Which Senators will vote for RFK?

Bill Cassidy 76%

John Curtis 74%

John Fetterman 30%

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Before 2026

% Chance

$1,608,078vol

Bill Cassidy

76%

Bill Cassidy

76%

John Curtis

74%

John Curtis

74%

John Fetterman

30%

John Fetterman

30%

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Rules summary for

John Fetterman

If John Fetterman votes Yea for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Senate.

Timeline and payout

About

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., an environmental lawyer and anti-vaccine activist, has been nominated by President-elect Donald Trump as Secretary of Health and Human Services. Known for leading Children’s Health Defense and promoting vaccine misinformation, Kennedy’s nomination has drawn bipartisan concern over his ability to manage agencies like the CDC and FDA. While some Republicans back his stance on health transparency, many are uneasy about his vaccine skepticism. (Source: NPR)

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