Who will win NE-2 (Nebraska's second Congressional district) in the presidential election?

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2024 (+0)

$544,034vol

Kamala Harris

Yes

Kamala Harris

Yes

Donald Trump

Rules summary for

Kamala Harris

If Kamala Harris or another representative of the Democratic party wins NE-2 (Nebraska's second Congressional district) in the 2024 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Expiration value: Kamala Harris

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions

What's happening

New

Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, also known as the "blue dot," could be pivotal in the presidential election due to its unique electoral vote system. In 2020, Joe Biden won the district by more than six points, and recent polls show Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 12 points in the district. The district's single electoral vote could be crucial in a tight presidential race, with some scenarios suggesting it could be the deciding factor in reaching 270 electoral votes.

What's happening

Nov 4, 2024

Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, often referred to as the "blue dot," has become a critical battleground in the presidential election due to its potential to swing the Electoral College vote. In 2020, President Joe Biden won the district by more than six points, and recent polls suggest that Kamala Harris maintains this edge, with a New York Times/Siena College poll showing her up by 12 points in the district. Despite Donald Trump's commanding lead statewide, the district's single electoral vote could be pivotal in a tight election, potentially delivering the 270th electoral vote needed to win the presidency.

What's happening

Nov 3, 2024

Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, which includes Omaha, is a crucial battleground in the presidential election. In 2020, President Joe Biden won this district, and it is seen as a potential source for an extra electoral vote for Vice President Kamala Harris. The district's competitiveness makes it a key target for both Harris and former President Donald Trump, with recent polling suggesting it could be a tight race, but no specific polling data is provided in the source to predict a clear winner between Harris and Trump.

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