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US Elections
First 100 days
Bills
Trump Agenda
Culture war
Foreign Elections
Cabinet
SCOTUS & courts
Debt ceiling & shutdowns
Education
Immigration
Approval ratings
Trump Policies
Sort / Filter
Will Trump eliminate the Department of Education this year?
32%
Yes
$100 →
$305
No
$100 →
$139
$710,946
Will the South Korean President leave office?
Before Apr 2025
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$690,746
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Andrew Cuomo
71%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Zohran Mamdani
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$778,460
Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?
30%
Yes
$100 →
$305
No
$100 →
$138
$2,762,836
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Gavin Newsom
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Josh Shapiro
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,655,469
Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?
J.D. Vance
45%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Tulsi Gabbard
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,295,284
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
At least 1 billion
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
At least 25 billion
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,739,640
Next government of Canada?
Liberal majority
48%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Conservative majority
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$107,481
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
4
80%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
3
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$468,514
How many times will Elon Musk post on X this week?
400 to 449
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
450 to 499
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$665,553
·
Weekly
23h 58m 29s
Which party will win the House next year?
Democratic Party
76%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican Party
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,118,919
Will Trump reduce the national debt?
72%
Yes
$100 →
$134
No
$100 →
$335
$237,872
Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?
Liberal Party
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Conservative Party
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$341,849
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve this year?
53%
Yes
$100 →
$176
No
$100 →
$209
$1,143,589
Will Trump and Zelensky meet before April?
9%
Yes
$100 →
$947
No
$100 →
$107
$105,056
Who will join the Trump Administration?
Kari Lake
67%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Ben Carson
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,787,830
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
28%
Yes
$100 →
$324
No
$100 →
$136
$106,508
Who will Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
Steve Bannon
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Julian Assange
5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$4,857,533
What agencies will Trump and DOGE order to stop working this year?
Department of Education
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
FEMA
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$35,794
Will 'no tax on tips' become law this year?
66%
Yes
$100 →
$145
No
$100 →
$278
$302,655
How many seats will the Conservatives win in the Canadian election?
120 to 139
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
100 to 119
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$5,001
Who will win the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat?
Susan Crawford
79%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Brad Schimel
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$91,011
Which states will ban lab-grown meat?
Tennessee
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Arizona
4%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$56,580
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons Election?
Liberal party
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Conservative party
41%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$79,079
Government shutdown this year?
34%
Yes
$100 →
$268
No
$100 →
$148
$4,658,145
How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?
20% to 29.99%
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
10% to 19.99%
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$42,849
Which countries will Trump impose a travel ban on in the first 100 days?
Haiti
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Syria
74%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$230,882
The President's RCP approval rating tomorrow?
47.1 to 47.5
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
47.6 to 48.0
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,349,636
·
Weekly
22h 58m 29s
Will DOGE and Elon Musk claim there's missing gold at Fort Knox before May?
16%
Yes
$100 →
$598
No
$100 →
$114
$163,689
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Before the end of DOGE
46%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before 2026
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$552,381
How many POTUS posts on X the week ending tomorrow?
17 to 19
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
14 to 16
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$75,290
·
Weekly
23h 58m 29s
Who will win the Ecuadorian Election?
Luisa González
47%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Daniel Noboa
52%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$84,556
Harvard application numbers this year?
Below 48,608
46%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Below 51,308
81%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$152,281
How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025?
More than 250,000
65%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
More than 500,000
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$751,425
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
France
47%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
India
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$521,224
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Nicusor Dan
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
George Simion
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,372,615
What states will Trump sue over their trans sports policies?
Maine
51%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Minnesota
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,688
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy resign?
24%
Yes
$100 →
$387
No
$100 →
$123
$18,384
Will Trump try to reduce military spending this year?
15%
Yes
$100 →
$625
No
$100 →
$111
$37,521
When will a budget reconciliation bill become law?
Before September 2025
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before July 2025
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$20,372
What agency will top DOGE's Efficiency Leaderboard on Mar 31, 2025?
General Services Administration
72%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Environmental Protection Agency
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$43,567
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
USAID
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
IRS
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$47,740
What assets will Trump's crypto reserve acquire this year?
Bitcoin
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Ether
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,412
Will Chuck Schumer no longer be Senate Minority Leader this year?
21%
Yes
$100 →
$448
No
$100 →
$119
$1,456
Powell out as Chair this year?
19%
Yes
$100 →
$480
No
$100 →
$116
$70,484
Will Google be forced to break up?
34%
Yes
$100 →
$244
No
$100 →
$148
$119,529
Will existential AI risk be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room this year?
36%
Yes
$100 →
$221
No
$100 →
$151
$14,789
Will Trump say 'Scam Altman' before June?
10%
Yes
$100 →
$698
No
$100 →
$110
$35,144
How many deportations in Trump's first year?
At least 500,000
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
At least 750,000
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$441,256
Will the Supreme Court rule that banning gender-affirming surgery for kids is unconstitutional?
14%
Yes
$100 →
$611
No
$100 →
$106
$34,991
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first year?
66%
Yes
$100 →
$148
No
$100 →
$271
$418,165
Who will win the governorship in Virginia?
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$69,919
Will the US sanction Venezuela before April?
54%
Yes
$100 →
$187
No
$100 →
$139
NEW
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?
23%
Yes
$100 →
$373
No
$100 →
$127
$57,986
Will congestion pricing in NYC end this year?
31%
Yes
$100 →
$295
No
$100 →
$141
$92,221
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before May?
20%
Yes
$100 →
$299
No
$100 →
$124
NEW
Will development of the Keystone XL pipeline be revived this year?
31%
Yes
$100 →
$252
No
$100 →
$133
NEW
Will Eric Adams stop being a Democrat?
44%
Yes
$100 →
$215
No
$100 →
$148
$64,219
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Ohio?
Vivek Ramaswamy
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Dave Yost
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$95,049
Will Tom Homan visit Mexico before June?
23%
Yes
$100 →
$326
No
$100 →
$124
$3,392
What will RFK ban this year?
Aspartame
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Seed oils
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$133,409
Will Planned Parenthood be defunded this year?
46%
Yes
$100 →
$191
No
$100 →
$179
$17,225
Will RFK end the raw milk ban this year?
35%
Yes
$100 →
$227
No
$100 →
$144
$2,509
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
32%
Yes
$100 →
$287
No
$100 →
$143
$319,809
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
42%
Yes
$100 →
$218
No
$100 →
$167
$9,227
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
26%
Yes
$100 →
$346
No
$100 →
$132
$766,158
How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?
below 7.60
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
below 7.50
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$24,546
Who will win the Polish presidential election?
Rafał Trzaskowski
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Karol Nawrocki
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$30,199
Which party will win the most seats in the Portuguese general election?
Social Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Socialist Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for this year?
COVID-19
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
HPV
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$148,940
When will Brandon Judd be confirmed as Ambassador to Chile?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Which party will be second in the Portuguese general election?
Social Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Socialist Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will Trump release new UFO files this year?
56%
Yes
$100 →
$171
No
$100 →
$173
NEW
Will Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae exit government conservatorship this year?
34%
Yes
$100 →
$288
No
$100 →
$129
NEW
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Argentine elections?
La Libertad Avanza party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Union for the Homeland party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$4,112
Will Ontario cut off electricity to the United States before May?
14%
Yes
$100 →
$454
No
$100 →
$115
$4,345
How many Constitutional Court justices will vote to remove the South Korean President from office?
7
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
8
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?
101 to 1,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
1 to 100
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Which Senators will vote for Elise Stefanik?
Mark Warner
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Michael Bennet
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$35,144
How many Cabinet members will Trump fire this year?
0
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
1
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$36,668
When will Trump end his tariffs against Canada?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,379
Will the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act become law this year?
69%
Yes
$100 →
$130
No
$100 →
$306
$25,254
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
How many Senators vote to confirm Elise Stefanik as Ambassador to the UN?
70 or below
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
71 to 73
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$45,152
Will Trump cancel Biden's flu contract with Moderna before June?
64%
Yes
$100 →
$151
No
$100 →
$209
NEW
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
Before October
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before 2026
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$18,716
Who will Trump meet with this year?
Kim Jong-Un
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Mark Carney
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$196,211
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Kevin Hassett
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$4,578
Will Trump privatize the post office this year?
10%
Yes
$100 →
$674
No
$100 →
$109
$24,806
Who will win the governorship in New Jersey?
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$78,868
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before July?
Ocean State Tactical, LLC v. Rhode Island
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
L.M. v. Town of Middleborough
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will anyone publicly reject Kennedy Center Honors this year?
30%
Yes
$100 →
$305
No
$100 →
$124
NEW
Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?
South Africa
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Brazil
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$132,676
Congress defunds NPR this year?
20%
Yes
$100 →
$451
No
$100 →
$119
$23,025
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House Election?
Liberal/National Coalition party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Labor party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$61,009
Which party will win the House race for NY-21?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$6,711
Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume this year?
30%
Yes
$100 →
$239
No
$100 →
$139
NEW
How much will the government increase spending this year?
At least $100 billion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
At least $1 billion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$154,909
How high will be national debt be during the Trump Administration?
$45 trillion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$50 trillion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$24,322
Who will win the governorship in Texas?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU auto sector in his first 100 days?
65%
Yes
$100 →
$133
No
$100 →
$264
$33,879
Who will be Trump's FEMA Administrator?
Kevin Guthrie
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Garret Graves
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$16,229
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
14%
Yes
$100 →
$667
No
$100 →
$114
$53,802
Will credit card rates be capped this year?
19%
Yes
$100 →
$431
No
$100 →
$116
$17,952
Will Zelenskyy be removed by the Ukrainian parliament this year?
12%
Yes
$100 →
$689
No
$100 →
$110
$6,478
Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
32%
Yes
$100 →
$250
No
$100 →
$141
$162,442
Will any Israeli Cabinet member resign?
Before June
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before 2026
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$28,635
Will Paul Engelmayer be impeached this year?
6%
Yes
$100 →
$591
No
$100 →
$105
$7,806
Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits?
55%
Yes
$100 →
$170
No
$100 →
$172
$4,364
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election this year?
43%
Yes
$100 →
$205
No
$100 →
$170
$22,501
Will Elon create a new tax filing app this year?
18%
Yes
$100 →
$431
No
$100 →
$120
$3,337
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
Higher work requirement for SNAP recipients
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
SALT deduction cap lift
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$58,064
Will DeepSeek be banned in the US this year?
24%
Yes
$100 →
$376
No
$100 →
$117
$28,880
Will Trump sue AOC this year?
11%
Yes
$100 →
$583
No
$100 →
$110
$2,876
Who will recognize the new government of Syria before April?
Russia
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
United States
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$90,110
Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?
35%
Yes
$100 →
$267
No
$100 →
$131
NEW
Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Mikie Sherrill
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Steven Fulop
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$60,419
What agencies will have their budgets cut this year?
CFPB
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
SEC
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$43,510
Will daylight saving become permanent this year?
17%
Yes
$100 →
$492
No
$100 →
$119
$137,263
Who will win the Senate race in Texas?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$4,327,273
Republican nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Jack Ciattarelli
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Bill Spadea
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$41,256
Will federal employees be prohibited from editing Wikipedia this year?
15%
Yes
$100 →
$369
No
$100 →
$115
NEW
Will a federal court rule that Trump’s Schedule F order is unlawful this year?
25%
Yes
$100 →
$316
No
$100 →
$128
NEW
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
19%
Yes
$100 →
$459
No
$100 →
$110
NEW
Will PBS and NPR be defunded this year?
19%
Yes
$100 →
$419
No
$100 →
$120
$47,017
Will Congress ever override Trump's veto?
20%
Yes
$100 →
$447
No
$100 →
$111
NEW
Will the next government funding bill be a 'clean CR'?
5%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$10,045
Will Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain this year?
22%
Yes
$100 →
$402
No
$100 →
$124
$7,430
Will the US government stop recommending fluoride in water?
47%
Yes
$100 →
$184
No
$100 →
$182
$99,453
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect this year?
16%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$19,528
Who will win the 2025 Irish election?
Bertie Ahern
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Mairead McGuinness
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Trump v Selzer lawsuit be dismissed before July?
38%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$4,336
Will Trump create an "External Revenue" Service?
57%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$20,469
Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end this year?
72%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will Trump settle his lawsuit with CBS this year?
73%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,462
How high will AI models score on SWE-Bench this year?
At least 90%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
At least 80%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$14,103
Will Congress pass a law that gets rid of the penny?
40%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,232
What countries will Elon Musk visit this year?
India
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Mexico
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will a DOGE dividend be issued this year?
26%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?
Roy Cooper
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Wiley Nickel
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$13,848
Will Trump end Head Start this year?
35%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will Greenland vote for independence this year?
13%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$41,490
What states will create crypto reserves this year?
Texas
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Florida
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$29,545
How many Supreme Court justices will the next President confirm?
2
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
1
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$118,082
Will Congress pass a law increasing tariffs this year?
24%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$17,237
Will Susie Wiles still be Trump's Chief of Staff next year?
74%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$24,526
Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan?
Jocelyn Benson
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Chris Swanson
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$24,041
Federal crypto regulation this year?
66%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$38,823
Will the AP win their lawsuit against the White House?
37%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,675
Ivy Leagues lose federal funding this year?
23%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$14,237
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
65%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$27,279
When will Tilman Fertitta be confirmed as Ambassador to Italy?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
21%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$26,597
When will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill?
Before September 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before June 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$243,402
Will Trump sue MSNBC?
20%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
How many Senate ties will J.D. Vance break this year?
2
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
3
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$49,327
Democratic nominee for Governor in New York?
Kathy Hochul
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Ritchie Torres
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$31,557
Who will win the Chilean presidential election?
Evelyn Matthei
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
José Antonio Kast
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Trump expand the H1-B program?
55%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$80,413
Who will win the governorship in Vermont?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
What countries will Marco Rubio visit this year?
China
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Denmark
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$4,120
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$10,712
Will Trump end the electric vehicle tax credit?
80%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$7,844
Will Trump sue CNN?
24%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
How many federal agencies will DOGE cut?
More than 10
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
More than 20
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$20,526
Will New York state issue 'inflation checks' this year?
51%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,632
Who will win the Senate race in Kentucky?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$28,165
How many bills will Trump veto this year?
At least 1
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
At least 5
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$51,450
Will the CDC end its recommendation for any vaccine this year?
51%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$33,744
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?
Byron Donalds
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Casey DeSantis
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$27,913
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
14%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$44,397
Who will win the governorship in Pennsylvania?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,875
Who will win the Senate race in Virginia?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,843
Who will win the Senate race in Maine?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$9,315
Will Trump end the de minimis exception for all tariffs this year?
31%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,403
Will Congress ban DeepSeek on government devices?
78%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Who will be the next Australian Prime Minister?
Peter Dutton
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Anthony Albanese
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$23,917
AI regulation becomes federal law this year?
25%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$60,718
Who will win the governorship in Massachusetts?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Georgia?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year?
Republican Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,813,275
Who will win the Senate race in Georgia?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$18,167
When will Charles Kushner be confirmed as Ambassador to France?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?
42%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,976
The President's Silver Bulletin approval rating on Wednesday?
47.1% to 47.5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
46.6% to 47%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Republican nominee for Senate in Texas?
John Cornyn
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Ken Paxton
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$11,785
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
Before September 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before June 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$349,220
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Georgia?
Lucy McBath
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Keisha Lance Bottoms
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,927
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?
65%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
What will DOGE claim to have saved this year?
At least $500 billion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
At least $200 billion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$9,287
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
12%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$19,919
Who will win the Senate race in South Carolina?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$5,673
Who will win the Senate race in Ohio?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$22,803
Who will win the Senate race in New Mexico?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,579
Who will win the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$12,928
Who will win the Senate race in Nebraska?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,438,755
Who will win the Senate race in North Carolina?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,875
Who will win the Senate race in Montana?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$818,224
Who will win the Senate race in Minnesota?
Democratic (DFL) party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$4,207
Who will win the Senate race in Michigan?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,240,582
Who will win the Senate race in Kansas?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the Senate race in Iowa?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$10,791
Who will win the Senate race in Florida?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$6,459
Who will win the Senate race in Alaska?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$17,943
Who will win the House, Senate, and Presidency?
D-House, R-Senate, D-President
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
D-House, R-Senate, R-President
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$28,451,889
Will Trump try to leave the WTO this year?
35%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$9,050
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
World Trade Organization
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
World Bank Group
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,805
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room this year?
17%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,112
Who will vote for the next government funding bill in the Senate?
Chuck Schumer
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
John Fetterman
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Who will vote for the next government funding bill in the House?
Jared Golden
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Thomas Massie
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the House?
Thomas Massie
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Jared Golden
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will there be a successful vote of no confidence in France before July?
59%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,384
Will RFK end any vaccine approvals this year?
45%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$21,459
US test scores in Reading next year?
Significant decrease
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Significant increase
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$20,129
US test scores in Math next year?
Significant decrease
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Significant increase
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$19,911
Will Trump win his lawsuit against New York for its sanctuary cities laws?
39%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,171
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA this year?
18%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Trump win his lawsuit against Illinois for its sanctuary cities laws?
34%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?
57%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,005
When will Brian Burch be confirmed as Ambassador to the Vatican?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Lynda Blanchard be confirmed as Ambassador to UN Food and Agriculture?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Warren Stephens be confirmed as Ambassador to the UK?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Tom Barrack be confirmed as Ambassador to Turkey?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Callista Gingrich be confirmed as Ambassador to Switzerland?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Christine Toretti be confirmed as Ambassador to Sweden?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Thomas O. Rose be confirmed as Ambassador to Poland?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Leandro Rizzuto Jr. be confirmed as Ambassador to the OAS?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,050
When will Matthew Whitaker be confirmed as Ambassador to NATO?
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Apr 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Ronald D. Johnson be confirmed as Ambassador to Mexico?
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Mike Huckabee be confirmed as Ambassador to Israel?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Kimberly Guilfoyle be confirmed as Ambassador to Greece?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will David Perdue be confirmed as Ambassador to China?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Pete Hoekstra be confirmed as Ambassador to Canada?
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Bill White be confirmed as Ambassador to Belgium?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Herschel Walker be confirmed as Ambassador to Bahamas?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
33%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will the UK Prime Minister leave office this year?
22%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$26,385
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?
23%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,305
Will Trump resign before his term is up?
16%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$18,437
Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
19%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Congress banned from trading stocks this year?
9%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$132,940
Will TikTok leave the app store again before December?
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will any country tariff Tesla products this year?
65%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$6,741
Will Trump extend his tax cuts on the highest-earners this year?
87%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$20,436
What countries will Trump tariff this year?
Taiwan
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Denmark
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$102,149
Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria this year?
25%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,411
Who will be elected Superintendent of Schools in Wisconsin?
Jill Underly
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Brittany Kinser
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$7,655
What will be the 51st state?
Any part of Canada
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Puerto Rico
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$20,138
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
14%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$8,866
Will delays in social security payments be reported this year?
61%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$5,396
Will Sriram Krishnan be out of the White House this year?
35%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026?
20%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$46,835
When will D. John Sauer be confirmed as Solicitor General?
Before Apr 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,756
Will a US Senator visit Syria before July?
18%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$5,091
Will John Thune no longer be Senate Majority Leader this year?
12%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,721
Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Julián Castro
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Ronald Gutierrez
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican nominee for Senate in Ohio?
Jon Husted
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Vivek Ramaswamy
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$16,438
Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?
Sherrod Brown
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Tim Ryan
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,346
Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Chris Sununu
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Scott Brown
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$9,400
Republican nominee for Senate in North Carolina?
Thomas Tillis
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Lara Trump
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$11,902
Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Jared Golden
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Janet Mills
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Brian Kemp
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Buddy Carter
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$15,745
Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?
Ashley Moody
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Ron DeSantis
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$68,741
Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
Jared Moskowitz
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Charlie Crist
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Section 230 weakened this year?
32%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$10,878
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Amul Thapar
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Aileen Cannon
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$403,615
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Samuel Alito
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Clarence Thomas
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$6,329
New Supreme Court justice confirmed this year?
27%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$293,047
Scottish referendum called before 2027?
18%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,248
Will the "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) become law?
23%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,162
Will the SALT tax deduction cap be raised or eliminated?
80%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$71,863
How much will the SALT tax cap deduction be raised to this year?
$30,000 or above
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$20,000 or above
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$15,058
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
20%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$33,524
Will Congress approve a budget rescission request by Trump this year?
47%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$7,968
Will Trump ask for a budget rescission from Congress this year?
78%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$16,845
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
49%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,969
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
21%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,188
How many votes will the next reconciliation bill get in the Senate?
52
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
53
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$14,284
How many votes will the next reconciliation bill get in the House?
219
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
218
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$4,109
How many reconciliation bills will pass this year?
1
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
2
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$17,081
Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?
24%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
When will Monica Crowley be confirmed as Chief of Protocol at the State Department?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Which party will win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$24,240
Will Lula leave office this year?
12%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,726
Will Trump adjourn the Senate this year?
15%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$6,488
Will Jeff Bezos sell the Washington Post this year?
15%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,782
Will permitting reform happen this year?
72%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Perkins Coie win their lawsuit against Trump?
79%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?
25%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will anyone in Congress change parties this year?
34%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$22,918
Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation?
13%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,606
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
12%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,758
When will Sean Cairncross be confirmed as National Cyber Director (ONCD)?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
NPR CEO leaves this year?
34%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$20,108
Who will be the next Norwegian Prime Minister?
Jonas Gahr Støre
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Sylvi Listhaug
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Norwegian election?
Labour party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Progress party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,104
Will NordStream 2 open this year?
11%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$7,939
Non-compete ban overturned?
21%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$7,533
Will the Stop Terror-Financing and Tax Penalties on American Hostages Act become law this year?
37%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$6,239
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Nigel Farage
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Kemi Badenoch
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$14,852
Who will be the next Speaker of the House?
Hakeem Jeffries
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Jim Jordan
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,431
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
35%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,105
Will the Dutch Prime Minister leave office this year?
22%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
12%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,436
Federal minimum wage raised this year?
7%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$40,949
Will Seattle have a Michelin star restaurant this year?
23%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Boston have a Michelin star restaurant this year?
7%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Trump get rid of Medicare drug negotiation this year?
27%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$10,994
Which party will win the 2025 NYC Mayor race?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$23,333
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago this year?
Sam Altman
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Mohammed bin Salman
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$120,526
Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Scott Bessent
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,790
Which of these Latin America leaders will leave office next?
Gabriel Boric
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Dina Boluarte
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$4,511
Will the Kids Online Safety Act become law this year?
40%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved this year?
39%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$9,912
Will the Judges Act become law this year?
30%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,787
Will Trump eliminate cabotage restriction?
4%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
24%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Trump get rid of Biden's cap on insulin prices this year?
23%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$12,008
Will Trump cut income taxes for the highest earners this year?
25%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$55,089
Will President Trump be impeached again?
44%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$58,793
Will Trump undo any of Biden's GPU export controls?
36%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$5,145
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
Tom Tiffany
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Eric Hovde
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,001
Republican nominee for Governor in Virginia?
Winsome Sears
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Amanda Chase
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$13,445
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?
John James
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Tudor Dixon
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$4,941
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Kansas?
Scott Schwab
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Jeff Colyer
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kansas?
David Toland
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Cindy Holscher
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Georgia?
Chris Carr
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Burt Jones
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?
Karrin Taylor Robson
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Andy Biggs
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$10,456
Which states will enact gas stove bans this year?
Connecticut
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Maine
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will the Supreme Court allow 'ghost gun' regulation?
87%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$5,806
Who will the FTC launch new antitrust lawsuits against?
Microsoft
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Nvidia
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$9,316
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement?
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Charles Kushner be confirmed as Ambassador to France?
86%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,619
Will Trump end the FDIC this year?
6%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$5,075
Will the Supreme Court stop the ban on flavored vapes?
48%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$44,074
Filibuster weakened this year?
19%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$54,787
Will E-Verify be expanded this year?
30%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will a new country join the eurozone this year?
11%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Sanchez leave office this year?
25%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will taxes on university endowments go up this year?
66%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,411
Will DOGE sell the FBI headquarters?
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will Trump cut dividend taxes this year?
14%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$5,057
Which companies will reincorporate outside of Delaware this year?
Amazon
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Alphabet
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,281
Will the deficit be smaller this year than in 2024?
36%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$18,783
Will Germany weaken or end its debt brake this year?
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will Ed Martin be confirmed as DC US Attorney?
75%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$7,853
Child Tax Credit expanded this year?
37%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$34,206
Will Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto this year?
10%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$6,144
US credit rating downgrade this year?
41%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$54,883
Will the MTA win its congestion pricing lawsuit against Trump?
79%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?
18%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,006
When will Rodney Scott be confirmed as U.S. Customs & Border Protection?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will Trump ban lab-grown meat?
13%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$19,828
Will Brandon Johnson no longer be Mayor of Chicago this year?
12%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,361
UK Chancellor out this year?
37%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,159
Will Trump end the CFPB this year?
31%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$12,006
Will a bill closing the carried interest loophole become law this year?
10%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
19%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$33,580
Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?
56%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Howard Lutnick
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Linda McMahon
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$31,354
When will Bitcoin have its next halving?
Before Apr 2028
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jun 2028
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Border bill passes Senate this year?
24%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$81,215
Will the courts block any part of any of Trump's tariffs this year?
42%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$5,705
Will Nancy Mace's bathroom ban in the House happen this year?
34%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$6,254
Will Trump balance the budget?
13%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$16,123
Who will be Trump's ATF Director?
Blake Masters
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Brandon Herrera
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$91,818
Which of these Asia-Pacific leaders will leave office next?
Yoon Suk Yeol
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Anthony Albanese
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,527
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
49%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$19,076
Will Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
21%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,910
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Albanian election?
Socialist party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$6,533
What government agencies will have layoffs this year?
Department of Veterans Affairs
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Department of Justice
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Bola Tinubu
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Félix Tshisekedi
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,008
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Advocate Christ Medical Center in Advocate Christ Medical Center v. Becerra?
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Jared Isaacman be confirmed as Administrator of NASA?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
When will Mehmet Oz be confirmed as Administrator of CMS?
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029?
22%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$27,191
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?
14%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$16,194
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
25%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$20,325
Will Trump create a $250 bill with his face on it?
10%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
NEW
Who will win the governorship in Wisconsin?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Rhode Island?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Oregon?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Oklahoma?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Ohio?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,513
Who will win the governorship in New York?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,011
Who will win the governorship in Nevada?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in New Mexico?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Minnesota?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,741
Who will win the governorship in Michigan?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Maine?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Maryland?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Kansas?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Iowa?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Hawaii?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Florida?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Colorado?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in California?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,729
Who will win the governorship in Arizona?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Who will win the governorship in Arkansas?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Will a Canadian election be called before April?
97%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Eric Adams out as NYC Mayor before April 2025?
5%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will the House vote to let Trump have a 3rd term?
1%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will South Korea's Acting President be impeached before June?
28%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
US controls part of Greenland, Canada, and Panama Canal this year?
4%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will visit the White House before April?
Dana White
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Mohammed Bin Salman
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will Trump issue a cryptocurrency executive order this week?
6%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will the New York Court of Appeals rule in favor of allowing noncitizens to vote in municipal elections?
3%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Which party will win the House race for Florida's 1st Congressional District?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
How long will the next government shutdown be before July 2?
Above 0 days
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Above 7 days
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will be Trump's OSTP Director?
Michael Kratsios
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Kelvin Droegemeier
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Which party will win the special House election for Florida's 6th Congressional District?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will Trump end income tax for people earning under $150k?
10%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will Trump and Congress cut any foreign aid this year?
92%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Next government of Germany?
Grand Coalition (CDU/CSU and SPD)
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
CDU/CSU and AfD
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
When will NJ Transit workers go on strike?
Before Apr 1, 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before Mar 23, 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will Trump take action on voter IDs in his first 100 days?
7%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will Trump use recess appointments to fill any Cabinet position?
3%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
When will Elise Stefanik be confirmed as Ambassador to the UN?
Before Apr 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will be the Portuguese Prime Minister after their election?
Luís Montenegro
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Pedro Nuno Santos
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will the debt ceiling be abolished this year?
3%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will Trump be banned from entering Canada this year?
3%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will Elon ask government employees what they did last week again before April?
4%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
New asylum cases this month?
Above 500
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Above 1000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will Georgescu be banned from the Romanian election?
97%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Wyoming?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in West Virginia?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Tennessee?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in South Dakota?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Rhode Island?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Oregon?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Oklahoma?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in New Jersey?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Mississippi?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Massachusetts?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Illinois?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Idaho?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Delaware?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Colorado?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Arkansas?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Alabama?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Zyn banned in the US this year?
4%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will a tax on unrealized capital gains become law this year?
4%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the Senate?
Chuck Schumer
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
John Fetterman
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will Elbridge Colby be confirmed as Under Secretary of Defense for Policy?
92%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will a new UK election be called this year?
10%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Who will be Trump's Ambassador to Turkey?
Tom Barrack
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Eric Adams
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Which Trump Cabinet nominee will get the most votes?
Marco Rubio
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Michael Kratsios
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?
3%
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
Will Trump launch tariffs on copper?
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$0
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