Best AI this month?

% Chance

Grok

xAI

Grok

xAI

ChatGPT

OpenAI

ChatGPT

OpenAI

Claude

Anthropic

Claude

Anthropic

2 more markets

Rules summary for

Grok

If xAI has the top-ranked LLM on Feb 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard.

A tie would resolve to No. To be clear, this refers to the "Rank (UB)" column of the leaderboard, not the Arena Elo Score proper. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

About

The Large Language Model (LLM) market is highly competitive, with several key players vying for dominance. LLMs are becoming essential components of the digital world, enabling sophisticated search tools and better customer service across various industries. The global LLM market was valued at US$6.66 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29.71%, reaching an estimated US$41.17 billion by 2030.