Who will be Trump's Secretary of Health and Human Services?

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 75%

Ben Carson 16%

Bobby Jindal 3%

Live bets: Kalshi.com

ALL

What is Kalshi?

Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the US where you can trade on events, just like stocks. Think of it as the NYSE, but for things you relate to, care about, and understand.

By Dec 31, 2026

% Chance

$9,531,483vol

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

75%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

75%

Ben Carson

16%

Ben Carson

16%

Bobby Jindal

-1

Bobby Jindal

-1

5 more markets

Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).

Rules summary for

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be Secretary of Health and Human Services between November 6, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

About

The Secretary of Health and Human Services oversees public health programs, including Medicare, Medicaid, and emergency health responses, while supporting vulnerable populations. President-elect Trump has nominated Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for this role, but he has yet to be confirmed by the Senate. (Source: LSD.Law)

What's happening

New

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is being considered for the position of Secretary of Health and Human Services in President-elect Trump's cabinet. Other potential candidates for this role include Bobby Jindal, Brian Blase, Eric Hargan, Paul Mango, Joe Grogan, Ben Carson, and Joseph Ladapo. The selection process is ongoing, with no official announcement made yet regarding who will fill this key cabinet position.

What's happening

Nov 9, 2024

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is now on a short list being floated by some Trump allies to serve as the next head of the Department of Health and Human Services, multiple people close to the president-elect's campaign say. Kennedy's odds of clearing a Senate confirmation process have risen after Republicans cemented their majority in the Senate. Other potential HHS secretary picks floated by Trump allies include former Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal and former deputy HHS secretary Eric Hargan.

People are also betting