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Trending
Frequency
Fed decision in March?
Fed maintains rate
1.07
x
92
%
Cut 25bps
13.4
x
6
%
$10,224,169 vol
5 markets
How much government spending will Trump cut in 2025?
At least 1 billion
31.2
x
2
%
At least 1 trillion
93.5
x
1
%
$10,887,039 vol
9 markets
How much will core PCE increase in April?
Above 0.0%
1.10
x
62
%
Above 0.1%
--
1
%
$164,888 vol
5 markets
US GDP growth in Q4 2025?
Above 3.0%
1.60
x
61
%
Above 3.5%
2.46
x
38
%
$2,889,678 vol
16 markets
US gas prices this week
Above $2.929
1.97
x
49
%
Above $2.959
7.25
x
16
%
$96,885 vol
5 markets
GDP growth in 2025?
2.1 to 2.5
1.05
x
94
%
2.6 to 3.0
18.8
x
5
%
$2,428,869 vol
12 markets
Fed funds rate after March meeting?
Above 3.50%
1.06
x
92
%
Above 3.25%
1.02
x
97
%
$218,030 vol
11 markets
Gas prices in the US this month?
Above 2.95
2.05
x
46
%
Above 3.00
4.73
x
20
%
$288,099 vol
8 markets
Jobs numbers this month?
Above 60,000
1.79
x
55
%
Above 70,000
2.29
x
44
%
$71,465 vol
13 markets
Texas Senate matchup?
Talarico vs. Paxton
1.46
x
67
%
Crockett vs. Paxton
4.13
x
23
%
$140,322 vol
6 markets
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
D-House, R-Senate
2.05
x
47
%
D-House, D-Senate
2.46
x
39
%
$896,201 vol
4 markets
Inflation in February? (CPI YoY)
Above 2.4%
2.19
x
43
%
Above 2.3%
1.18
x
81
%
$55,421 vol
10 markets
CPI in February?
Above 0.2%
1.73
x
54
%
Above 0.3%
6.29
x
15
%
$33,457 vol
6 markets
Initial jobless claims for the week ending Feb 14, 2026
At least 225000
1.93
x
52
%
At least 230000
2.73
x
29
%
$17,489 vol
10 markets
When will the next US recession start?
Q1 2026
11.7
x
9
%
Q4 2025
15.6
x
5
%
$407,333 vol
6 markets
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 2 cuts
3.80
x
25
%
Exactly 3 cuts
3.80
x
25
%
$1,146,651 vol
21 markets
Recession this year?
Yes
4.31
x
21
%
No
1.25
x
79
%
$378,618 vol
1 market
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
Above 5%
2.66
x
36
%
Above 6%
4.73
x
19
%
$270,338 vol
10 markets
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
Yes
3.08
x
31
%
No
1.40
x
69
%
$124,353 vol
1 market
How much will the government increase spending in 2025?
At least $500 billion
4.51
x
15
%
At least $1 trillion
23.4
x
4
%
$582,691 vol
2 markets
Blue tsunami this year?
Yes
2.66
x
36
%
No
1.48
x
64
%
$71,974 vol
1 market
Unemployment in February
Above 4.3%
1.97
x
48
%
Above 4.2%
1.23
x
79
%
$25,786 vol
10 markets
US Nominal GDP in 2026
Above $30.2 trillion
1.76
x
60
%
Above $30.8 trillion
1.97
x
33
%
$5,827 vol
21 markets
Will Mamdani freeze the rent this year?
Yes
1.36
x
68
%
No
3.18
x
32
%
$63,321 vol
1 market