Tesla Roadsters delivered this year?

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Before 2026

$9,421vol

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Rules summary

If the Tesla Roadster begins delivery before Jan 1, 2026, the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Tesla.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions

About

Tesla began delivering its first-generation Roadster in 2008, with over 1,400 units delivered by December 2010 and around 2,450 units produced between 2008 and 2012. The original Roadster was a limited-production sports car that played a significant role in the company's early success and the growth of electric vehicles. In 2017, Tesla announced the return of the Roadster, promising a new model capable of accelerating from 0 to 60 mph in 1.9 seconds and reaching a top speed of 250 mph. However, the release of the new Roadster has been delayed multiple times, with production now expected to begin in 2025.

Decoding the market

Case for Before 2026

'Tesla CEO Elon Musk has announced that the long-awaited production version of the Tesla Roadster is set to be revealed later this year, promising groundbreaking performance figures that defy convention in the electric vehicle realm.' (via Business Today - 02.29.24)

Case for Not before 2026

Elon Musk isn't the best at making predictions, at least when it comes to timeframes. As he told Business Insider on 4/18/22, 'These are just guesses; people shouldn't hold me to these things.'

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