Who will the next Pope be?

Pietro Parolin 29%

Luis Antonio Tagle 17%

Peter Turkson 14%

ALL

Before 2035

Chance

$4,708,956vol

Pietro Parolin

Italy

29%

▲ 3

Pietro Parolin

Italy

29%

▲ 3

Luis Antonio Tagle

Philippines

17%

▼ 2

Luis Antonio Tagle

Philippines

17%

▼ 2

Peter Turkson

Ghana

14%

▼ 2

Peter Turkson

Ghana

14%

▼ 2

More markets

Rules summary for

Pietro Parolin

If Pietro Parolin becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.

The person elected must also accept the office. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.