How much will the SALT tax cap deduction be raised to this year?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
forecast
▲
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2026
Chance
$15,032vol
$20,000 or above
78%
$20,000 or above
78%
$30,000 or above
43%
▼ 2
$30,000 or above
43%
▼ 2
$50,000 or above
20%
$50,000 or above
20%
2 more markets
Rules summary for
$30,000 or above
If a bill becomes law that raises the maximum amount that at least some class of taxpayer can deduct state and local taxes paid from their federal income taxes to at least $30,000 before Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.