Science and Technology
Trending
Biggest movers
New
Closing
Cadence
Best AI at the end of 2025?
Gemini
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ChatGPT
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,416,796
Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?
Deepseek
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––xAI
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$263,146
How many launches will SpaceX have this year?
Above 180
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 200
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$375,536
SpaceX Starship 8th launch?
Before March 15
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before March 1
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,164,605
AI capability growth before 2026?
At least 1500 elo score
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 1400 elo score
98%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$17,034
When will the stranded astronauts come home?
Before May 1, 2025
75%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 1, 2025
93%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,191
Ozempic and Wegovy prescriptions increase this quarter?
10% or above
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––12% or above
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$162,814
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2028
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2027
5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$130,449
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2026
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$147,709
How many cities will Waymo be operating in at the end of 2025?
5
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––4
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$16,170
How many Starship launches will reach space this year?
10 to 12
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––7 to 9
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
US semiconductor production growth this year?
Above 10%
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 7%
69%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$9,789
How much better will OpenAI's models be than Google's?
Above 0 points
45%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 20 points
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$70,535
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––China
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$10,431
Will California pass a law mandating AI models have a 'kill switch'?
Yes
$100 → $292No
$100 → $134$43,366
How much compute will AI models be trained with this year?
More than 150 billion petaFLOP
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––More than 100 billion petaFLOP
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
EV market share in 2030?
Above 50%
47%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 30%
65%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,054
How many Trump Cabinet members will leave in the first year?
2
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––1
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,442
Will Anthropic release an "AI Safety Level 3" model before 2027?
Yes
$100 → $160No
$100 → $190$10,284
Will Sam Altman be granted an equity stake in OpenAI this year?
Yes
$100 → $138No
$100 → $254$14,248
Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models this year?
Yes
$100 → $252No
$100 → $135