Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory this month?

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory this month?

$979 vol

Order book

No

Market Rules

The outcome is No

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for any country not at Level 4 as of Issuance before Feb 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the U.S. State Department.

Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Feb 1, 2026 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.

Timeline and payout

Market openJan 15, 2026 · 4:00pm EST

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the U.S. State Department issues a qualifying advisory for the specific country. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 31, 2026 at 11:59pm EST.

SeriesKXLVL4WARNING

EventKXLVL4WARNING

MarketKXLVL4WARNING-26FEB01

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