Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?

Liberal Party 80%

Conservative Party 20%

New Democratic Party 1%

ALL

For the next Parliament

Chance

$1,447,806vol

Liberal Party

Mark Carney

80%

▲ 1

Liberal Party

Mark Carney

80%

▲ 1

Conservative Party

Pierre Poilievre

20%

▼ 1

Conservative Party

Pierre Poilievre

20%

▼ 1

New Democratic Party

Jagmeet Singh

<1%

New Democratic Party

Jagmeet Singh

<1%

3 more markets

Rules summary for

Liberal Party

If the first Prime Minister for the 45th Parliament is a member of the Liberal Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from CBC.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

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