How long will the next government shutdown be?
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By July 1, 2025
% Chance
$479,223vol
Above 0 days
47%
+6
Above 0 days
47%
+6
Above 7 days
28%
+9
Above 7 days
28%
+9
Above 14 days
15%
Above 14 days
15%
3 more markets
Rules summary for
Above 0 days
If the government is shut down for more than 0 days, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Office of Personnel Management.
Days will be counted by checking the source agency at 10:00 AM ET. PLEASE NOTE: If there are multiple government shutdowns during the relevant period, this market only applies to the first shutdown, as the market will resolve after the end of the first shutdown. Timeline and payout
About
Will a government shutdown occur in 2024? People are closely monitoring the political landscape, as a divided government and partisan gridlock could lead to a prolonged shutdown. Shutdowns tend to last longer when both parties are unwilling to compromise on spending priorities or when major policy disagreements are at stake.
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How long will the next government shutdown be?
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