Who will be the Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 100%

John Cornyn N/A

Rick Scott N/A

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After the 2024 Election (+0)

$6,603,809vol

John Thune

Yes

John Thune

Yes

John Cornyn

Rick Scott

8 more markets

Rules summary for

John Thune

If John Thune is the Senate Majority Leader on February 1st, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.

If no one occupies the position on February 1, then the market will stay open until someone occupies it. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Expiration value: John Thune

Timeline and payout

What's happening

New

Senate Republicans have elected John Thune of South Dakota as their new leader, replacing Mitch McConnell. Thune won the leadership race against former Whip John Cornyn of Texas and Sen. Rick Scott of Florida. Thune will take on the role as Senate Majority Leader, leading the Republican conference in the 119th Congress[3].

What's happening

Nov 13, 2024

Senate Republicans will select the majority leader for the upcoming Congress in a secret ballot, replacing outgoing Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY). The three declared candidates are Senators John Thune (R-SD), John Cornyn (R-TX), and Rick Scott (R-FL), with Thune considered the frontrunner. President-elect Trump has asked these candidates to agree to recess appointments, which allow positions to be filled without formal Senate confirmation, with Scott immediately embracing the request while the others were more circumspect.

What's happening

Nov 12, 2024

Three senators are running in a secret ballot election for the Senate Majority Leader position: John Thune of South Dakota, John Cornyn of Texas, and Rick Scott of Florida. Thune, the current Senate Minority Whip, is seen as the establishment choice, focusing on maintaining party unity and advancing a traditional conservative platform. Cornyn, a former Majority Whip, would prioritize conservative fiscal policies, judicial confirmations, and a steady defense budget, while Scott, a staunch ally of President-elect Donald Trump, would push the "America First" agenda.

What's happening

Nov 12, 2024

Sen. John Cornyn of Texas is vying to become the Senate Majority Leader, a position that will be decided by a secret-ballot vote among Republicans. The outcome is uncertain, and Cornyn faces competition from other potential candidates, though none are specified in the context of direct competition within the provided information. The decision will determine who takes on the powerful role within the Senate.

What's happening

Nov 4, 2024

Senate Republicans are set to elect a new leader in a secret ballot on November 13, with John Thune of South Dakota and John Cornyn of Texas emerging as the front-runners to replace Mitch McConnell. Both Thune and Cornyn have been campaigning and fundraising for colleagues, making their final pitches before the consequential ballot. The outcome remains uncertain, with a few Republican senators publicly endorsing a candidate, while many remain undecided, and Florida Sen. Rick Scott could act as a spoiler in the race.

What's happening

Nov 3, 2024

South Dakota's John Thune and John Cornyn of Texas are the front-runners in the Nov. 13 secret ballot to replace Mitch McConnell as Senate GOP leader. Both Thune and Cornyn have been campaigning and fundraising for colleagues, making their final arguments before the consequential ballot, but most GOP senators remain undecided. The outcome could be influenced by whether Donald Trump wins the presidential election and if he endorses one of the contenders, potentially impacting the votes of his allies in the Senate.

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