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Trending

Politics

SportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTech & Science
All markets
Congress
Foreign Elections
House
International
Iran
Local
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SCOTUS & courts
Trump
US Elections

Politics

Congress

How long will the government shutdown last?

At least 60 days
1.93x
At least 55 days
1.65x
$3,668,052 vol13 markets
Congress

When will DHS be funded again?

Before Apr 1, 2026
1.60x
Before Mar 20, 2026
2.89x
$1,569,019 vol3 markets
Congress

When will DHS receive full-year funding?

Before Apr 1, 2026
1.86x
Before Mar 20, 2026
3.66x
$898,937 vol3 markets
Foreign Elections

Who will win the 2026 Nepal House of Representatives election?

RSP
--
Congress
93.5x
$415,799 vol8 markets
Iran

Will Iran effectively close the Strait of Hormuz for 7+ days?

Before May
1.06x
Before 2027
1.06x
$6,491,689 vol3 markets
Primaries

How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary this year?

2
2.52x
1
2.66x
$143,721 vol5 markets
Congress

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes
6.74x
No
1.14x
$1,839,946 vol1 market
US Elections

2028 Republican nominee for President?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
2.29x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
3.96x
$18,040,379 vol30 markets
US Elections

2028 Democratic nominee for President?

Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
3.52x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4x
$58,496,272 vol39 markets
Primaries

Democratic Senate primaries combo

Yes
1.90x
No
1.90x
$48,390 vol1 market
Tech & Science

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes
4.98x
No
1.20x
$11,266,234 vol1 market
Foreign Elections

Baden-Württemberg state election winner?

Greens
1.01x
AfD
93.5x
$259,151 vol3 markets
Primaries

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

John Cornyn
John Cornyn
1.26x
Ken Paxton
Ken Paxton
4.13x
$9,531,023 vol2 markets
International

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Before January 21, 2029
2.40x
Before 2027
6.74x
$3,434,862 vol3 markets
Trump

Donald Trump out as President?

Before January 20, 2029
2.09x
Before 2028
2.81x
$4,379,036 vol5 markets
Elections

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
4.51x
Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
5.25x
$16,707,572 vol24 markets
US Elections

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

D-House, D-Senate
D-House, D-Senate
2.14x
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
2.40x
$1,593,853 vol4 markets
Congress

Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?

Before Jan 1, 2027
3.40x
Before May 1, 2026
11.7x
$557,873 vol2 markets
US Elections

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.18x
Republican Party
Republican Party
5.25x
$6,502,943 vol2 markets
Congress

Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?

Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh
1.06x
Judy Shelton
Judy Shelton
23.4x
$825,389 vol4 markets
US Elections

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

51
4.73x
Above 52
4.73x
$312,734 vol10 markets
Elections

Texas Senate Democratic primary turnout?

Above 2,500,000
93.5x
Above 2,600,000
93.5x
$3,821,617 vol22 markets
Iran

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before 2027
2.19x
Before August
3.18x
$977,566 vol3 markets
Politics

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

Yes
6.25x
No
1.18x
$954,087 vol1 market