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What share of the vote will the AfD get in the German election?
20% to 24.9%
67%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
15% to 19.9%
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$170,259
How many votes will the next reconciliation bill get in the Senate?
52
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
53
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$13,540
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Călin Georgescu
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Nicusor Dan
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,026,317
What parties will win a seat in parliament in the 2025 German elections?
BSW
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
FDP
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$17,592
Will the Left get 5% of the vote in the German election?
90%
Yes
$100 →
$109
No
$100 →
$836
$33,466
When will Germany form a stable government?
Before May
65%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before April
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,486
What share of the vote will the CDU/CSU get in the German election?
30.1% or above
57%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
25% to 30%
44%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$50,103
What share of the vote will the SPD get in the German election?
15% to 19.9%
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
10% to 14.9%
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$32,118
Will the Greens win over 15% of the vote in the German election?
7%
Yes
$100 →
$1,020
No
$100 →
$105
$7,383
Will the CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens have 2/3 or more of seats after the 2025 German election?
37%
Yes
$100 →
$252
No
$100 →
$152
$7,111
Will there be a recall election for Gavin Newsom this year?
36%
Yes
$100 →
$271
No
$100 →
$142
$46,702
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Argentine elections?
La Libertad Avanza party
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Union for the Homeland party
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,078
Republican nominee for Lieutenant Governor in Virginia?
Pat Herrity
73%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
John Reid
32%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$16,696
How many votes will the next reconciliation bill get in the House?
220
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
218
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,337
Who will be 1st in the Romanian election first round?
Călin Georgescu
66%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
George Simion
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$16,382
Which party will win the next U.K. election?
The Reform party
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
The Labour party
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$6,651
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Nigel Farage
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Kemi Badenoch
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$11,836
Will there be a recall election for Karen Bass this year?
26%
Yes
$100 →
$381
No
$100 →
$117
$39,948
Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?
Marine Le Pen
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Édouard Philippe
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the Mayor election in Omaha?
Jean Stothert
46%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Mike McDonnell
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?
Byron Donalds
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Elise Stefanik
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$20,089
Who will be the Democratic VP nominee in 2028?
Gretchen Whitmer
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$14,079
Who will win the Virginia House of Delegates?
Democratic
77%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will a new UK election be called this year?
15%
Yes
$100 →
$695
No
$100 →
$110
$16,979
Who will win the NYC Public Advocate election?
Jumaane Williams
81%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Marty Dolan
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the 2025 Irish election?
Bertie Ahern
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Mairead McGuinness
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the Mayor election in Seattle?
Bruce Harrell
84%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Graham Gori
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the Mayor election in San Antonio?
Gina Ortiz Jones
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Rolando Pablos
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the Mayor election in Oakland?
Barbara Lee
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Loren Taylor
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,676
Who will win the Mayoral race in Miami?
Republican
81%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the Mayor election in Detroit?
Mary Sheffield
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Solomon Kinloch
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the Mayoral race in Charlotte?
Democratic
90%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the Mayor election in Boston?
Michelle Wu
82%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Josh Kraft
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$7,348
Who will win the Mayor election in Atlanta?
Andre Dickens
73%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Felicia Moore
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,669
Who will win the Mayor election in Albuquerque?
Tim Keller
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Manuel Gonzales III
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor in Virginia?
Levar Stoney
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Aaron Rouse
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$5,470
Who will win the Lieutenant Governor race in Virginia?
Democratic party
80%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
German Election: SPD and Greens win more seats than CDU/CSU?
23%
Yes
$100 →
$285
No
$100 →
$129
NEW
Who will win the NYC Comptroller election?
Mark Levine
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Justin Brannan
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$6,100
Will Trump impose capital controls?
Yes
$100 →
$316
No
$100 →
$123
NEW
Who will get the 2nd most votes in the Canadian election?
Liberals
72%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Conservatives
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$48,989
Who will win the Brazilian election?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Jair Bolsonaro
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will run for President of Brazil?
Jair Bolsonaro
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
85%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the Bolivian election?
Manfred Reyes Villa
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Jorge Quiroga
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the Attorney General race in Virginia?
Democratic party
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Canada?
Mark Carney
96%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Chrystia Freeland
1%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,660,276
How many votes will the "US-Taiwan Expedited Double-Tax Relief Act" receive in the House?
Yes
$100 →
$940
No
No offers
Who will win the New Jersey General Assembly?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the Mayor election in Fort Worth?
Lawrence Walker
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Josh Lucas
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will the Liberals fall below the NDP in Canadian election polling?
Before Apr 2025
4%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Mar 2025
1%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
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