Men's College Basketball Champion?
Men's College Basketball Champion?
Duke
35%
Yes
/
No
Florida
24%
Yes
/
No
News · Duke narrowly edged out Arizona despite a 35-point rally, while Texas Tech completed a stunning comeback against Arkansas in overtime during Thursday's round of 16, Yahoo! Sports reports. Earlier, Alabama shattered tournament records with a historic 113-point performance.
$236,360,531
How high will the inflation level get in 2025?
How high will the inflation level get in 2025?
At least 4%
36%
Yes
/
No
At least 5%
16%
Yes
/
No
News · U.S. stock futures were slightly lower Friday as investors awaited February's personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, CNBC reports. Economists expect the PCE data could reveal persistent inflation concerns following the Fed's recent upward revision of its inflation forecast.
$186,829
Will Mike Waltz resign before May?
Will Mike Waltz resign before May?
Yes
$100 → $480
No
$100 → $120
News · Republican senators are calling on Trump administration officials to preserve all Signal app conversations regarding a military strike in Yemen, citing concerns over potential breaches of federal record-keeping laws, The Hill reports. The controversy involves discussions that included sensitive operational details and may have compromised classified information.
$146,382
Houston Open
PGA HOUSTON OpenHouston Open
Scottie Scheffler
32%
Yes
/
No
Rory McIlroy
6%
Yes
/
No
News · Rory McIlroy made a 'pedestrian' start at the Houston Open, finishing his opening round at even-par and five strokes off the lead, Sporty reports. Meanwhile, world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler sits firmly in contention after carding a three-under 67.
$5,472,479
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Yes
$100 → $298
No
$100 → $136
News · Greenland and Denmark expressed cautious relief as U.S. Vice President JD Vance altered his upcoming itinerary to Greenland, reducing potential conflicts with locals angered by Trump's annexation proposals, The Hill reports. While tensions ease slightly, Greenland officials remain concerned about ongoing U.S. ambitions in the Arctic region.
$112,171
Women's College Basketball Champion?
Women's College Basketball Champion?
UConn
39%
Yes
/
No
South Carolina
30%
Yes
/
No
News · The women's tournament saw a chaotic second round with overtime thrillers, dramatic upsets by 5-seeds, and a devastating injury to USC's top player, USA Today reports. As the round of 16 approaches, teams like Tennessee and UConn gainare gaining momentum, while others face major questions about depth and resilience.
$23,887,040
Injuries and blowouts
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Michigan State vs Ole Miss
March Tournament (M)Michigan State vs Ole Miss
MSU63¢
$100 → $154
MISS38¢
$100 → $250
$236,364,475
Tennessee vs Kentucky
March Tournament (M)Tennessee vs Kentucky
TENN65¢
$100 → $150
UK37¢
$100 → $257
$236,364,475
Semifinal qualifiers?
March Tournament (M)Semifinal qualifiers?
Florida
76%
Yes
/
No
Texas Tech
26%
Yes
/
No
$236,364,475
Florida vs Texas Tech
March Tournament (M)Florida vs Texas Tech
FLA77¢
$100 → $127
TTU26¢
$100 → $355
$236,364,475
Duke vs Alabama
March Tournament (M)Duke vs Alabama
DUKE74¢
$100 → $132
ALA28¢
$100 → $335
$236,364,475
Men's College Basketball Final qualifiers?
Men's College Basketball Final qualifiers?
Duke
49%
Yes
/
No
Florida
45%
Yes
/
No
$236,364,475
Round of 8 qualifiers?
March Tournament (W)Round of 8 qualifiers?
Duke
69%
Yes
/
No
North Carolina
30%
Yes
/
No
$23,887,098
Duke vs North Carolina
March Tournament (W)Duke vs North Carolina
DUKE72¢
$100 → $136
UNC30¢
$100 → $308
$23,887,098
South Carolina vs Maryland
March Tournament (W)South Carolina vs Maryland
SCAR95¢
$100 → $105
MD
$100 → $1,256
$23,887,098
Women's College Basketball Semifinal qualifiers?
Women's College Basketball Semifinal qualifiers?
UConn
82%
Yes
/
No
South Carolina
82%
Yes
/
No
$23,887,098
Women's College Basketball Final qualifiers?
Women's College Basketball Final qualifiers?
UConn
49%
Yes
/
No
South Carolina
51%
Yes
/
No
$23,887,098
"The Woman in the Yard" Rotten Tomatoes score?
"The Woman in the Yard" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 40
41%
Yes
/
No
Above 35
73%
Yes
/
No
$337,847
Fed decision in May?
Fed decision in May?
No change
86%
Yes
/
No
Cut 25bps
14%
Yes
/
No
$17,674,347
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Gavin Newsom
18%
Yes
/
No
Josh Shapiro
12%
Yes
/
No
$1,881,916
Fed funds rate in May?
Fed funds rate in May?
Above 4.25%
87%
Yes
/
No
Above 4.00%
97%
Yes
/
No
$26,617,253
 Who will win the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat?
Who will win the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat?
Susan Crawford
87%
Yes
/
No
Brad Schimel
12%
Yes
/
No
$284,871
Which party will win the special House election for Florida's 6th Congressional District?
Which party will win the special House election for Florida's 6th Congressional District?
Republican party
86%
Yes
/
No
Democratic party
16%
Yes
/
No
$113,568
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Howard Lutnick
28%
Yes
/
No
Pete Hegseth
20%
Yes
/
No
$98,902
How many Elon Musk posts on X the week ending today?
How many Elon Musk posts on X the week ending today?
450 to 499
86%
Yes
/
No
500 to 549
15%
Yes
/
No
$804,444·Weekly
2h 33m 21s
Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?
Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?
31%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$2,938,713
Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?
Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?
Liberal Party
63%
Yes
/
No
Conservative Party
39%
Yes
/
No
$581,754
"A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score?
"A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 45
48%
Yes
/
No
Above 40
60%
Yes
/
No
$219,270
Will Trump reduce the national debt?
Will Trump reduce the national debt?
87%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$347,481
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
At least 1 billion
41%
Yes
/
No
At least 25 billion
37%
Yes
/
No
$2,894,216
Pro Men's Basketball Champion?
Pro Men's Basketball Champion?
Oklahoma City
33%
Yes
/
No
Boston
29%
Yes
/
No
$4,767,255
Will the South Korean President leave office?
Will the South Korean President leave office?
Before May 2025
68%
Yes
/
No
Before Jun 2025
73%
Yes
/
No
$909,816
Pro Baseball Champion?
Pro Baseball Champion?
Los Angeles D
26%
Yes
/
No
New York Y
8%
Yes
/
No
$221,437
Highest temperature in NYC today?
Highest temperature in NYC today?
63° to 64°
50%
Yes
/
No
65° to 66°
37%
Yes
/
No
$38,332,218·Daily
14h 32m 21s
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Andrew Cuomo
78%
Yes
/
No
Zohran Mamdani
10%
Yes
/
No
$892,049
Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals Winner?
Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals Winner?
Oklahoma City
55%
Yes
/
No
Los Angeles L
14%
Yes
/
No
$1,243,937
Highest temperature in Chicago today?
Highest temperature in Chicago today?
77° or above
76%
Yes
/
No
75° to 76°
26%
Yes
/
No
$32,675,246·Daily
15h 32m 21s
Highest temperature in Austin today?
Highest temperature in Austin today?
73° to 74°
41%
Yes
/
No
75° to 76°
28%
Yes
/
No
$27,263,031·Daily
15h 32m 21s
 Who will be elected Superintendent of Schools in Wisconsin?
Who will be elected Superintendent of Schools in Wisconsin?
Jill Underly
86%
Yes
/
No
Brittany Kinser
15%
Yes
/
No
$21,455
TSA avg check-ins from Mar 24 to 30, 2025?
TSA avg check-ins from Mar 24 to 30, 2025?
Above 2.55 million
27%
Yes
/
No
Above 2.5 million
76%
Yes
/
No
$4,464,320·Weekly
Number of tornadoes this month?
Number of tornadoes this month?
Above 300
21%
Yes
/
No
Above 250
78%
Yes
/
No
$1,363,601
Champions League Winner?
Champions League Winner?
Barcelona
24%
Yes
/
No
Paris Saint-Germain
21%
Yes
/
No
$918,010
What will Powell say during his May press conference?
What will Powell say during his May press conference?
QT / Quantitative Tightening
52%
Yes
/
No
China
47%
Yes
/
No
$599,283
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons Election?
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons Election?
Liberal party
60%
Yes
/
No
Conservative party
40%
Yes
/
No
$125,051
How high will Bitcoin get this year?
How high will Bitcoin get this year?
$125,000 or above
41%
Yes
/
No
$150,000 or above
25%
Yes
/
No
$2,890,266
Next government of Canada?
Next government of Canada?
Liberal majority
50%
Yes
/
No
Conservative majority
21%
Yes
/
No
$178,435
US GDP growth in Q1 2025?
US GDP growth in Q1 2025?
Above 1.0%
45%
Yes
/
No
Above 0.5%
60%
Yes
/
No
$1,698,317
Will Trump eliminate the Department of Education this year?
Will Trump eliminate the Department of Education this year?
17%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,016,511
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Before the end of DOGE
54%
Yes
/
No
Before 2026
43%
Yes
/
No
$566,046
The President's RCP approval rating today?
The President's RCP approval rating today?
47.6 to 48.0
90%
Yes
/
No
48.1 to 48.5
19%
Yes
/
No
$2,368,060·Weekly
1h 33m 21s
Measles cases this year?
Measles cases this year?
Above 2000
48%
Yes
/
No
Above 1500
68%
Yes
/
No
$241,250
AI wins IMO gold medal this year?
AI wins IMO gold medal this year?
64%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$67,172
What countries will Trump tariff this year?
What countries will Trump tariff this year?
Colombia
56%
Yes
/
No
Taiwan
54%
Yes
/
No
$116,587
Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?
Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?
J.D. Vance
44%
Yes
/
No
Tulsi Gabbard
9%
Yes
/
No
$1,334,466
Highest temperature in Miami today?
Highest temperature in Miami today?
81° to 82°
53%
Yes
/
No
79° to 80°
40%
Yes
/
No
$20,065,094·Daily
14h 32m 21s
How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025?
How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025?
More than 250,000
68%
Yes
/
No
More than 500,000
20%
Yes
/
No
$782,007
Highest temperature in LA today?
Highest temperature in LA today?
64° to 65°
44%
Yes
/
No
66° to 67°
26%
Yes
/
No
$4,106,998·Daily
17h 32m 21s
Top US iPhone app tomorrow?
Top US iPhone app tomorrow?
ChatGPT
Yes
/
No
T-Life
Yes
/
No
$3,192,596·Daily
Will egg prices go up this month?
Will egg prices go up this month?
13%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$720,438
Pro Baseball American League Champion?
Pro Baseball American League Champion?
New York Y
Yes
/
No
Boston
Yes
/
No
$37,268
Highest temperature in Philadelphia today?
Highest temperature in Philadelphia today?
67° to 68°
Yes
/
No
65° to 66°
Yes
/
No
$7,649,797·Daily
14h 32m 21s
March temperature increase?
March temperature increase?
1.29 to 1.35
Yes
/
No
1.35001 or above
Yes
/
No
$390,022
Pro Baseball AL East Division Winner?
Pro Baseball AL East Division Winner?
New York Y
Yes
/
No
Boston
Yes
/
No
$5,971
Inflation in March? (CPI YoY)
Inflation in March? (CPI YoY)
Above 2.5%
Yes
/
No
Above 2.4%
Yes
/
No
$2,202,083
Which party will win the House next year?
Which party will win the House next year?
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Republican Party
Yes
/
No
$3,145,956
Jobs numbers this month?
Jobs numbers this month?
Above 150,000
Yes
/
No
Above 100,000
Yes
/
No
$2,410,642
Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor in Virginia?
Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor in Virginia?
Aaron Rouse
Yes
/
No
Levar Stoney
Yes
/
No
$16,345
Pro Football Champion?
Pro Football Champion?
Buffalo
12%
Yes
/
No
Kansas City
11%
Yes
/
No
$27,581,806
Will Ethereum have a hard fork before May?
Will Ethereum have a hard fork before May?
41%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$6,486
Tesla robotaxi public release this year?
Tesla robotaxi public release this year?
57%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$123,731
Gas prices in the US this month?
Gas prices in the US this month?
Above 3.20
Yes
/
No
Above 3.15
Yes
/
No
$642,224
FA Cup Winner?
FA Cup Winner?
Manchester City
28%
Yes
/
No
Aston Villa
18%
Yes
/
No
$143,461
"Thunderbolts" Rotten Tomatoes score?
"Thunderbolts" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 75
Yes
/
No
Above 60
Yes
/
No
$13,173
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?
0
Yes
/
No
5,001 to 10,000
Yes
/
No
$44,892
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve this year?
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve this year?
50%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,157,041
Tesla deliveries this quarter?
Tesla deliveries this quarter?
340000 or more
Yes
/
No
350000 or more
Yes
/
No
$622,905
New Supreme Court justice confirmed this year?
New Supreme Court justice confirmed this year?
32%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$299,289
Harvard application numbers this year?
Harvard application numbers this year?
Below 51,308
Yes
/
No
Below 48,608
Yes
/
No
$161,010
Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year?
Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year?
Republican Party
Yes
/
No
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
$1,818,333
How many reconciliation bills will pass this year?
How many reconciliation bills will pass this year?
1
Yes
/
No
2
Yes
/
No
$20,879
CPI core in April?
CPI core in April?
Above 0.3%
Yes
/
No
Above 0.2%
Yes
/
No
$2,664,237
Pro Hockey Champion?
Pro Hockey Champion?
Florida
Yes
/
No
Dallas
Yes
/
No
$866,549
How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?
How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?
10% to 19.99%
Yes
/
No
20% to 29.99%
Yes
/
No
$52,475
Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Pete Hegseth
Yes
/
No
Scott Bessent
Yes
/
No
$11,156
When will Tesla launch unsupervised full self-driving to the public?
When will Tesla launch unsupervised full self-driving to the public?
Before 2026
Yes
/
No
Before July
Yes
/
No
$37,720
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
Before September 2025
Yes
/
No
Before June 2025
Yes
/
No
$357,903
What will Apple Inc. say on their next earnings call?
What will Apple Inc. say on their next earnings call?
Supply chain
Yes
/
No
Satellite
Yes
/
No
$5,890
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
Tulsi Gabbard
Yes
/
No
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Yes
/
No
$2,400
Pro Baseball NL West Division Winner?
Pro Baseball NL West Division Winner?
Los Angeles D
Yes
/
No
San Diego
Yes
/
No
$2,576
Will Planned Parenthood be defunded this year?
Will Planned Parenthood be defunded this year?
55%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$21,859
S&P price range today at 4pm EDT?
S&P price range today at 4pm EDT?
5,675 to 5,699.9999
Yes
/
No
5,700 to 5,724.9999
Yes
/
No
$110,491,050·Daily
6h 33m 21s
Who will join the Trump Administration?
Who will join the Trump Administration?
Kari Lake
Yes
/
No
Natalie Harp
Yes
/
No
$3,829,684
Inflation in 2025?
Inflation in 2025?
2.6% to 3%
Yes
/
No
2.1% to 2.5%
Yes
/
No
$1,783,959
Will Trump say 'Scam Altman' before June?
Will Trump say 'Scam Altman' before June?
8%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$42,065
Top US Netflix movie this week?
Top US Netflix movie this week?
The Life List
Yes
/
No
Den of Thieves 2: Pantera
Yes
/
No
$299,150·Weekly
Rain in NYC this month?
Rain in NYC this month?
Above 5 inches
Yes
/
No
Above 1 inches
Yes
/
No
$790,373
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Before 2026
Yes
/
No
Before October
Yes
/
No
$639,861
Pro Baseball AL West Division Winner?
Pro Baseball AL West Division Winner?
Houston
Yes
/
No
Texas
Yes
/
No
$3,204
Highest temperature in Denver today?
Highest temperature in Denver today?
75° to 76°
Yes
/
No
73° to 74°
Yes
/
No
$15,820,117·Daily
16h 32m 21s
"Warfare" Rotten Tomatoes score?
"Warfare" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 85
Yes
/
No
Above 80
Yes
/
No
$33,960
Congress defunds NPR this year?
Congress defunds NPR this year?
22%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$25,662
Dogecoin price range today at 5pm EDT?
Dogecoin price range today at 5pm EDT?
$0.18 to 0.1849999
36%
Yes
/
No
$0.175 to 0.1799999
12%
Yes
/
No
$651,226·Daily
7h 33m 21s
Number of rate cuts in 2025?
Number of rate cuts in 2025?
2 cuts
Yes
/
No
3 cuts
Yes
/
No
$7,821,008
When will Trump end his tariffs against Canada?
When will Trump end his tariffs against Canada?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
$9,746
Billboard Top 200 #1 on Apr 5, 2025 chart?
Billboard Top 200 #1 on Apr 5, 2025 chart?
I AM MUSIC
Yes
/
No
I Said I Love You First
Yes
/
No
$545,349
Bird flu pandemic this year?
Bird flu pandemic this year?
11%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$111,423
GTA 6 release date?
GTA 6 release date?
Before November 2025
Yes
/
No
Before December 2025
Yes
/
No
$177,092
Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Finals Winner?
Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Finals Winner?
Boston
Yes
/
No
Cleveland
Yes
/
No
$467,692
Will Ethereum be flipped this year?
Will Ethereum be flipped this year?
21%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,693
Runner-up USA Song on Spotify today?
Runner-up USA Song on Spotify today?
Dark Thoughts
Yes
/
No
NOKIA
Yes
/
No
$122,521·Daily
14h 32m 20s
US credit rating downgrade this year?
US credit rating downgrade this year?
43%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$56,508
Will Trump create an "External Revenue" Service?
Will Trump create an "External Revenue" Service?
75%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$29,392
Who will vote for the next government funding bill in the Senate?
Who will vote for the next government funding bill in the Senate?
John Fetterman
Yes
/
No
Chuck Schumer
Yes
/
No
$7,450
How many seats will the Green Party win in the Canadian election?
How many seats will the Green Party win in the Canadian election?
1
Yes
/
No
2
Yes
/
No
$4,859
Pro Baseball NL Central Division Winner?
Pro Baseball NL Central Division Winner?
Chicago C
Yes
/
No
Milwaukee
Yes
/
No
$1,409
Top USA Song on Spotify today?
Top USA Song on Spotify today?
luther (with sza)
Yes
/
No
Dark Thoughts
Yes
/
No
$16,425,749·Daily
14h 32m 20s
F1 Drivers Champion?
F1 Drivers Champion?
Lando Norris
Yes
/
No
Oscar Piastri
Yes
/
No
$103,534
Will PBS and NPR be defunded this year?
Will PBS and NPR be defunded this year?
20%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$50,961
Who will Trump meet with this year?
Who will Trump meet with this year?
Mark Carney
Yes
/
No
Kim Jong-Un
Yes
/
No
$206,491
Who will win the Mayor election in Oakland?
Who will win the Mayor election in Oakland?
Barbara Lee
Yes
/
No
Loren Taylor
Yes
/
No
$7,570
What agencies will Trump and DOGE order to stop working this year?
What agencies will Trump and DOGE order to stop working this year?
Department of Education
Yes
/
No
FEMA
Yes
/
No
$65,805
Bayern Munich vs Inter
Champions LeagueBayern Munich vs Inter
BMU65¢
$100 → $––
INT37¢
$100 → $––
$575,412
Arsenal vs Real Madrid
Champions LeagueArsenal vs Real Madrid
ARS38¢
$100 → $––
RMA64¢
$100 → $––
$575,412
Barcelona vs Dortmund
Champions LeagueBarcelona vs Dortmund
BAR81¢
$100 → $––
BVB21¢
$100 → $––
$575,412
PSG vs Aston Villa
Champions LeaguePSG vs Aston Villa
PSG79¢
$100 → $––
AVL22¢
$100 → $––
$575,412
Next Fed rate hike?
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2027
Yes
/
No
Before 2026
Yes
/
No
$348,994
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?
17%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$76,025
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
India
Yes
/
No
France
Yes
/
No
$532,565
Who will win the governorship in Virginia?
Who will win the governorship in Virginia?
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Republican
Yes
/
No
$72,178
Masters Tournament Winner?
Masters Tournament Winner?
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Yes
/
No
Rory McIlroy
13%
Yes
/
No
$370,976
What will Karoline Leavitt say during her next press briefing?
What will Karoline Leavitt say during her next press briefing?
DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency
Yes
/
No
Hegseth
Yes
/
No
$2,272,602
How many seats will the Conservatives win in the Canadian election?
How many seats will the Conservatives win in the Canadian election?
120 to 139
Yes
/
No
100 to 119
Yes
/
No
$31,647
Top US Netflix show this week?
Top US Netflix show this week?
Adolescence: Limited Series
Yes
/
No
Chelsea Handler: The Feeling
Yes
/
No
$799,457·Weekly
Will the US government stop recommending fluoride in water?
Will the US government stop recommending fluoride in water?
46%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$100,960
How much will the government increase spending this year?
How much will the government increase spending this year?
At least $100 billion
Yes
/
No
At least $1 billion
Yes
/
No
$167,655
Pro Baseball National League Champion?
Pro Baseball National League Champion?
Los Angeles D
Yes
/
No
Atlanta
Yes
/
No
$52,203
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
USAID
Yes
/
No
IRS
Yes
/
No
$49,458
Europa League Champion?
Europa League Champion?
Athletic Bilbao
23%
Yes
/
No
Manchester United
19%
Yes
/
No
$124,052
Who will win the Ecuadorian Election?
Who will win the Ecuadorian Election?
Luisa González
Yes
/
No
Daniel Noboa
Yes
/
No
$97,372
Coinbase volume this quarter?
Coinbase volume this quarter?
Above 400 billion
Yes
/
No
Above 440 billion
Yes
/
No
$507,632
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Nicusor Dan
Yes
/
No
George Simion
Yes
/
No
$1,443,328
CPI in April?
CPI in April?
Above 0.3%
Yes
/
No
Above 0.2%
Yes
/
No
$6,071,047
Oscar nominations for Best Picture?
Oscar nominations for Best Picture?
Marty Supreme
Yes
/
No
Hamnet
Yes
/
No
$803,375
La Liga Champion?
La Liga Champion?
Barcelona
66%
Yes
/
No
Real Madrid
31%
Yes
/
No
$60,108
Wealthiest person in the world this year?
Wealthiest person in the world this year?
Elon Musk
Yes
/
No
Jeff Bezos
Yes
/
No
$358,847
Core inflation in April? (Core CPI YoY)
Core inflation in April? (Core CPI YoY)
Above 3.0
Yes
/
No
Above 2.9
Yes
/
No
$1,094,885
What will the price of GTA VI be?
What will the price of GTA VI be?
More than $80
Yes
/
No
More than $70
Yes
/
No
$9,454
When will the Senate pass another budget resolution?
When will the Senate pass another budget resolution?
Before Apr 4, 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Apr 11, 2025
Yes
/
No
NEW
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
Higher work requirement for SNAP recipients
Yes
/
No
Debt ceiling lift
Yes
/
No
$65,983
Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?
Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?
South Africa
Yes
/
No
Brazil
Yes
/
No
$137,558
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?
Yulia Navalnaya
Yes
/
No
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Yes
/
No
$506,416
ADP employment change this month?
ADP employment change this month?
Above 150000
Yes
/
No
Above 100000
Yes
/
No
$1,538
Government shutdown this year?
Government shutdown this year?
37%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$4,666,015
Will there be human-to-human transmission of the bird flu?
Will there be human-to-human transmission of the bird flu?
12%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$37,315
What will META say on their next earnings call?
What will META say on their next earnings call?
VR / Virtual reality
Yes
/
No
TikTok
Yes
/
No
$1,153
Robinhood Gold subscribers this quarter?
Robinhood Gold subscribers this quarter?
Above 3.2 million
Yes
/
No
Above 3.4 million
Yes
/
No
$72,810
Who will win the NYC Comptroller election?
Who will win the NYC Comptroller election?
Mark Levine
Yes
/
No
Justin Brannan
Yes
/
No
$10,127
Will the CDC end its recommendation for any vaccine this year?
Will the CDC end its recommendation for any vaccine this year?
50%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$34,830
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first year?
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first year?
62%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$447,359
How many deportations in Trump's first year?
How many deportations in Trump's first year?
At least 500,000
Yes
/
No
At least 750,000
Yes
/
No
$449,579
Will 'no tax on tips' become law this year?
Will 'no tax on tips' become law this year?
66%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$316,623
Will Trump cut income taxes for the highest earners this year?
Will Trump cut income taxes for the highest earners this year?
23%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$56,777
Who will win the governorship in New Jersey?
Who will win the governorship in New Jersey?
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Republican Party
Yes
/
No
$82,837
S&P close price end of 2025?
S&P close price end of 2025?
6,200 to 6,399.99
Yes
/
No
6,000 to 6,199.99
Yes
/
No
$39,583,286
Will Playboi Carti release another album this year?
Will Playboi Carti release another album this year?
15%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
0 cuts
Yes
/
No
4 cuts
Yes
/
No
$44,678
What assets will Trump's crypto reserve acquire this year?
What assets will Trump's crypto reserve acquire this year?
Bitcoin
Yes
/
No
Ether
Yes
/
No
$9,998
Will the US say that aliens exist this year?
Will the US say that aliens exist this year?
10%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$241,154
Ivy Leagues lose federal funding this year?
Ivy Leagues lose federal funding this year?
16%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$14,789
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
14%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$45,114
Unemployment in March?
Unemployment in March?
Above 4.1%
Yes
/
No
Above 4.2%
Yes
/
No
$1,469,092
When will Brandon Judd be confirmed as Ambassador to Chile?
When will Brandon Judd be confirmed as Ambassador to Chile?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
$1,729
Will the House impeach a federal judge this year?
Will the House impeach a federal judge this year?
14%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
"The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score?
"The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 75
Yes
/
No
Above 80
Yes
/
No
$18,180
How many POTUS posts on X the week ending Mar 28, 2025?
How many POTUS posts on X the week ending Mar 28, 2025?
13 to 16
Yes
/
No
17 to 20
Yes
/
No
$85,175·Weekly
2h 33m 21s
Which Canadian party leaders will resign after this year's election?
Which Canadian party leaders will resign after this year's election?
Jagmeet Singh
Yes
/
No
Pierre Poilievre
Yes
/
No
NEW
Which cryptocurrencies will have positive return this year?
Which cryptocurrencies will have positive return this year?
Bitcoin
Yes
/
No
Dogecoin
Yes
/
No
$59,522
Which countries will Trump impose a travel ban on in the first 100 days?
Which countries will Trump impose a travel ban on in the first 100 days?
Afghanistan
Yes
/
No
Syria
Yes
/
No
$238,209
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
Before October
Yes
/
No
Before 2026
Yes
/
No
$22,428
Chappell Roan has a #1 hit this year?
Chappell Roan has a #1 hit this year?
35%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$43,604
Recession this year?
Recession this year?
39%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,051,104
What agencies will have their budgets cut this year?
What agencies will have their budgets cut this year?
CFPB
Yes
/
No
SEC
Yes
/
No
$44,054
Ariana Grande has a #1 album this year?
Ariana Grande has a #1 album this year?
86%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$24,753
Will South Korea's Acting President be impeached before June?
Will South Korea's Acting President be impeached before June?
17%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$15,281
Will there be a recall election for Karen Bass this year?
Will there be a recall election for Karen Bass this year?
29%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$65,359
Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the House?
Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the House?
Thomas Massie
Yes
/
No
Jared Golden
Yes
/
No
$3,459
SpaceX Starship 9th launch?
SpaceX Starship 9th launch?
Before April 24
Yes
/
No
Before May 1
Yes
/
No
$1,805,450
This April is the hottest April ever?
This April is the hottest April ever?
64%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,711,838
Which party will win the next U.K. election?
Which party will win the next U.K. election?
The Labour party
Yes
/
No
The Reform party
Yes
/
No
$8,068
What will be the Nintendo Switch's release date?
What will be the Nintendo Switch's release date?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
$29,325
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
23%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$27,127
"The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score?
"The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 75
Yes
/
No
Above 60
Yes
/
No
$28,264
Will RFK end any vaccine approvals this year?
Will RFK end any vaccine approvals this year?
45%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$22,813
Will Trump and Putin call again before May?
Will Trump and Putin call again before May?
64%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$1,588
Will James Boasberg be impeached this year?
Will James Boasberg be impeached this year?
14%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before May?
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before May?
26%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$4,159
Who will be the next Australian Prime Minister?
Who will be the next Australian Prime Minister?
Anthony Albanese
Yes
/
No
Peter Dutton
Yes
/
No
$25,493
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
59%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$72,392