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Will the South Korean President leave office?
Will the South Korean President leave office?
Before Apr 2025
30%
Yes
/
No
$690,746
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Andrew Cuomo
71%
Yes
/
No
Zohran Mamdani
11%
Yes
/
No
$778,460
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Gavin Newsom
17%
Yes
/
No
Josh Shapiro
11%
Yes
/
No
$1,655,469
Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?
Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?
J.D. Vance
45%
Yes
/
No
Tulsi Gabbard
10%
Yes
/
No
$1,295,284
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
At least 1 billion
38%
Yes
/
No
At least 25 billion
34%
Yes
/
No
$2,739,640
Next government of Canada?
Next government of Canada?
Liberal majority
48%
Yes
/
No
Conservative majority
17%
Yes
/
No
$107,481
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
4
80%
Yes
/
No
3
15%
Yes
/
No
$468,514
How many times will Elon Musk post on X this week?
How many times will Elon Musk post on X this week?
400 to 449
39%
Yes
/
No
450 to 499
24%
Yes
/
No
$665,553·Weekly
23h 58m 29s
Which party will win the House next year?
Which party will win the House next year?
Democratic Party
76%
Yes
/
No
Republican Party
24%
Yes
/
No
$3,118,919
Will Trump reduce the national debt?
Will Trump reduce the national debt?
72%
Yes
$100 → $134
No
$100 → $335
$237,872
Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?
Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?
Liberal Party
59%
Yes
/
No
Conservative Party
42%
Yes
/
No
$341,849
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve this year?
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve this year?
53%
Yes
$100 → $176
No
$100 → $209
$1,143,589
Will Trump and Zelensky meet before April?
Will Trump and Zelensky meet before April?
9%
Yes
$100 → $947
No
$100 → $107
$105,056
Who will join the Trump Administration?
Who will join the Trump Administration?
Kari Lake
67%
Yes
/
No
Ben Carson
18%
Yes
/
No
$3,787,830
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
28%
Yes
$100 → $324
No
$100 → $136
$106,508
Who will Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
Who will Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
Steve Bannon
8%
Yes
/
No
Julian Assange
5%
Yes
/
No
$4,857,533
What agencies will Trump and DOGE order to stop working this year?
What agencies will Trump and DOGE order to stop working this year?
Department of Education
70%
Yes
/
No
FEMA
34%
Yes
/
No
$35,794
Will 'no tax on tips' become law this year?
Will 'no tax on tips' become law this year?
66%
Yes
$100 → $145
No
$100 → $278
$302,655
How many seats will the Conservatives win in the Canadian election?
How many seats will the Conservatives win in the Canadian election?
120 to 139
Yes
/
No
100 to 119
16%
Yes
/
No
$5,001
Who will win the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat?
Who will win the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat?
Susan Crawford
79%
Yes
/
No
Brad Schimel
21%
Yes
/
No
$91,011
Which states will ban lab-grown meat?
Which states will ban lab-grown meat?
Tennessee
15%
Yes
/
No
Arizona
4%
Yes
/
No
$56,580
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons Election?
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons Election?
Liberal party
58%
Yes
/
No
Conservative party
41%
Yes
/
No
$79,079
Government shutdown this year?
Government shutdown this year?
34%
Yes
$100 → $268
No
$100 → $148
$4,658,145
How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?
How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?
20% to 29.99%
27%
Yes
/
No
10% to 19.99%
40%
Yes
/
No
$42,849
Which countries will Trump impose a travel ban on in the first 100 days?
Which countries will Trump impose a travel ban on in the first 100 days?
Haiti
37%
Yes
/
No
Syria
74%
Yes
/
No
$230,882
The President's RCP approval rating tomorrow?
The President's RCP approval rating tomorrow?
47.1 to 47.5
37%
Yes
/
No
47.6 to 48.0
34%
Yes
/
No
$2,349,636·Weekly
22h 58m 29s
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Before the end of DOGE
46%
Yes
/
No
Before 2026
34%
Yes
/
No
$552,381
How many POTUS posts on X the week ending tomorrow?
How many POTUS posts on X the week ending tomorrow?
17 to 19
20%
Yes
/
No
14 to 16
11%
Yes
/
No
$75,290·Weekly
23h 58m 29s
Who will win the Ecuadorian Election?
Who will win the Ecuadorian Election?
Luisa González
47%
Yes
/
No
Daniel Noboa
52%
Yes
/
No
$84,556
Harvard application numbers this year?
Harvard application numbers this year?
Below 48,608
46%
Yes
/
No
Below 51,308
81%
Yes
/
No
$152,281
How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025?
How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025?
More than 250,000
65%
Yes
/
No
More than 500,000
23%
Yes
/
No
$751,425
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
France
47%
Yes
/
No
India
59%
Yes
/
No
$521,224
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Nicusor Dan
43%
Yes
/
No
George Simion
29%
Yes
/
No
$1,372,615
What states will Trump sue over their trans sports policies?
What states will Trump sue over their trans sports policies?
Maine
51%
Yes
/
No
Minnesota
42%
Yes
/
No
$2,688
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy resign?
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy resign?
24%
Yes
$100 → $387
No
$100 → $123
$18,384
Will Trump try to reduce military spending this year?
Will Trump try to reduce military spending this year?
15%
Yes
$100 → $625
No
$100 → $111
$37,521
When will a budget reconciliation bill become law?
When will a budget reconciliation bill become law?
Before September 2025
53%
Yes
/
No
Before July 2025
30%
Yes
/
No
$20,372
What agency will top DOGE's Efficiency Leaderboard on Mar 31, 2025?
What agency will top DOGE's Efficiency Leaderboard on Mar 31, 2025?
General Services Administration
72%
Yes
/
No
Environmental Protection Agency
9%
Yes
/
No
$43,567
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
USAID
40%
Yes
/
No
IRS
27%
Yes
/
No
$47,740
What assets will Trump's crypto reserve acquire this year?
What assets will Trump's crypto reserve acquire this year?
Bitcoin
43%
Yes
/
No
Ether
Yes
/
No
$1,412
Powell out as Chair this year?
Powell out as Chair this year?
19%
Yes
$100 → $480
No
$100 → $116
$70,484
Will Google be forced to break up?
Will Google be forced to break up?
34%
Yes
$100 → $244
No
$100 → $148
$119,529
Will Trump say 'Scam Altman' before June?
Will Trump say 'Scam Altman' before June?
10%
Yes
$100 → $698
No
$100 → $110
$35,144
How many deportations in Trump's first year?
How many deportations in Trump's first year?
At least 500,000
35%
Yes
/
No
At least 750,000
24%
Yes
/
No
$441,256
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first year?
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first year?
66%
Yes
$100 → $148
No
$100 → $271
$418,165
Who will win the governorship in Virginia?
Who will win the governorship in Virginia?
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
$69,919
Will the US sanction Venezuela before April?
Will the US sanction Venezuela before April?
54%
Yes
$100 → $187
No
$100 → $139
NEW
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?
23%
Yes
$100 → $373
No
$100 → $127
$57,986
Will congestion pricing in NYC end this year?
Will congestion pricing in NYC end this year?
31%
Yes
$100 → $295
No
$100 → $141
$92,221
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before May?
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before May?
20%
Yes
$100 → $299
No
$100 → $124
NEW
Will Eric Adams stop being a Democrat?
Will Eric Adams stop being a Democrat?
44%
Yes
$100 → $215
No
$100 → $148
$64,219
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Ohio?
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Ohio?
Vivek Ramaswamy
Yes
/
No
Dave Yost
Yes
/
No
$95,049
Will Tom Homan visit Mexico before June?
Will Tom Homan visit Mexico before June?
23%
Yes
$100 → $326
No
$100 → $124
$3,392
What will RFK ban this year?
What will RFK ban this year?
Aspartame
Yes
/
No
Seed oils
Yes
/
No
$133,409
Will Planned Parenthood be defunded this year?
Will Planned Parenthood be defunded this year?
46%
Yes
$100 → $191
No
$100 → $179
$17,225
Will RFK end the raw milk ban this year?
Will RFK end the raw milk ban this year?
35%
Yes
$100 → $227
No
$100 → $144
$2,509
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
32%
Yes
$100 → $287
No
$100 → $143
$319,809
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
42%
Yes
$100 → $218
No
$100 → $167
$9,227
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
26%
Yes
$100 → $346
No
$100 → $132
$766,158
How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?
How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?
below 7.60
Yes
/
No
below 7.50
Yes
/
No
$24,546
Who will win the Polish presidential election?
Who will win the Polish presidential election?
Rafał Trzaskowski
Yes
/
No
Karol Nawrocki
Yes
/
No
$30,199
Which party will win the most seats in the Portuguese general election?
Which party will win the most seats in the Portuguese general election?
Social Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Socialist Party
Yes
/
No
NEW
Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for this year?
Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for this year?
COVID-19
Yes
/
No
HPV
Yes
/
No
$148,940
When will Brandon Judd be confirmed as Ambassador to Chile?
When will Brandon Judd be confirmed as Ambassador to Chile?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
Which party will be second in the Portuguese general election?
Which party will be second in the Portuguese general election?
Social Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Socialist Party
Yes
/
No
NEW
Will Trump release new UFO files this year?
Will Trump release new UFO files this year?
56%
Yes
$100 → $171
No
$100 → $173
NEW
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Argentine elections?
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Argentine elections?
La Libertad Avanza party
Yes
/
No
Union for the Homeland party
Yes
/
No
$4,112
How many Constitutional Court justices will vote to remove the South Korean President from office?
How many Constitutional Court justices will vote to remove the South Korean President from office?
7
Yes
/
No
8
Yes
/
No
NEW
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?
101 to 1,000
Yes
/
No
1 to 100
Yes
/
No
NEW
Which Senators will vote for Elise Stefanik?
Which Senators will vote for Elise Stefanik?
Mark Warner
Yes
/
No
Michael Bennet
Yes
/
No
$35,144
How many Cabinet members will Trump fire this year?
How many Cabinet members will Trump fire this year?
0
Yes
/
No
1
Yes
/
No
$36,668
When will Trump end his tariffs against Canada?
When will Trump end his tariffs against Canada?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
$1,379
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
How many Senators vote to confirm Elise Stefanik as Ambassador to the UN?
How many Senators vote to confirm Elise Stefanik as Ambassador to the UN?
70 or below
Yes
/
No
71 to 73
Yes
/
No
$45,152
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
Before October
Yes
/
No
Before 2026
Yes
/
No
$18,716
Who will Trump meet with this year?
Who will Trump meet with this year?
Kim Jong-Un
Yes
/
No
Mark Carney
Yes
/
No
$196,211
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
Yes
/
No
Kevin Hassett
Yes
/
No
$4,578
Will Trump privatize the post office this year?
Will Trump privatize the post office this year?
10%
Yes
$100 → $674
No
$100 → $109
$24,806
Who will win the governorship in New Jersey?
Who will win the governorship in New Jersey?
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Republican Party
Yes
/
No
$78,868
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before July?
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before July?
Ocean State Tactical, LLC v. Rhode Island
Yes
/
No
L.M. v. Town of Middleborough
Yes
/
No
NEW
Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?
Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?
South Africa
Yes
/
No
Brazil
Yes
/
No
$132,676
Congress defunds NPR this year?
Congress defunds NPR this year?
20%
Yes
$100 → $451
No
$100 → $119
$23,025
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House Election?
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House Election?
Liberal/National Coalition party
Yes
/
No
Labor party
Yes
/
No
$61,009
Which party will win the House race for NY-21?
Which party will win the House race for NY-21?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$6,711
How much will the government increase spending this year?
How much will the government increase spending this year?
At least $100 billion
Yes
/
No
At least $1 billion
Yes
/
No
$154,909
How high will be national debt be during the Trump Administration?
How high will be national debt be during the Trump Administration?
$45 trillion
Yes
/
No
$50 trillion
Yes
/
No
$24,322
Who will win the governorship in Texas?
Who will win the governorship in Texas?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Who will be Trump's FEMA Administrator?
Who will be Trump's FEMA Administrator?
Kevin Guthrie
Yes
/
No
Garret Graves
Yes
/
No
$16,229
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
14%
Yes
$100 → $667
No
$100 → $114
$53,802
Will credit card rates be capped this year?
Will credit card rates be capped this year?
19%
Yes
$100 → $431
No
$100 → $116
$17,952
Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
32%
Yes
$100 → $250
No
$100 → $141
$162,442
Will any Israeli Cabinet member resign?
Will any Israeli Cabinet member resign?
Before June
Yes
/
No
Before 2026
Yes
/
No
$28,635
Will Paul Engelmayer be impeached this year?
Will Paul Engelmayer be impeached this year?
6%
Yes
$100 → $591
No
$100 → $105
$7,806
Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits?
Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits?
55%
Yes
$100 → $170
No
$100 → $172
$4,364
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election this year?
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election this year?
43%
Yes
$100 → $205
No
$100 → $170
$22,501
Will Elon create a new tax filing app this year?
Will Elon create a new tax filing app this year?
18%
Yes
$100 → $431
No
$100 → $120
$3,337
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
Higher work requirement for SNAP recipients
Yes
/
No
SALT deduction cap lift
Yes
/
No
$58,064
Will DeepSeek be banned in the US this year?
Will DeepSeek be banned in the US this year?
24%
Yes
$100 → $376
No
$100 → $117
$28,880
Will Trump sue AOC this year?
Will Trump sue AOC this year?
11%
Yes
$100 → $583
No
$100 → $110
$2,876
Who will recognize the new government of Syria before April?
Who will recognize the new government of Syria before April?
Russia
Yes
/
No
United States
Yes
/
No
$90,110
Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Mikie Sherrill
Yes
/
No
Steven Fulop
Yes
/
No
$60,419
What agencies will have their budgets cut this year?
What agencies will have their budgets cut this year?
CFPB
Yes
/
No
SEC
Yes
/
No
$43,510
Will daylight saving become permanent this year?
Will daylight saving become permanent this year?
17%
Yes
$100 → $492
No
$100 → $119
$137,263
Who will win the Senate race in Texas?
Who will win the Senate race in Texas?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$4,327,273
Republican nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Republican nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Jack Ciattarelli
Yes
/
No
Bill Spadea
Yes
/
No
$41,256
Will PBS and NPR be defunded this year?
Will PBS and NPR be defunded this year?
19%
Yes
$100 → $419
No
$100 → $120
$47,017
Will Congress ever override Trump's veto?
Will Congress ever override Trump's veto?
20%
Yes
$100 → $447
No
$100 → $111
NEW
Will the next government funding bill be a 'clean CR'?
Will the next government funding bill be a 'clean CR'?
5%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$10,045
Who will win the 2025 Irish election?
Who will win the 2025 Irish election?
Bertie Ahern
Yes
/
No
Mairead McGuinness
Yes
/
No
Will Trump v Selzer lawsuit be dismissed before July?
Will Trump v Selzer lawsuit be dismissed before July?
38%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$4,336
Will Trump create an "External Revenue" Service?
Will Trump create an "External Revenue" Service?
57%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$20,469
Will Trump settle his lawsuit with CBS this year?
Will Trump settle his lawsuit with CBS this year?
73%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,462
How high will AI models score on SWE-Bench this year?
How high will AI models score on SWE-Bench this year?
At least 90%
Yes
/
No
At least 80%
Yes
/
No
$14,103
Will Congress pass a law that gets rid of the penny?
Will Congress pass a law that gets rid of the penny?
40%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$3,232
What countries will Elon Musk visit this year?
What countries will Elon Musk visit this year?
India
Yes
/
No
Mexico
Yes
/
No
NEW
Will a DOGE dividend be issued this year?
Will a DOGE dividend be issued this year?
26%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?
Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?
Roy Cooper
Yes
/
No
Wiley Nickel
Yes
/
No
$13,848
Will Trump end Head Start this year?
Will Trump end Head Start this year?
35%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
Will Greenland vote for independence this year?
Will Greenland vote for independence this year?
13%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$41,490
What states will create crypto reserves this year?
What states will create crypto reserves this year?
Texas
Yes
/
No
Florida
Yes
/
No
$29,545
How many Supreme Court justices will the next President confirm?
How many Supreme Court justices will the next President confirm?
2
Yes
/
No
1
Yes
/
No
$118,082
Will Congress pass a law increasing tariffs this year?
Will Congress pass a law increasing tariffs this year?
24%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$17,237
Will Susie Wiles still be Trump's Chief of Staff next year?
Will Susie Wiles still be Trump's Chief of Staff next year?
74%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$24,526
Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan?
Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan?
Jocelyn Benson
Yes
/
No
Chris Swanson
Yes
/
No
$24,041
Federal crypto regulation this year?
Federal crypto regulation this year?
66%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$38,823
Will the AP win their lawsuit against the White House?
Will the AP win their lawsuit against the White House?
37%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,675
Ivy Leagues lose federal funding this year?
Ivy Leagues lose federal funding this year?
23%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$14,237
When will Tilman Fertitta be confirmed as Ambassador to Italy?
When will Tilman Fertitta be confirmed as Ambassador to Italy?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
21%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$26,597
When will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill?
When will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill?
Before September 2025
Yes
/
No
Before June 2025
Yes
/
No
$243,402
Will Trump sue MSNBC?
Will Trump sue MSNBC?
20%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
How many Senate ties will J.D. Vance break this year?
How many Senate ties will J.D. Vance break this year?
2
Yes
/
No
3
Yes
/
No
$49,327
Democratic nominee for Governor in New York?
Democratic nominee for Governor in New York?
Kathy Hochul
Yes
/
No
Ritchie Torres
Yes
/
No
$31,557
Who will win the Chilean presidential election?
Who will win the Chilean presidential election?
Evelyn Matthei
Yes
/
No
José Antonio Kast
Yes
/
No
Will Trump expand the H1-B program?
Will Trump expand the H1-B program?
55%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$80,413
Who will win the governorship in Vermont?
Who will win the governorship in Vermont?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Democratic
Yes
/
No
What countries will Marco Rubio visit this year?
What countries will Marco Rubio visit this year?
China
Yes
/
No
Denmark
Yes
/
No
$4,120
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
Yes
/
No
7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals
Yes
/
No
$10,712
Will Trump end the electric vehicle tax credit?
Will Trump end the electric vehicle tax credit?
80%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$7,844
Will Trump sue CNN?
Will Trump sue CNN?
24%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
How many federal agencies will DOGE cut?
How many federal agencies will DOGE cut?
More than 10
Yes
/
No
More than 20
Yes
/
No
$20,526
Will New York state issue 'inflation checks' this year?
Will New York state issue 'inflation checks' this year?
51%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,632
Who will win the Senate race in Kentucky?
Who will win the Senate race in Kentucky?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$28,165
How many bills will Trump veto this year?
How many bills will Trump veto this year?
At least 1
Yes
/
No
At least 5
Yes
/
No
$51,450
Will the CDC end its recommendation for any vaccine this year?
Will the CDC end its recommendation for any vaccine this year?
51%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$33,744
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?
Byron Donalds
Yes
/
No
Casey DeSantis
Yes
/
No
$27,913
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
14%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$44,397
Who will win the governorship in Pennsylvania?
Who will win the governorship in Pennsylvania?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
$2,875
Who will win the Senate race in Virginia?
Who will win the Senate race in Virginia?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$3,843
Who will win the Senate race in Maine?
Who will win the Senate race in Maine?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$9,315
Will Congress ban DeepSeek on government devices?
Will Congress ban DeepSeek on government devices?
78%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
Who will be the next Australian Prime Minister?
Who will be the next Australian Prime Minister?
Peter Dutton
Yes
/
No
Anthony Albanese
Yes
/
No
$23,917
AI regulation becomes federal law this year?
AI regulation becomes federal law this year?
25%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$60,718
Who will win the governorship in Massachusetts?
Who will win the governorship in Massachusetts?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Georgia?
Who will win the governorship in Georgia?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year?
Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year?
Republican Party
Yes
/
No
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
$1,813,275
Who will win the Senate race in Georgia?
Who will win the Senate race in Georgia?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$18,167
When will Charles Kushner be confirmed as Ambassador to France?
When will Charles Kushner be confirmed as Ambassador to France?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?
42%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$3,976
The President's Silver Bulletin approval rating on Wednesday?
The President's Silver Bulletin approval rating on Wednesday?
47.1% to 47.5%
Yes
/
No
46.6% to 47%
Yes
/
No
NEW
Republican nominee for Senate in Texas?
Republican nominee for Senate in Texas?
John Cornyn
Yes
/
No
Ken Paxton
Yes
/
No
$11,785
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
Before September 2025
Yes
/
No
Before June 2025
Yes
/
No
$349,220
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Georgia?
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Georgia?
Lucy McBath
Yes
/
No
Keisha Lance Bottoms
Yes
/
No
$3,927
What will DOGE claim to have saved this year?
What will DOGE claim to have saved this year?
At least $500 billion
Yes
/
No
At least $200 billion
Yes
/
No
$9,287
Who will win the Senate race in South Carolina?
Who will win the Senate race in South Carolina?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$5,673
Who will win the Senate race in Ohio?
Who will win the Senate race in Ohio?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$22,803
Who will win the Senate race in New Mexico?
Who will win the Senate race in New Mexico?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$1,579
Who will win the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Who will win the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$12,928
Who will win the Senate race in Nebraska?
Who will win the Senate race in Nebraska?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$1,438,755
Who will win the Senate race in North Carolina?
Who will win the Senate race in North Carolina?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$3,875
Who will win the Senate race in Montana?
Who will win the Senate race in Montana?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$818,224
Who will win the Senate race in Minnesota?
Who will win the Senate race in Minnesota?
Democratic (DFL) party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$4,207
Who will win the Senate race in Michigan?
Who will win the Senate race in Michigan?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$1,240,582
Who will win the Senate race in Kansas?
Who will win the Senate race in Kansas?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Who will win the Senate race in Iowa?
Who will win the Senate race in Iowa?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$10,791
Who will win the Senate race in Florida?
Who will win the Senate race in Florida?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$6,459
Who will win the Senate race in Alaska?
Who will win the Senate race in Alaska?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$17,943
Who will win the House, Senate, and Presidency?
Who will win the House, Senate, and Presidency?
D-House, R-Senate, D-President
Yes
/
No
D-House, R-Senate, R-President
Yes
/
No
$28,451,889
Will Trump try to leave the WTO this year?
Will Trump try to leave the WTO this year?
35%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$9,050
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
World Trade Organization
Yes
/
No
World Bank Group
Yes
/
No
$1,805
Who will vote for the next government funding bill in the Senate?
Who will vote for the next government funding bill in the Senate?
Chuck Schumer
Yes
/
No
John Fetterman
Yes
/
No
NEW
Who will vote for the next government funding bill in the House?
Who will vote for the next government funding bill in the House?
Jared Golden
Yes
/
No
Thomas Massie
Yes
/
No
NEW
Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the House?
Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the House?
Thomas Massie
Yes
/
No
Jared Golden
Yes
/
No
NEW
Will RFK end any vaccine approvals this year?
Will RFK end any vaccine approvals this year?
45%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$21,459
US test scores in Reading next year?
US test scores in Reading next year?
Significant decrease
Yes
/
No
Significant increase
Yes
/
No
$20,129
US test scores in Math next year?
US test scores in Math next year?
Significant decrease
Yes
/
No
Significant increase
Yes
/
No
$19,911
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA this year?
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA this year?
18%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
When will Brian Burch be confirmed as Ambassador to the Vatican?
When will Brian Burch be confirmed as Ambassador to the Vatican?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Lynda Blanchard be confirmed as Ambassador to UN Food and Agriculture?
When will Lynda Blanchard be confirmed as Ambassador to UN Food and Agriculture?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Warren Stephens be confirmed as Ambassador to the UK?
When will Warren Stephens be confirmed as Ambassador to the UK?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Tom Barrack be confirmed as Ambassador to Turkey?
When will Tom Barrack be confirmed as Ambassador to Turkey?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Callista Gingrich be confirmed as Ambassador to Switzerland?
When will Callista Gingrich be confirmed as Ambassador to Switzerland?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Christine Toretti be confirmed as Ambassador to Sweden?
When will Christine Toretti be confirmed as Ambassador to Sweden?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Thomas O. Rose be confirmed as Ambassador to Poland?
When will Thomas O. Rose be confirmed as Ambassador to Poland?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Leandro Rizzuto Jr. be confirmed as Ambassador to the OAS?
When will Leandro Rizzuto Jr. be confirmed as Ambassador to the OAS?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
$1,050
When will Matthew Whitaker be confirmed as Ambassador to NATO?
When will Matthew Whitaker be confirmed as Ambassador to NATO?
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Apr 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Ronald D. Johnson be confirmed as Ambassador to Mexico?
When will Ronald D. Johnson be confirmed as Ambassador to Mexico?
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Mike Huckabee be confirmed as Ambassador to Israel?
When will Mike Huckabee be confirmed as Ambassador to Israel?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Kimberly Guilfoyle be confirmed as Ambassador to Greece?
When will Kimberly Guilfoyle be confirmed as Ambassador to Greece?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will David Perdue be confirmed as Ambassador to China?
When will David Perdue be confirmed as Ambassador to China?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Pete Hoekstra be confirmed as Ambassador to Canada?
When will Pete Hoekstra be confirmed as Ambassador to Canada?
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Bill White be confirmed as Ambassador to Belgium?
When will Bill White be confirmed as Ambassador to Belgium?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Herschel Walker be confirmed as Ambassador to Bahamas?
When will Herschel Walker be confirmed as Ambassador to Bahamas?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
33%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Will the UK Prime Minister leave office this year?
Will the UK Prime Minister leave office this year?
22%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$26,385
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?
23%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$3,305
Will Trump resign before his term is up?
Will Trump resign before his term is up?
16%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$18,437
Congress banned from trading stocks this year?
Congress banned from trading stocks this year?
9%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$132,940
Will TikTok leave the app store again before December?
Will TikTok leave the app store again before December?
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
Will any country tariff Tesla products this year?
Will any country tariff Tesla products this year?
65%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$6,741
What countries will Trump tariff this year?
What countries will Trump tariff this year?
Taiwan
Yes
/
No
Denmark
Yes
/
No
$102,149
Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria this year?
Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria this year?
25%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$3,411
Who will be elected Superintendent of Schools in Wisconsin?
Who will be elected Superintendent of Schools in Wisconsin?
Jill Underly
Yes
/
No
Brittany Kinser
Yes
/
No
$7,655
What will be the 51st state?
What will be the 51st state?
Any part of Canada
Yes
/
No
Puerto Rico
Yes
/
No
$20,138
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
14%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$8,866
When will D. John Sauer be confirmed as Solicitor General?
When will D. John Sauer be confirmed as Solicitor General?
Before Apr 2025
Yes
/
No
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
$1,756
Will a US Senator visit Syria before July?
Will a US Senator visit Syria before July?
18%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$5,091
Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Julián Castro
Yes
/
No
Ronald Gutierrez
Yes
/
No
Republican nominee for Senate in Ohio?
Republican nominee for Senate in Ohio?
Jon Husted
Yes
/
No
Vivek Ramaswamy
Yes
/
No
$16,438
Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?
Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?
Sherrod Brown
Yes
/
No
Tim Ryan
Yes
/
No
$2,346
Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Chris Sununu
Yes
/
No
Scott Brown
Yes
/
No
$9,400
Republican nominee for Senate in North Carolina?
Republican nominee for Senate in North Carolina?
Thomas Tillis
Yes
/
No
Lara Trump
Yes
/
No
$11,902
Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Jared Golden
Yes
/
No
Janet Mills
Yes
/
No
Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Brian Kemp
Yes
/
No
Buddy Carter
Yes
/
No
$15,745
Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?
Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?
Ashley Moody
Yes
/
No
Ron DeSantis
Yes
/
No
$68,741
Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
Jared Moskowitz
Yes
/
No
Charlie Crist
Yes
/
No
Section 230 weakened this year?
Section 230 weakened this year?
32%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$10,878
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Amul Thapar
Yes
/
No
Aileen Cannon
Yes
/
No
$403,615
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Samuel Alito
Yes
/
No
Clarence Thomas
Yes
/
No
$6,329
New Supreme Court justice confirmed this year?
New Supreme Court justice confirmed this year?
27%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$293,047
Scottish referendum called before 2027?
Scottish referendum called before 2027?
18%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$3,248
Will the "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) become law?
Will the "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) become law?
23%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$2,162
Will the SALT tax deduction cap be raised or eliminated?
Will the SALT tax deduction cap be raised or eliminated?
80%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$71,863
How much will the SALT tax cap deduction be raised to this year?
How much will the SALT tax cap deduction be raised to this year?
$30,000 or above
Yes
/
No
$20,000 or above
Yes
/
No
$15,058
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
20%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$33,524
Will Trump ask for a budget rescission from Congress this year?
Will Trump ask for a budget rescission from Congress this year?
78%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$16,845
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
49%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$2,969
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
21%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$2,188
How many votes will the next reconciliation bill get in the Senate?
How many votes will the next reconciliation bill get in the Senate?
52
Yes
/
No
53
Yes
/
No
$14,284
How many votes will the next reconciliation bill get in the House?
How many votes will the next reconciliation bill get in the House?
219
Yes
/
No
218
Yes
/
No
$4,109
How many reconciliation bills will pass this year?
How many reconciliation bills will pass this year?
1
Yes
/
No
2
Yes
/
No
$17,081
When will Monica Crowley be confirmed as Chief of Protocol at the State Department?
When will Monica Crowley be confirmed as Chief of Protocol at the State Department?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
Which party will win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Which party will win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
$24,240
Will Lula leave office this year?
Will Lula leave office this year?
12%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$2,726
Will Trump adjourn the Senate this year?
Will Trump adjourn the Senate this year?
15%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$6,488
Will Jeff Bezos sell the Washington Post this year?
Will Jeff Bezos sell the Washington Post this year?
15%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,782
Will permitting reform happen this year?
Will permitting reform happen this year?
72%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Will Perkins Coie win their lawsuit against Trump?
Will Perkins Coie win their lawsuit against Trump?
79%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?
Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?
25%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
Will anyone in Congress change parties this year?
Will anyone in Congress change parties this year?
34%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$22,918
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
12%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,758
When will Sean Cairncross be confirmed as National Cyber Director (ONCD)?
When will Sean Cairncross be confirmed as National Cyber Director (ONCD)?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
NPR CEO leaves this year?
NPR CEO leaves this year?
34%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$20,108
Who will be the next Norwegian Prime Minister?
Who will be the next Norwegian Prime Minister?
Jonas Gahr Støre
Yes
/
No
Sylvi Listhaug
Yes
/
No
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Norwegian election?
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Norwegian election?
Labour party
Yes
/
No
Progress party
Yes
/
No
$2,104
Will NordStream 2 open this year?
Will NordStream 2 open this year?
11%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$7,939
Non-compete ban overturned?
Non-compete ban overturned?
21%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$7,533
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Nigel Farage
Yes
/
No
Kemi Badenoch
Yes
/
No
$14,852
Who will be the next Speaker of the House?
Who will be the next Speaker of the House?
Hakeem Jeffries
Yes
/
No
Jim Jordan
Yes
/
No
$1,431
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
35%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,105
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
12%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,436
Federal minimum wage raised this year?
Federal minimum wage raised this year?
7%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$40,949
Will Trump get rid of Medicare drug negotiation this year?
Will Trump get rid of Medicare drug negotiation this year?
27%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$10,994
Which party will win the 2025 NYC Mayor race?
Which party will win the 2025 NYC Mayor race?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
$23,333
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago this year?
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago this year?
Sam Altman
Yes
/
No
Mohammed bin Salman
Yes
/
No
$120,526
Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Scott Bessent
Yes
/
No
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Yes
/
No
$3,790
Which of these Latin America leaders will leave office next?
Which of these Latin America leaders will leave office next?
Gabriel Boric
Yes
/
No
Dina Boluarte
Yes
/
No
$4,511
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved this year?
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved this year?
39%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$9,912
Will the Judges Act become law this year?
Will the Judges Act become law this year?
30%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,787
Will Trump eliminate cabotage restriction?
Will Trump eliminate cabotage restriction?
4%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Will Trump get rid of Biden's cap on insulin prices this year?
Will Trump get rid of Biden's cap on insulin prices this year?
23%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$12,008
Will Trump cut income taxes for the highest earners this year?
Will Trump cut income taxes for the highest earners this year?
25%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$55,089
Will President Trump be impeached again?
Will President Trump be impeached again?
44%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$58,793
Will Trump undo any of Biden's GPU export controls?
Will Trump undo any of Biden's GPU export controls?
36%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$5,145
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
Tom Tiffany
Yes
/
No
Eric Hovde
Yes
/
No
$1,001
Republican nominee for Governor in Virginia?
Republican nominee for Governor in Virginia?
Winsome Sears
Yes
/
No
Amanda Chase
Yes
/
No
$13,445
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?
John James
Yes
/
No
Tudor Dixon
Yes
/
No
$4,941
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Kansas?
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Kansas?
Scott Schwab
Yes
/
No
Jeff Colyer
Yes
/
No
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kansas?
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kansas?
David Toland
Yes
/
No
Cindy Holscher
Yes
/
No
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Georgia?
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Georgia?
Chris Carr
Yes
/
No
Burt Jones
Yes
/
No
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?
Karrin Taylor Robson
Yes
/
No
Andy Biggs
Yes
/
No
$10,456
Which states will enact gas stove bans this year?
Which states will enact gas stove bans this year?
Connecticut
Yes
/
No
Maine
Yes
/
No
NEW
Will the Supreme Court allow 'ghost gun' regulation?
Will the Supreme Court allow 'ghost gun' regulation?
87%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$5,806
Who will the FTC launch new antitrust lawsuits against?
Who will the FTC launch new antitrust lawsuits against?
Microsoft
Yes
/
No
Nvidia
Yes
/
No
$9,316
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement?
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement?
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Will Charles Kushner be confirmed as Ambassador to France?
Will Charles Kushner be confirmed as Ambassador to France?
86%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$2,619
Will Trump end the FDIC this year?
Will Trump end the FDIC this year?
6%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$5,075
Will the Supreme Court stop the ban on flavored vapes?
Will the Supreme Court stop the ban on flavored vapes?
48%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$44,074
Filibuster weakened this year?
Filibuster weakened this year?
19%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$54,787
Will E-Verify be expanded this year?
Will E-Verify be expanded this year?
30%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Will a new country join the eurozone this year?
Will a new country join the eurozone this year?
11%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Will Sanchez leave office this year?
Will Sanchez leave office this year?
25%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Will taxes on university endowments go up this year?
Will taxes on university endowments go up this year?
66%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,411
Will DOGE sell the FBI headquarters?
Will DOGE sell the FBI headquarters?
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
Will Trump cut dividend taxes this year?
Will Trump cut dividend taxes this year?
14%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$5,057
Which companies will reincorporate outside of Delaware this year?
Which companies will reincorporate outside of Delaware this year?
Amazon
Yes
/
No
Alphabet
Yes
/
No
$2,281
Will the deficit be smaller this year than in 2024?
Will the deficit be smaller this year than in 2024?
36%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$18,783
Will Germany weaken or end its debt brake this year?
Will Germany weaken or end its debt brake this year?
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
Will Ed Martin be confirmed as DC US Attorney?
Will Ed Martin be confirmed as DC US Attorney?
75%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$7,853
Child Tax Credit expanded this year?
Child Tax Credit expanded this year?
37%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$34,206
Will Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto this year?
Will Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto this year?
10%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$6,144
US credit rating downgrade this year?
US credit rating downgrade this year?
41%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$54,883
Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?
Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?
18%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$2,006
When will Rodney Scott be confirmed as U.S. Customs & Border Protection?
When will Rodney Scott be confirmed as U.S. Customs & Border Protection?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
Will Trump ban lab-grown meat?
Will Trump ban lab-grown meat?
13%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$19,828
Will Brandon Johnson no longer be Mayor of Chicago this year?
Will Brandon Johnson no longer be Mayor of Chicago this year?
12%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$3,361
UK Chancellor out this year?
UK Chancellor out this year?
37%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,159
Will Trump end the CFPB this year?
Will Trump end the CFPB this year?
31%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$12,006
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
19%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$33,580
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Howard Lutnick
Yes
/
No
Linda McMahon
Yes
/
No
$31,354
When will Bitcoin have its next halving?
When will Bitcoin have its next halving?
Before Apr 2028
Yes
/
No
Before Jun 2028
Yes
/
No
NEW
Border bill passes Senate this year?
Border bill passes Senate this year?
24%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$81,215
Will Nancy Mace's bathroom ban in the House happen this year?
Will Nancy Mace's bathroom ban in the House happen this year?
34%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$6,254
Will Trump balance the budget?
Will Trump balance the budget?
13%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$16,123
Who will be Trump's ATF Director?
Who will be Trump's ATF Director?
Blake Masters
Yes
/
No
Brandon Herrera
Yes
/
No
$91,818
Which of these Asia-Pacific leaders will leave office next?
Which of these Asia-Pacific leaders will leave office next?
Yoon Suk Yeol
Yes
/
No
Anthony Albanese
Yes
/
No
$1,527
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
49%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$19,076
Will Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Will Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
21%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$2,910
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Albanian election?
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Albanian election?
Socialist party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$6,533
What government agencies will have layoffs this year?
What government agencies will have layoffs this year?
Department of Veterans Affairs
Yes
/
No
Department of Justice
Yes
/
No
NEW
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Bola Tinubu
Yes
/
No
Félix Tshisekedi
Yes
/
No
$3,008
When will Jared Isaacman be confirmed as Administrator of NASA?
When will Jared Isaacman be confirmed as Administrator of NASA?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
When will Mehmet Oz be confirmed as Administrator of CMS?
When will Mehmet Oz be confirmed as Administrator of CMS?
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029?
Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029?
22%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$27,191
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?
14%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$16,194
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
25%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$20,325
Will Trump create a $250 bill with his face on it?
Will Trump create a $250 bill with his face on it?
10%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
Who will win the governorship in Wisconsin?
Who will win the governorship in Wisconsin?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Rhode Island?
Who will win the governorship in Rhode Island?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Oregon?
Who will win the governorship in Oregon?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Oklahoma?
Who will win the governorship in Oklahoma?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Ohio?
Who will win the governorship in Ohio?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Democratic
Yes
/
No
$1,513
Who will win the governorship in New York?
Who will win the governorship in New York?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
$3,011
Who will win the governorship in Nevada?
Who will win the governorship in Nevada?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in New Mexico?
Who will win the governorship in New Mexico?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Minnesota?
Who will win the governorship in Minnesota?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
$2,741
Who will win the governorship in Michigan?
Who will win the governorship in Michigan?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Maine?
Who will win the governorship in Maine?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Maryland?
Who will win the governorship in Maryland?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Kansas?
Who will win the governorship in Kansas?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Iowa?
Who will win the governorship in Iowa?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Hawaii?
Who will win the governorship in Hawaii?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Florida?
Who will win the governorship in Florida?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Colorado?
Who will win the governorship in Colorado?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in California?
Who will win the governorship in California?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
$2,729
Who will win the governorship in Arizona?
Who will win the governorship in Arizona?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
Who will win the governorship in Arkansas?
Who will win the governorship in Arkansas?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Will a Canadian election be called before April?
Will a Canadian election be called before April?
97%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$0
Eric Adams out as NYC Mayor before April 2025?
Eric Adams out as NYC Mayor before April 2025?
5%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$0
Will the House vote to let Trump have a 3rd term?
Will the House vote to let Trump have a 3rd term?
1%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$0
Who will visit the White House before April?
Who will visit the White House before April?
Dana White
Yes
/
No
Mohammed Bin Salman
Yes
/
No
$0
Which party will win the House race for Florida's 1st Congressional District?
Which party will win the House race for Florida's 1st Congressional District?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$0
How long will the next government shutdown be before July 2?
How long will the next government shutdown be before July 2?
Above 0 days
Yes
/
No
Above 7 days
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will be Trump's OSTP Director?
Who will be Trump's OSTP Director?
Michael Kratsios
Yes
/
No
Kelvin Droegemeier
Yes
/
No
$0
Which party will win the special House election for Florida's 6th Congressional District?
Which party will win the special House election for Florida's 6th Congressional District?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$0
Will Trump and Congress cut any foreign aid this year?
Will Trump and Congress cut any foreign aid this year?
92%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$0
Next government of Germany?
Next government of Germany?
Grand Coalition (CDU/CSU and SPD)
Yes
/
No
CDU/CSU and AfD
Yes
/
No
$0
When will NJ Transit workers go on strike?
When will NJ Transit workers go on strike?
Before Apr 1, 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Mar 23, 2025
Yes
/
No
$0
When will Elise Stefanik be confirmed as Ambassador to the UN?
When will Elise Stefanik be confirmed as Ambassador to the UN?
Before Apr 2025
Yes
/
No
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will be the Portuguese Prime Minister after their election?
Who will be the Portuguese Prime Minister after their election?
Luís Montenegro
Yes
/
No
Pedro Nuno Santos
Yes
/
No
$0
Will the debt ceiling be abolished this year?
Will the debt ceiling be abolished this year?
3%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$0
Will Trump be banned from entering Canada this year?
Will Trump be banned from entering Canada this year?
3%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$0
New asylum cases this month?
New asylum cases this month?
Above 500
Yes
/
No
Above 1000
Yes
/
No
$0
Will Georgescu be banned from the Romanian election?
Will Georgescu be banned from the Romanian election?
97%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Wyoming?
Who will win the Senate race in Wyoming?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in West Virginia?
Who will win the Senate race in West Virginia?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Tennessee?
Who will win the Senate race in Tennessee?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in South Dakota?
Who will win the Senate race in South Dakota?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Rhode Island?
Who will win the Senate race in Rhode Island?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Oregon?
Who will win the Senate race in Oregon?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Oklahoma?
Who will win the Senate race in Oklahoma?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in New Jersey?
Who will win the Senate race in New Jersey?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Mississippi?
Who will win the Senate race in Mississippi?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Massachusetts?
Who will win the Senate race in Massachusetts?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Illinois?
Who will win the Senate race in Illinois?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Idaho?
Who will win the Senate race in Idaho?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Delaware?
Who will win the Senate race in Delaware?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Colorado?
Who will win the Senate race in Colorado?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Republican party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Arkansas?
Who will win the Senate race in Arkansas?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$0
Who will win the Senate race in Alabama?
Who will win the Senate race in Alabama?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
$0
Zyn banned in the US this year?
Zyn banned in the US this year?
4%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$0
Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the Senate?
Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the Senate?
Chuck Schumer
Yes
/
No
John Fetterman
Yes
/
No
$0
Will a new UK election be called this year?
Will a new UK election be called this year?
10%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$0
Who will be Trump's Ambassador to Turkey?
Who will be Trump's Ambassador to Turkey?
Tom Barrack
Yes
/
No
Eric Adams
Yes
/
No
$0
Which Trump Cabinet nominee will get the most votes?
Which Trump Cabinet nominee will get the most votes?
Marco Rubio
Yes
/
No
Michael Kratsios
Yes
/
No
$0
Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?
Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?
3%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$0
Will Trump launch tariffs on copper?
Will Trump launch tariffs on copper?
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$0