Series Image

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
NovNovDecJanJan3.5%7%10.5%14%17.5%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

What is Kalshi?
Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the US where you can trade on events, just like stocks. Think of it as the NYSE, but for things you relate to, care about, and understand.
Before 2029
$33,107vol

Order book
Order book


Rules summary
If the 22nd Amendment is repealed or if the Supreme Court reintrepets the 22nd Amendment to permit an individual to be elected President more than twice before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress and The New York Times.

Timeline and payout

What's happening
New
The 22nd Amendment of the United States Constitution restricts a President from running for a third term, stating that "no person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice." For Trump to seek a third term, he would need to have the 22nd Amendment repealed, which requires a two-thirds majority in both the House and Senate, followed by ratification from three-fourths of the 50 states. Given the current political landscape, achieving such an amendment is highly improbable, making Trump's 2025-2029 term likely to be his last in the White House.
Series Image
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
Buy Yes
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side
Contracts0
Average price
11¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0