Elections
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Closing
Cadence
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Canada?
Mark Carney
84%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Chrystia Freeland
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,225,895
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Călin Georgescu
45%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––George Simion
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$874,151
Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor in Virginia?
Levar Stoney
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Aaron Rouse
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,582
What share of the vote will the CDU/CSU get in the German election?
30.1% or above
61%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––25% to 30%
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$16,384
How many votes will the "HALT Fentanyl Act" receive in the House?
296 to 299
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––300 to 303
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,553
What share of the vote will the AfD get in the German election?
20% to 24.9%
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––15% to 19.9%
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$40,243
Who will be 1st in the Romanian election first round?
Călin Georgescu
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––George Simion
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,660
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Nigel Farage
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Kemi Badenoch
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,658
Who will win the Mayor election in Atlanta?
Andre Dickens
63%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Felicia Moore
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,309
Who will be the Democratic VP nominee in 2028?
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$10,950
Will any party overtake Labour in UK election polling?
Before Apr 2025
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Mar 2025
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Which party will win the next U.K. election?
The Conservative party
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––The Labour party
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,659
Republican nominee for Lieutenant Governor in Virginia?
Pat Herrity
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Rich Anderson
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,609
Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?
Byron Donalds
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Elise Stefanik
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$16,588
Who will win the Virginia House of Delegates?
Democratic
71%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
What share of the vote will the SPD get in the German election?
15% to 19.9%
68%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––10% to 14.9%
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the NYC Public Advocate election?
Jumaane Williams
84%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Angela Aquino
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the 2025 Irish election?
Bertie Ahern
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Mairead McGuinness
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the Mayor election in Seattle?
Bruce Harrell
84%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Graham Gori
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the Mayor election in San Antonio?
Gina Ortiz Jones
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Rolando Pablos
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the Mayor election in Omaha?
Jean Stothert
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––John Ewing
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the Mayoral race in Miami?
Republican
81%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the Mayor election in Detroit?
Mary Sheffield
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Joel Haashiim
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the Mayoral race in Charlotte?
Democratic
90%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the Mayor election in Boston?
Michelle Wu
82%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Josh Kraft
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,478
Who will win the Mayor election in Albuquerque?
Tim Keller
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Manuel Gonzales III
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the Lieutenant Governor race in Virginia?
Democratic party
80%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican party
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Will the Liberals fall below the NDP in Canadian election polling?
Before Apr 2025
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Mar 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Will the Greens win over 15% of the vote in the German election?
Yes
$100 → $290No
$100 → $131$2,685
Who will get 2nd in the German election?
AfD
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––CDU/CSU
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will be the Republican nominee for FL-6?
Randy Fine
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Aaron Baker
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will be the Republican nominee for FL-1?
Jimmy Patronis
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Aaron Dimmock
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the NYC Comptroller election?
Mark Levine
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Justin Brannan
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,936
Who will get the 2nd most votes in the Canadian election?
Liberals
77%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––New Democratic Party
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$33,315
Who will win the Brazilian election?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Jair Bolsonaro
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will run for President of Brazil?
Jair Bolsonaro
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
85%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the Bolivian election?
Manfred Reyes Villa
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Jorge Quiroga
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the Attorney General race in Virginia?
Democratic party
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican party
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Argentine elections?
La Libertad Avanza party
75%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Union for the Homeland party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
How many votes will the "US-Taiwan Expedited Double-Tax Relief Act" receive in the House?
Yes
$100 → $1,729No
No offers
Who will win the New Jersey General Assembly?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the Mayor election in Oakland?
Barbara Lee
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Isaac Kos-Read
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,672
Who will win the Mayor election in Fort Worth?
Lawrence Walker
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Josh Lucas
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will win the Greek presidential election?
Konstantinos Tasoulas
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Tasos Giannitsis
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will be the Democratic nominee for FL-6?
Ges Selmont
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Josh Weil
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Who will be the Democratic nominee for FL-1?
Gay Valimont
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Rebekah Jones
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––