Series Image

Will Trump impose new tariffs on China this year?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
DecDecJanJanFeb77%82.5%88%93.5%99%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Before 2026 (+0)
$11,701vol

Order book
Yes


Rules summary
If new tariffs are imposed (or tariffs are raised) on People's Republic of China by an executive action before 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House and The New York Times.
The tariffs must actually be in effect for at least some businesses to resolve the market to Yes. Expiration value: Yes

Timeline and payout