Best AI this month?
Gemini
80%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Grok
14%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,317,973
What will be the top AI model this month?
Gemini-2.5-Pro-Preview-05-06
44%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25
1%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,382,820·Monthly
When will Tesla launch unsupervised FSD?
Before July
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2026
76%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$147,112
SpaceX Starship 9th launch?
Before May 22
44%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before May 29
86%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,885,618
TSA avg check-ins from May 12 to 18, 2025?
Above 2.55 million
46%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 2.5 million
90%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,657,811·Weekly
Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?
Deepseek
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Anthropic
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$344,963
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2028
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2027
5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$136,410
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2026
5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$195,058
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Jun 1, 2025?
OpenAI
90%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Google
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$40,745
How many Starship launches will reach space this year?
7 to 9
56%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––4 to 6
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$9,530
How many cities will Waymo be operating in at the end of 2025?
5
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––4
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$55,383
How many launches will SpaceX have this year?
Above 180
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 160
83%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$410,800·Annually
Will Samsung release a trifold phone this year?
Before Oct 2025
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Dec 2025
62%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,304
Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?
Gemini
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ChatGPT
33%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$9,231
How high will AI models score on SWE-Bench this year?
At least 80%
64%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 90%
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$25,222
Will the upper stage of the SpaceX Starship be recovered intact this year?
Yes
$100 → $130No
$100 → $267$2,332
US semiconductor production growth this year?
Above 10%
72%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 7%
92%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$14,230·Annually
Highest score of any LLM on OSWorld this year?
At least 60
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 70
48%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,751
How much better will OpenAI's models be than Google's?
Above 0 points
45%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 20 points
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$72,271·Annually
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––China
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$13,729
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess?
Yes
$100 → $448No
$100 → $119$7,589
How much compute will AI models be trained with this year?
More than 500 billion petaFLOP
66%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––More than 750 billion petaFLOP
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$16,744
Who will win the Fields Medal next year?
Jack Thorne
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Yu Deng
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
EV market share in 2030?
Above 50%
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 30%
48%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,489