Which ICE reforms will become law this year? Odds & Predictions 2027
Which ICE reforms will become law this year?
Which ICE reforms will become law this year?
Chance
Separate HSI from ICE
9.9%
Separate HSI from ICE
9.9%
Mask ban
8%
Mask ban
8%
QR-code identification
6.9%
QR-code identification
6.9%
3 more
Market Rules
Separate HSI from ICE
If legislation that transfers Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) out of ICE to establish it as a separate entity within the Department of Homeland Security has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
An example of this is H.R. 673 (119th) — ICE Security Reform Act of 2025.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 5, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXICEREFORM
EventKXICEREFORM
MarketKXICEREFORM-HSI
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