LiveIdeas
Series Image

How many Senators will vote for RFK as Secretary of HHS?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
forecast
▲
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
DecDecJanJanFeb4950515253
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before Aug 2025 (+0)
$1,471,989vol
51
No
52
Yes
53
There are 53 republican senators
No
10 more markets
Rules summary for
51
If exactly 51 Senators vote in favor of confirming Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services before Aug 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Senate.
Ranges are inclusive. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
About
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., an environmental lawyer and anti-vaccine activist, has been nominated by President-elect Donald Trump as Secretary of Health and Human Services. Known for leading Children’s Health Defense and promoting vaccine misinformation, Kennedy’s nomination has drawn bipartisan concern over his ability to manage agencies like the CDC and FDA. While some Republicans back his stance on health transparency, many are uneasy about his vaccine skepticism. (Source: NPR)
Show more
Illustration of gavel
Determined