Room-temp superconductor validated in 2024?
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2024 (+0)
$288,832vol
No
Rules summary
If an eligible peer-reviewed journal publishes research that reports that a material is room-temperature superconductive (it has a critical temperature greater than room temperature, exhibits 10^-10 ohm-cm electrical resistivity or less, and exhibits the Meissner effect), then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Condensed Matter Physics research.
Eligible journals include those in the first quartile ("Q1") of SJR's condensed matter physics journals or any journal above a 1.0 SJR ranking. Timeline and payout
About
Scientists are racing to develop new materials that could revolutionize industries from energy to transportation. A room-temperature superconducting power grid could reduce energy losses by up to 90%. This would save trillions of dollars in energy costs each year and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Decoding the market
Case for Reported
Last August, South Korean researchers made headlines with claims of a room temperature superconductor. While other scientists initially failed to replicate the same experiment, attempts are ongoing. Now a team in China is making similar claims about a near-room-temperature superconductor.
Case for Not reported
Fool me once, shame on me, fool me twice, and you should probably start selling health supplements online. The South Korean research fell apart under scrutiny, and the more recent claims out of China will most likely do the same. If it sounds too good to be true, it's probably time to buy 'No'.
