Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?

Conservative Party 62%

Liberal Party 38%

New Democratic Party 1%

Live bets: Kalshi.com

ALL

For the next Parliament

% Chance

$241,330vol

Conservative Party

Pierre Poilievre

62%

-2

Conservative Party

Pierre Poilievre

62%

-2

Liberal Party

Party Leader TBD

38%

Liberal Party

Party Leader TBD

38%

New Democratic Party

Jagmeet Singh

<1%

New Democratic Party

Jagmeet Singh

<1%

3 more markets

Rules summary for

Conservative Party

If the first Prime Minister for the 45th Parliament is a member of the Conservative Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from CBC.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions

People are also trading

Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?

52% chance

What will Karoline Leavitt say during her next press briefing?

47% chance

· Deport

How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?

44% chance

· At least 1 billion