Who will win the Ecuadorian Election?

Daniel Noboa 86%

Luisa González 10%

Andrea González Náder 1%

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The 2025 Election

% Chance

$37,372vol

Daniel Noboa

86%

-4

Daniel Noboa

86%

-4

Luisa González

10%

Luisa González

10%

Andrea González Náder

<1%

Andrea González Náder

<1%

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Rules summary for

Daniel Noboa

If Daniel Noboa wins the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from AP, New York Times, and The Guardian.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

What's happening

New

Current President Daniel Noboa is leading in the polls for the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election, with a significant margin over his closest competitors. According to recent polls, Noboa holds around 32% of voter intention, followed by Luisa González and other candidates such as Jean Topic and indigenous leader Leonidas Iza. Noboa's campaign focuses on continuing his efforts to combat drug trafficking and organized crime, which have been central issues during his presidency.

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