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By Dec 31, 2026
% Chance
$323,541vol
Linda McMahon
92%
-5
Linda McMahon
92%
-5
Betsy DeVos
<1%
Betsy DeVos
<1%
Ryan Walters
<1%
Ryan Walters
<1%
4 more markets
Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Rules summary for
Linda McMahon
If Linda McMahon is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be Secretary of Education between November 6, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
About
The Secretary of Education oversees all activities of the Department of Education and serves as the principal adviser to the President on federal education policies, programs, and initiatives. President-elect Trump has nominated Linda McMahon for this role, but she has yet to be confirmed by the Senate. (Source: ED.gov)
Market updates
New
President-elect Donald Trump has chosen Linda McMahon, a former wrestling executive and head of the Small Business Administration, to be his secretary of education.
What's happening
Nov 13, 2024
Speculation over Trump's education secretary includes several names, with some experts suggesting a candidate with higher education experience might be preferred due to pressing issues like accreditation and student loans. Among the potential candidates are Ryan Walters, the state superintendent of Oklahoma, and Tiffany Justice, the co-founder of Moms for Liberty. Betsy DeVos, who served as Trump's first education secretary, has expressed interest in helping but suggests an ideal secretary would be a current or former governor who has led on education reform issues, such as Glenn Youngkin.