Series Image

AI regulation becomes federal law this year?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
MayJulSepDecMar0%15%30%45%60%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Before 2026
$60,589vol

Order book


Rules summary
If a bill becomes law regulating AI (for example, banning them, limiting how they can be trained, or limiting how they can be used) by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.

Timeline and payout

About
The rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) has prompted U.S. regulatory authorities to seek effective means to govern this technology. While current AI regulation is fragmented across federal, state, and industry levels, new legislative measures and executive orders are being developed to address associated risks. Key efforts include export controls, investment restrictions, and comprehensive definitions of AI by various agencies. The outcome of potential new regulations is influenced by ongoing political dynamics and upcoming elections.
Show more
Series Image
AI regulation becomes federal law this year?
Buy Yes
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side
Contracts0
Average price
25¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0