US defaults this year?
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Before 2026
$662,157vol
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Rules summary
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies consider any United States debt in any form of default, before 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.
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About
Will the US default on its loans? The United States operates under a borrowing limit set by Congress. If Congress cannot raise this limit, the U.S. risks being unable to borrow additional funds, potentially leading to a default. This could result in higher borrowing costs, reduced investor confidence, and global financial instability. While the U.S. has never defaulted on its principal debt, past debates over the debt ceiling have raised concerns. Default is widely seen as a catastrophic scenario to be avoided at all costs.
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US defaults this year?
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