Will Sam Altman be granted an equity stake in OpenAI this year?

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Before 2026

$14,248vol

Order book

Rules summary

If Sam Altman is granted an ownership stake in OpenAI before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from OpenAI and Bloomberg.

Timeline and payout

What's happening

New

The current discussions around OpenAI's restructuring and potential transition to a for-profit structure include considerations for granting CEO Sam Altman an equity stake in the company. Projections from September suggested that such a stake could increase Altman’s wealth by over $10 billion, further cementing his position in the tech industry’s elite. However, as of the latest reports, there is no confirmation on whether Altman will be granted an equity stake before 2025[4].

What's happening

Nov 8, 2024

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman denied plans for him to receive a "giant equity stake" in the company, stating during an all-hands meeting that such information is "just not true." Despite investors expressing concerns about Altman's lack of ownership in the company, no concrete figures have been proposed or decisions finalized regarding granting him an equity stake[1]. The board has discussed compensating Altman with equity but has not reached a decision, with Chairman Bret Taylor emphasizing that specific figures have not been discussed[1].

What's happening

Nov 5, 2024

OpenAI is considering granting CEO Sam Altman a 7% equity stake in the company as part of a restructuring to become a for-profit business. This move would mark the first time Altman is granted ownership in the artificial intelligence startup and could add more than $10 billion to his net worth, given the company's current valuation of $150 billion. However, as of the latest reports, no final decision has been made, and Altman has publicly denied that there are current plans to give him a "giant equity stake" in the company.

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