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Trending
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Companies
Financials
Tech & Science
All markets
Congress
Foreign Elections
House
International
Iran
Local
Primaries
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
US Elections
Politics
Trending
Frequency
Congress
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 60 days
1.93
x
49
%
At least 55 days
1.65
x
55
%
$3,668,052 vol
13 markets
Congress
When will DHS be funded again?
Before Apr 1, 2026
1.60
x
61
%
Before Mar 20, 2026
2.89
x
31
%
$1,569,019 vol
3 markets
Congress
When will DHS receive full-year funding?
Before Apr 1, 2026
1.86
x
52
%
Before Mar 20, 2026
3.66
x
26
%
$898,937 vol
3 markets
Foreign Elections
Who will win the 2026 Nepal House of Representatives election?
RSP
--
99
%
Congress
93.5
x
1
%
$415,799 vol
8 markets
Iran
Will Iran effectively close the Strait of Hormuz for 7+ days?
Before May
1.06
x
93
%
Before 2027
1.06
x
94
%
$6,491,689 vol
3 markets
Primaries
How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary this year?
2
2.52
x
36
%
1
2.66
x
36
%
$143,721 vol
5 markets
Congress
Will the SAVE Act become law?
Yes
6.74
x
14
%
No
1.14
x
86
%
$1,839,946 vol
1 market
US Elections
2028 Republican nominee for President?
J.D. Vance
2.29
x
41
%
Marco Rubio
3.96
x
24
%
$18,040,379 vol
30 markets
US Elections
2028 Democratic nominee for President?
Gavin Newsom
3.52
x
25
%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4
x
9
%
$58,496,272 vol
39 markets
Primaries
Democratic Senate primaries combo
Yes
1.90
x
49
%
No
1.90
x
51
%
$48,390 vol
1 market
Tech & Science
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes
4.98
x
18
%
No
1.20
x
82
%
$11,266,234 vol
1 market
Foreign Elections
Baden-Württemberg state election winner?
Greens
1.01
x
98
%
AfD
93.5
x
1
%
$259,151 vol
3 markets
Primaries
Texas Republican Senate nominee?
John Cornyn
1.26
x
77
%
Ken Paxton
4.13
x
23
%
$9,531,023 vol
2 markets
International
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
2.40
x
40
%
Before 2027
6.74
x
14
%
$3,434,862 vol
3 markets
Trump
Donald Trump out as President?
Before January 20, 2029
2.09
x
45
%
Before 2028
2.81
x
33
%
$4,379,036 vol
5 markets
Elections
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance
4.51
x
21
%
Gavin Newsom
5.25
x
17
%
$16,707,572 vol
24 markets
US Elections
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
D-House, D-Senate
2.14
x
45
%
D-House, R-Senate
2.40
x
40
%
$1,593,853 vol
4 markets
Congress
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
3.40
x
28
%
Before May 1, 2026
11.7
x
8
%
$557,873 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Democratic Party
1.18
x
84
%
Republican Party
5.25
x
18
%
$6,502,943 vol
2 markets
Congress
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
1.06
x
93
%
Judy Shelton
23.4
x
3
%
$825,389 vol
4 markets
US Elections
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
51
4.73
x
20
%
Above 52
4.73
x
20
%
$312,734 vol
10 markets
Elections
Texas Senate Democratic primary turnout?
Above 2,500,000
93.5
x
1
%
Above 2,600,000
93.5
x
1
%
$3,821,617 vol
22 markets
Iran
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before 2027
2.19
x
44
%
Before August
3.18
x
28
%
$977,566 vol
3 markets
Politics
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
Yes
6.25
x
16
%
No
1.18
x
84
%
$954,087 vol
1 market