The President's 538 approval rating on Wednesday?
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6H
1D
ALL
Feb 26, 2025
% Chance
$3,889,966vol
48% or below
63%
+33
48.1% to 48.5%
24%
-19
48.6% to 49%
11%
-12
3 more markets
Rules summary for
48% or below
If the President's approval rating according to FiveThirtyEight is below 48.1% on February 26, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FiveThirtyEight.
The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on February 26, 2025. The market will expire at the sooner of the 10:00 AM on the first day after February 26, 2025 in which data is available for February 26, 2025, or one week after February 26, 2025. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
About
The president's future hangs in the balance, as voters weigh in on his handling of the economy, inflation, and the war in Ukraine. Around this time in his presidency, Trump had a similar approval rating! 538 calculates its approval rating by averaging polls from a variety of sources, weighted by their accuracy and methodology.
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The President's 538 approval rating on Wednesday?
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