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Who will win Nevada in the presidential election?

Live bets: Kalshi.com
OctOctNovDecFeb0%25%50%75%100%
Donald Trump99%Kamala Harris1%
1W
1M
ALL
2024 (+0)
$10,607,466vol
Donald Trump
Yes
Donald Trump
Yes
Kamala Harris
No
Kamala Harris
No
Rules summary for
Donald Trump
If Donald Trump or another representative of the Republican party wins Nevada in the 2024 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Expiration value: Donald Trump
Timeline and payout
Trading prohibitions
Market updates
New
Prediction: Harris, 48.5 percent; Trump 48.2 percent; ... It’s going to be very, very close.
@Jon Ralston, The Nevada Independent
What's happening
Nov 3, 2024
Kamala Harris leads in the latest three surveys in Nevada, indicating a strong position in the state. However, she struggles with Latino voters, which could potentially impact her overall performance. Despite this challenge, Harris's consistent lead in recent polls suggests she is currently favored to win Nevada in the presidential election.
Forbes
What's happening
Nov 2, 2024
Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in the latest two surveys in Nevada, indicating a tight but favorable race for Harris in the state. Harris is ahead by 2 points in Nevada, with 49% to Trump's 47%, according to a recent poll by Data for Progress conducted between October 25-31. This suggests that Harris has a slight edge in Nevada as the election approaches.
Forbes
What's happening
Nov 2, 2024
Kamala Harris leads in the latest two surveys in Nevada, despite struggling with Latino voters. The Emerson College Polling/RealClearWorld poll shows Harris with 48% support and Trump with 47% among likely Nevada voters. Another poll by Data for Progress also indicates Harris leading Trump by 2 points in Nevada, with 49% to 47%.
Forbes
What's happening
Oct 19, 2024
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are essentially tied in Nevada, with neither candidate having a significant lead. The latest polling averages show a very close race, indicating that the outcome in Nevada remains highly uncertain. The tight margin suggests that either candidate could potentially win the state, making it a critical battleground in the presidential election.
The New York Times
What's happening
Oct 18, 2024
Nevada's presidential election outcome is highly uncertain, with the state being considered a crucial swing state. The Culinary Union, with 60,000 members, is playing a significant role in canvassing efforts to swing the vote for Kamala Harris, focusing on economic issues such as the cost of food and housing. Despite these efforts, the race remains tight, with some suggesting that if the election were held today, Donald Trump might win, but the Culinary Union's ground-level work could potentially tip the balance in Harris's favor over the next few weeks.
Social Europe
What's happening
Oct 16, 2024
Donald Trump is leading in multiple swing states, including a narrow lead in Nevada, as the presidential election race tightens between him and Kamala Harris. The latest polls indicate a close contest in Nevada, which could play a pivotal role in determining the outcome of the election. Trump's lead in Nevada, though narrow, suggests he may have an edge in securing the state's six electoral votes.
The Independent
What's happening
Oct 14, 2024
Nevada has voted for Democrats in every presidential election since 2008, suggesting a historical trend favoring Democratic candidates. In the 2024 election, Kamala Harris currently holds a narrow lead over Donald Trump in Nevada polls. However, Harris struggles with Latino voters, a crucial demographic in the state, which could potentially impact her chances of securing the state's electoral votes.
Forbes
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