Which of these G7 leaders will leave office next?
% Chance
Justin Trudeau
Prime Minister of CanadaOlaf Scholz
Chancellor of GermanyEmmanuel Macron
President of France4 more markets
Rules summary for
Justin Trudeau
If the Prime Minister of Canada is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, ABC, NBC, MSNBC, Semafor, Axios, The Information, Fox News, Politico, Bloomberg, and AP.
An announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
Which of these G7 leaders will leave office next?
Buy Yes · Justin TrudeauPrime Minister of CanadaBuy
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