Fed decision in May?
No change
88%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cut 25bps
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$35,798,573
Gas prices in the US this month?
Above 3.20
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 3.15
80%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,439,234·Monthly
Inflation in April? (CPI YoY)
Above 2.3%
47%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 2.4%
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,579,311·Monthly
Fed funds rate in May?
Above 4.25%
89%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 4.00%
98%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$30,436,470
US GDP growth in Q1 2025?
Above 0.5%
57%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 1.0%
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,851,799
CPI in April?
Above 0.2%
46%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 0.1%
76%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,626,694·Monthly
CPI core in April?
Above 0.2%
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 0.3%
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,987,216·Monthly
Jobs numbers this month?
Above 150,000
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 200,000
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,419,834·Monthly
Number of rate cuts in 2025?
2 cuts
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––3 cuts
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,365,254·Annually
Core inflation in April? (Core CPI YoY)
Above 2.8
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 2.7
63%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,293,581·Monthly
How high will the inflation level get in 2025?
At least 4%
52%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 5%
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$244,848
Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
0 cuts
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––2 cuts
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$79,967
Who will be the top three wealthiest people in the world?
Mark Zuckerberg
81%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Larry Ellison
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$226,769
How low will gas prices in California get this year?
Below $4.25
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Below $4.00
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$29,920·Annually
Unemployment in May?
Above 4.2%
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 4.3%
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,577,144·Monthly
How many companies will go bankrupt this month?
Above 50
89%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 30
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$137,057·Monthly
Wealthiest person in the world this year?
Elon Musk
77%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Jeff Bezos
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$373,833·Annually
ADP employment change this month?
Above 150000
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 100000
67%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,574
Which countries will have a recession?
Germany
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Japan
57%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$28,061
GDP growth in 2025?
0.0 or below
41%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––1.1 to 1.5
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$256,342
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2027
33%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2026
12%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$361,269
How much will US debt increase this year?
More than 130% of GDP
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––More than 140% of GDP
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$40,929
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Elon Musk
45%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Bernard Arnault & family
5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,083
When will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels?
Before Dec 2025
44%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Sep 2025
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,762
How much solar capacity will be installed in the US this year?
At least 50 GWdc
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 60 GWdc
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
US semiconductor production growth this year?
Above 10%
69%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 7%
92%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$14,159·Annually
How much will core PCE increase in March 2025?
Above 0.0%
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 0.1%
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$187,057·Monthly
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?
At least 600
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 625
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,433
When will the next US recession start?
Q1 2025
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Q2 2025
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$69,198
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2026?
More than $500 billion
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$92,362
When will Elon Musk become a trillionaire?
Before 2030
48%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2029
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$15,972
ISM Manufacturing PMI this month?
At least 47
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 48
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,253
When will there be a half-trillionaire?
Before 2028
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2027
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$82,780
Core inflation in 2025?
2.6% to 3%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––3.1% to 3.5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$37,294·Daily
Costco raises hot dog combo price?
Before 2028
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2027
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$42,645·Daily
How many companies will go bankrupt this year?
Above 694
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 600
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$25,902·Daily
Inflation in 2025?
2.6% to 3%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––3.1% to 3.5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,800,902·Daily
How low will gas prices in Texas get this year?
Below $2.25
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Below $2.00
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$31,238·Daily
Rent price increase in SF this year?
Above 2%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 1%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$21,596·Daily
How low will the price of natural gas be this year?
$1.99 or below
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1.74 or below
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,101·Daily
How high will the price of natural gas be this year?
$4.01 or above
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3.01 or above
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$41,423·Daily
How many barrels per day oil will the US create this year?
At least 15000000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 16000000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Daily
How much will the Fed’s balance sheet shrink before 2026?
6.5 trillion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––6 trillion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$19,199·Daily
Argentina inflation this month?
Above 50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 75%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$128,487·Daily
