Which party will win the next U.K. election?

% Chance

The Reform party

The Labour party

The Conservative party

2 more markets

Rules summary for

The Reform party

If Reform receives the most seats in the next U.K. general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.

If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.