Arctic sea ice minimum extent summer 2024?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
s
q
k
m
▲ 00
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
What is Kalshi?
Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the US where you can trade on events, just like stocks. Think of it as the NYSE, but for things you relate to, care about, and understand.
Summer 2024 (+0)
$177,554vol
Below 5.0 million sq km
Yes
Below 5.0 million sq km
Yes
Below 4.8 million sq km
Yes
Below 4.8 million sq km
Yes
Below 4.6 million sq km
Yes
Below 4.6 million sq km
Yes
8 more markets
Rules summary for
Below 5.0 million sq km
If the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 19, 2023 and October 01, 2024 where the extent of arctic sea ice is below 5.0 million square kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from National Snow & Ice Data Center.
Expiration value: YesTimeline and payout
About
Arctic sea ice extent has been consistently declining over the years. The record-low summer minimum extent was set in 2012, with the second-lowest in 2020, both dipping below 4.0 million square kilometers. From 1979 to 2023, the minimum extent has decreased by 12.5 percent per decade relative to the 1981-2010 average, with the past 17 years being the lowest in the 45-year record.
Show more
