EU loses a member before 2030?
What is Kalshi?
Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the US where you can trade on events, just like stocks. Think of it as the NYSE, but for things you relate to, care about, and understand.
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1 more markets
Rules summary
If any country formally leaves the EU by Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from EU.
Timeline and payout
About
Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union allows a member state to voluntarily and unilaterally withdraw from the EU. The country must notify the European Council, which then sets guidelines for a withdrawal agreement concluded by the Council of the European Union with the European Parliament's consent. EU treaties cease to apply either upon the agreement's entry into force or two years after notification unless extended. A withdrawn country can reapply for EU membership through the standard accession procedure.