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Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the US where you can trade on events, just like stocks. Think of it as the NYSE, but for things you relate to, care about, and understand.
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Rules summary
If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, and Fitch.
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About
On August 1, 2023, Fitch Ratings downgraded the US long-term credit rating from AAA to AA+ due to a worsening fiscal situation, increasing government debt, and declining governance standards. The downgrade received mixed reactions; some officials criticized it as "unwarranted" and "oddly timed," while market participants saw it as already reflected in asset prices. The downgrade serves as a warning sign, highlighting concerns over the US fiscal situation and governance.
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