Who will be Trump's ATF Director?

Blake Masters 44%

Brandon Herrera 7%

Regina Lombardo 4%

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By Dec 31, 2026

% Chance

$55,501vol

Blake Masters

44%

-1

Blake Masters

44%

-1

Brandon Herrera

Regina Lombardo

-11

Regina Lombardo

-11

Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).

Rules summary for

Blake Masters

If Blake Masters is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be ATF Director between November 19, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

About

The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) is dedicated to enhancing public safety by enforcing federal laws related to firearms, explosives, arson, alcohol, and tobacco. ATF conducts investigations using specialized expertise, intelligence, and partnerships to combat violent crime and protect communities. The agency upholds the Constitution while prioritizing integrity, transparency, and collaboration in its mission to create safer communities. (Source: ATF.gov)

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