll get the nom, which makes sense. If the story is true (and maybe it’s not—Dimon isn’t usually shy about his opinions), Harris probably won’t be too keen on picking a guy who lacks the spine to publicly support her.

Then again, maybe a man with no spine is exactly what she’s looking for in a cabinet pick. Speaking of men without spines…

A Ted Cruz takedown?

Meanwhile, the Harris campaign put GOP Senator Ted Cruz in its crosshairs by hosting a rally with Beyoncé in deep-red Texas. Harris has little chance of winning the state, but she’s trying to boost the chances of Congressman Colin Allred, who is trying to unseat Cruz.

Polls say the race is tight. But despite Harris’ effort, Kalshi traders don’t think Cruz should be too worried. They’re currently pricing his odds of victory near 80%.

Click here to check out all our Senate markets.

Follow Terry Oldreal on X: @realoldterry

^{The opinions and perspectives presented in this article belong solely to the author, who is using a pseudonym and cannot trade on Kalshi. This is not financial advice. Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.}