Number of emergency rate cuts in 2025? Odds & Predictions
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2025?
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2025?
0 cuts
Yes
0 cuts
Yes
1 cuts
No
1 cuts
No
2 cuts
No
2 cuts
No
2 more
Market Rules
0 cuts
The outcome is Yes
If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 0 times at emergency meetings in 2025, the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.
To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 4, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closedDec 31, 2025 · 11:59pm EST
Paid outJan 1, 2026 · 12:29am EST
SeriesKXEMERCUTS
EventKXEMERCUTS-25
MarketKXEMERCUTS-25-T0
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.