Important information: The contract is settled by counting the number of seats held on Feb 1, 2025. If a seat has been vacated and is still empty on that date, it will not count towards this number.
Rules summary for
R by 1-5
If the margin of victory in the House (difference between the Republicans and second largest majority) is 1-5 , for the Republicans after the 2024 election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.
This market will expire the February 1 following the election, or the next date that data is available.Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Expiration value: R by 1-5