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Cadence
What will Trump say in his speech about the State of the Union on March 4th?
Greenland
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Drill Baby Drill
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$2,086,989
Which Senators will vote for Kash Patel?
Mitch McConnell
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Lisa Murkowski
90%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,808,918
How many times will Elon post on X this week?
500 to 549
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
600 to 649
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$82,890
·
Weekly
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
At least 50 billion
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
At least 25 billion
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,311,836
Who will Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
Steve Bannon
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Edward Snowden
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$4,306,961
How many Cabinet members will Trump get confirmed before March?
15
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
16
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,301,444
How many deportations in Trump's first year?
At least 500,000
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
At least 750,000
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$317,809
Next government of Germany?
Grand Coalition (CDU/CSU and SPD)
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Kenya Coalition (CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens)
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$52,029
Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?
J.D. Vance
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Tulsi Gabbard
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,072,394
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Călin Georgescu
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Nicusor Dan
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$991,670
How many Senators will vote for Kash Patel as Director of the FBI?
52
81%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
53
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$713,205
Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?
45%
Yes
$100 →
$205
No
$100 →
$175
$595,190
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Andrew Cuomo
68%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Eric Adams
6%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$321,161
Eric Adams out as NYC Mayor before April 2025?
18%
Yes
$100 →
$375
No
$100 →
$120
$522,651
What will Trump say in his interview with Sean Hannity?
Department of Education
49%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
AI/Artificial Intelligence
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$12,051
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Gavin Newsom
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Josh Shapiro
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$1,090,357
Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
53%
Yes
$100 →
$179
No
$100 →
$184
$112,931
Who will visit the White House before April?
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
32%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Dana White
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$195,573
What countries will Trump tariff this year?
Taiwan
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Colombia
63%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$63,719
What will Karoline Leavitt say during her briefing on Feb 12, 2025?
Cryptocurrency / Crypto / Bitcoin
90%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
China
1%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$221,580
How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025?
More than 250,000
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
More than 500,000
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$541,967
Which party will win the House next year?
Democratic Party
72%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Republican Party
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,080,423
Will 'no tax on tips' become law this year?
74%
Yes
$100 →
$129
No
$100 →
$339
$241,408
Who will join the Trump Administration?
Kari Lake
44%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Avi Berkowitz
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$3,350,741
Will Trump take action on voter IDs in his first 100 days?
39%
Yes
$100 →
$227
No
$100 →
$158
$113,824
Will Eric Adams stop being a Democrat?
39%
Yes
$100 →
$211
No
$100 →
$156
$41,550
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
South Africa
49%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
China
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$239,727
Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for this year?
COVID-19
62%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
HPV
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$82,857
How many Senators vote to confirm Elise Stefanik as Ambassador to the UN?
70 or below
72%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
71 to 73
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$39,647
Will Trump create an "External Revenue" Service?
59%
Yes
$100 →
$161
No
$100 →
$206
$10,871
Will Georgescu be banned from the Romanian election?
27%
Yes
$100 →
$340
No
$100 →
$134
$13,187
How many Senators vote to confirm Linda McMahon as Education Secretary?
53 to 54
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
52 or below
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$57,530
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve this year?
53%
Yes
$100 →
$182
No
$100 →
$201
$583,725
How many times will Trump (@POTUS) post on X this week?
32 or above
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
29 to 31
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$8,674
·
Weekly
Will a Canadian election be called before April?
68%
Yes
$100 →
$144
No
$100 →
$273
$127,970
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Ohio?
Vivek Ramaswamy
68%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Dave Yost
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$39,866
Who will win the Senate race in Georgia?
Republican party
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Democratic party
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$15,008
Will Trump pass a new border law?
Before April 2025
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Before January 2026
90%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$587,165
Will Trump end the Department of Education?
56%
Yes
$100 →
$173
No
$100 →
$177
$377,700
Government shutdown this year?
56%
Yes
$100 →
$168
No
$100 →
$213
$4,314,429
Will Google be forced to break up?
36%
Yes
$100 →
$259
No
$100 →
$142
$94,939
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
30%
Yes
$100 →
$307
No
$100 →
$140
$691,203
Who will Trump meet with this year?
Kim Jong-Un
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Justin Trudeau
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$147,728
How many bills will President Trump sign this month?
0 to 1
85%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
2 to 3
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$14,587
Will Paul Engelmayer be impeached this year?
12%
Yes
$100 →
$672
No
$100 →
$110
$1,794
How many trips to Mar-a-Lago will Trump make as President this month?
4
49%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
3
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$219,833
Will the Supreme Court stop the ban on flavored vapes?
46%
Yes
$100 →
$201
No
$100 →
$167
$36,976
Will PBS and NPR be defunded this year?
37%
Yes
$100 →
$253
No
$100 →
$152
$33,559
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
50%
Yes
$100 →
$197
No
$100 →
$167
$15,053
Will the South Korean President leave office?
Before Apr 2025
77%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$241,991
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