When will a budget reconciliation bill become law?
Before July 2025 27%
Before September 2025 68%
Before December 2025 87%
1D
1W
1M
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Before 2025
Chance
$40,894vol
Before July 2025
27%
Before September 2025
68%
Before December 2025
87%
▲ 10
4 more markets
Rules summary for
Before July 2025
If a budget reconciliation bill becomes law before Jul 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Timeline and payout
About
Budget reconciliation bills are a unique legislative process in Congress that allows for expedited passage of certain budget-related measures. For a reconciliation bill to become law, it must pass both the House of Representatives and the Senate, often requiring only a simple majority in the Senate rather than the usual 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. These bills are typically used to address spending, revenue, and debt limit provisions. This market focuses on whether any reconciliation bill will successfully pass both chambers of Congress and be signed into law by the President before July 1, 2025.
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