Who will be Trump's Secretary of Housing and Urban Development?

Scott Turner 98%

Ben Carson 2%

Bill Pulte 1%

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By Dec 31, 2026

% Chance

$556,330vol

Scott Turner

98%

Scott Turner

98%

Ben Carson

<1%

Ben Carson

<1%

Bill Pulte

<1%

Bill Pulte

<1%

2 more markets

Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).

Rules summary for

Scott Turner

If Scott Turner is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be Secretary of Housing and Urban Development between November 6, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

About

The Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) oversees all departmental powers and functions as defined by law, managing housing policies, community development, and fair housing enforcement. The role includes organizational authority within HUD, guided by legislative statutes like the HUD Act. President-elect Trump has nominated Scott Turner for this position, but he has yet to be confirmed by the Senate. (Source: HUD.gov)

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