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Who will win Pennsylvania in the presidential election?

OctOctNovDecJan0%25%50%75%100%
Donald Trump99%Kamala Harris1%
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2024 (+0)
$17,042,008vol
Donald Trump
Yes
Donald Trump
Yes
Kamala Harris
No
Kamala Harris
No
Rules summary for
Donald Trump
If Donald Trump or another representative of the Republican party wins Pennsylvania in the 2024 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Expiration value: Donald Trump
Timeline and payout
Trading prohibitions
What's happening
New
Muhlenberg College's final poll of the 2024 presidential campaign in Pennsylvania shows Vice President Kamala Harris with a slight edge over former President Donald Trump, 49% to 47%, among 450 likely Pennsylvania voters surveyed. Harris' 2-point lead is well within the poll's 6-point margin of error, indicating the race remains statistically tied. This slight gain for Harris comes after last month's poll found support for both candidates evenly split at 48%.
lehighvalleynews.com
What's happening
Oct 16, 2024
Pennsylvania is a crucial swing state in the 2024 presidential election, with 19 electoral votes that could significantly influence the outcome. The race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is extremely tight in the state, with polls showing mixed results: ABC News project 538 has Harris up by +0.8 (48.1% to Trump's 47.3%), while 270towin shows Trump leading by 0.1% in Pennsylvania. Additionally, realclearpolling indicates that Pennsylvania's odds are favoring Trump with a +0.3 spread over Harris, and Polymarket shows Trump leading with 59% odds over Harris's 42% odds in the state.
GoErie
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Determined