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Who will win the popular vote?
Oct
Oct
Nov
Dec
May
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Donald Trump
99%
Kamala Harris
1%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2024 (+0)
$81,933,515
vol
Donald Trump
Yes
Donald Trump
Yes
Kamala Harris
No
Kamala Harris
No
Rules summary for
Learn more
Donald Trump
The outcome is Donald Trump
If Donald Trump or another representative of the Republican party wins the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
United States Congress
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
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31% chance
ยท
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Determined
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/markets/popvote/popular-vote-winner
100%