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What countries will Trump tariff this year?

Colombia 63%
Taiwan 56%
Germany 39%
Live bets: Kalshi.com
Jan 30Feb 4Feb 9Feb 14Feb 1925%37.5%50%62.5%75%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Before Jan 1, 2026
% Chance
$66,481vol

Colombia
63%
+8
Colombia
63%
+8

Taiwan
56%
-8
Taiwan
56%
-8

Germany
39%
+1
Germany
39%
+1

7 more markets

Rules summary for
Colombia
If the President imposes any new (or raised) tariffs on Colombia before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House and The New York Times.
Global tariffs (tariffs on all imports into the United States) will not affect the value of this market, which is only about country/bloc-specific tariffs. In the same vein, an EU-wide tariff would not count for a member country such as "Germany", but it would satisfy the criterion for "The European Union".

Timeline and payout

What countries will Trump tariff this year?
Buy Yes · Colombia
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