Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?

chance

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ALL

Before May 2025

$3,457,559vol

Order book

Important information: A rules clarification has been made - see Additional Details.

Rules summary

If the Trump Administration releases any previously unreleased documents from prior to the Administration discussing Jeffrey Epstein's associates/connections before May 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House and The New York Times.

The documents must discuss Epstein in connection with the associate, rather than simply be about them -- e.g. releasing a document about Bill Gates' charitable foundation would not resolve the market to Yes, even if they were connected. Additional clarification Sat, Mar 1: The Payout Criterion states: “…*Trump Administration has released, after Issuance and before , previously unreleased (but created prior to the start of his Administration, on January 20th 2025 at 12:00 PM ET) documents related to or discussing Jeffrey Epstein’s connections, or associates.”* Since the documents that were released by the Justice Department on Thursday were already publicly available, [as characterized by the DOJ themselves](https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/attorney-general-pamela-bondi-releases-first-phase-declassified-epstein-files), they do not constitute “previously unreleased” documents. If and when the Justice Department releases documents that contain novel material, the market will resolve as Yes.

Timeline and payout

About

Donald Trump has previously stated he would have "no problem" releasing documents related to Jeffrey Epstein if given the opportunity. Speculation has intensified following his recent election win, with social media and prominent figures urging for transparency. This market allows users to trade on whether the Trump Administration will release any unreleased Epstein-related documents within the first 100 days of his presidency.

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