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Politics

Sports Culture Crypto Climate Economics Mentions Companies Financials Tech & Science

Foreign Elections

SCOTUS & courts

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

Kevin Warsh1.05x

Judy Shelton

Judy Shelton18.8x

$167,143,855 vol23 markets

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance3.80x

Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom4.51x

$12,036,431 vol23 markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes4.98x

No1.20x

$3,028,787 vol1 market

2028 Democratic nominee for President?

Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom3.08x

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.85x

$49,219,473 vol39 markets

How long will the government shutdown last?

At least 25 days1.93x

At least 30 days2.46x

$796,042 vol15 markets

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Republican Party

Republican Party1.60x

Democratic Party

Democratic Party2.40x

$1,585,969 vol2 markets

Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?

Before September 1, 20262.59x

Before July 1, 20262.98x

$19,551,231 vol4 markets

2028 Republican nominee for President?

J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance2.09x

Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio4.98x

$15,162,696 vol30 markets

Will the Bangladesh July Charter referendum pass?

Yes1.02x

No31.2x

$575,427 vol1 market

Who will attend the State of the Union?

Nick Shirley

Nick Shirley1.73x

Ilhan Omar

Ilhan Omar2.05x

$958,723 vol39 markets

When will DHS be funded again?

Before Mar 10, 20261.55x

Before Mar 1, 20262.98x

$1,423,316 vol5 markets

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Before January 20, 20293.13x

Before 20276.67x

$5,870,747 vol3 markets

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

D-House, R-Senate

D-House, R-Senate2.05x

D-House, D-Senate

D-House, D-Senate2.59x

$846,675 vol4 markets

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Pam Bondi4.13x

Kristi Noem5.25x

$1,276,853 vol24 markets

Keir Starmer Out?

Before Jul 1, 20262.01x

Before Sep 1, 20261.73x

$506,399 vol4 markets

How many Supreme Court justices will vote for Trump's tariffs?

32.73x

24.73x

$1,243,606 vol10 markets

Donald Trump out as President?

Before January 20, 20292.29x

Before 20282.73x

$2,657,354 vol5 markets

When will DHS receive full-year funding?

Before Mar 20, 20261.79x

Before Mar 10, 20262.46x

$770,075 vol4 markets

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes5.25x

No1.19x

$746,466 vol1 market

Who will leave the Trump administration this year?

Pam Bondi

Pam Bondi2.01x

Karoline Leavitt

Karoline Leavitt1.97x

$1,010,002 vol35 markets

Texas Democratic Senate nominee?

James Talarico

James Talarico1.60x

Jasmine Crockett

Jasmine Crockett2.46x

$1,917,152 vol11 markets

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

$0 / No Acquisition1.29x

$600 billion to $899 billion18.8x

$766,128 vol8 markets

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds1.26x

James Fishback

James Fishback6.29x

$1,490,157 vol9 markets

California Governor winner? (Person)

Eric Swalwell

Eric Swalwell1.93x

Matt Mahan

Matt Mahan4.51x

$2,574,347 vol25 markets