How many Cabinet members will Trump fire this year?

Before 2026

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Rules summary for

If President Trump announces that he has fired, dismissed, or asked for the resignation of exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House and The New York Times.

For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. An “acting” member of the Cabinet is not included. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

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