Fed decision in March?
No change 98%
Cut 25bps 4%
Hike 25bps 1%
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Mar 19, 2025
% Chance
$15,020,252vol
No change
98%
+2
No change
98%
+2
Cut 25bps
4%
Cut 25bps
4%
Hike 25bps
<1%
Hike 25bps
<1%
2 more markets
Rules summary for
No change
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on March 19, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.
This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bp market will resolve to Yes and the 25bp market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.Clarification 10:10 AM ET 8/5/24: If a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then all strikes in this market resolve to No. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
About
The FOMC meeting determines interest rate policy. Hiking rates cools down the economy and combats inflation, cutting rates stimulates growth, and keeping rates stable reflects confidence in current conditions. Fun fact: The Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut was in response to the 1929 stock market crash!
Fed decision in March?
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