Tesla robotaxi public release this year?
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Before 2026
$105,410vol
Order book
Rules summary
If Tesla has released its robotaxi service to the public before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Tesla.
Timeline and payout
About
Tesla is set to unveil its highly anticipated Robotaxi on August 8, 2024, with plans to bring the price per mile down to rival bus tickets in major cities. The Robotaxi service is expected to transform urban mobility by offering a cost-effective, convenient, and eco-friendly alternative to traditional car ownership, potentially reducing car ownership in cities and alleviating traffic congestion. Regulatory and societal hurdles, such as gaining public trust in autonomous vehicles and developing new infrastructure, remain significant challenges to overcome before an actual release.
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Decoding the market
Case for Before 2026
'However, now it appears that the Robotaxi and the next-gen vehicle will share a lot in common, meaning that a production date for the Robotaxi can be similar to the next-gen vehicle, which is currently slated to begin in 'late 2025.'' (NotaTeslaApp - 4.6.24)
Case for Not before 2026
'Tesla promised all their cars would be fully autonomous eight years ago, and even though they've changed their approach several times during that period, many believe they still remain years away from achieving full autonomy,' said John Krafcik, former CEO of Waymo, Alphabet's autonomous driving technology company. (via Reuters - 6.6.24)
Tesla robotaxi public release this year?
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