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Primary Elections

United States 2026
US flag

Primary Elections

United States 2026

2026 Primary Elections

US flag

Trending

1
Oscar for Best Actor?Michael B. Jordan
62%
▲6
2
Oscar for Best Picture?One Battle After Another
77%––
3
Announcers at Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Professional Basketball GameTech / Technical
51%
▼13

2026 Primaries

1
How many House Republicans will lose their primary this year?7 or more
41%
▼6
2
How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary this year?2
47%
▲7
3
Democratic Senate primaries comboYes
57%
▼5

Top movers

1
Announcers at Orlando vs Atlanta Professional Basketball GameJordan
90%
▲80
2
Women's Round of 32 QualifiersGrand Canyon
2%
▼97
3
Men's College Basketball Tournament Most Outstanding PlayerAJ Dybantsa
2%
▼97

New

1
Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?Robin
60%––
2
When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?Before Mar 18, 2026
75%
▲12
3
Who will attend Trump's crypto & business conference?Donald Trump
55%––

Highest volume

1
THE PLAYERS Championship Winner?Ludvig Aberg
$77,149,251 vol73 markets
65%
▲26
2
2028 Democratic nominee for President?Gavin Newsom
$60,923,078 vol39 markets
30%
▲2
3
Men's College Basketball ChampionMichigan
$52,153,683 vol111 markets
21%
▲2
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading

Primary Elections

United States 2026
US flag

Primary Elections

United States 2026

2026 Primary Elections

US flag

Politics

Congress

How long will the government shutdown last?

At least 60 days
2.05x
At least 55 days
1.76x
$4,437,697 vol21 markets
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading
Congress

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029
1.59x
Before 2027
7.14x
$223,536 vol3 markets
Trump

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 2027
5.25x
Before August
11.7x
$1,371,950 vol9 markets
International

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

Between 10% and 19.99%
1.35x
Between 20% and 29.99%
6.25x
$42,762 vol7 markets

Elections

US Elections

2028 Democratic nominee for President?

Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
3.33x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11.1x
$60,923,078 vol39 markets
US Elections

2028 Republican nominee for President?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
2.63x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
3.57x
$21,982,282 vol30 markets
US Elections

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.18x
Republican Party
Republican Party
6.25x
$6,772,262 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Senate winner?

Republican party
Republican party
1.75x
James Talarico
James Talarico
2.27x
$1,709,803 vol2 markets

Companies

AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

xAI
2.08x
OpenAI
1.72x
$854,462 vol14 markets
Elon Musk

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

340000 or more
2.22x
330000 or more
1.64x
$412,166 vol12 markets
BTC

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

Before January 2027
2.50x
Before October 2026
3.23x
$3,666,880 vol8 markets
IPOs

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

OpenAI
OpenAI
1.82x
Anthropic
Anthropic
2.33x
$982,866 vol28 markets

Economics

Employment

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Soft landing
1.89x
Stagflation
4.35x
$7,118 vol4 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 1 cut
3.70x
Exactly 0 cuts
3.85x
$2,074,882 vol21 markets
Employment

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

Yes
1.16x
No
6.29x
$2,079,657 vol1 market
Employment

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

Above 9%
1.92x
Above 8%
1.61x
$9,165 vol10 markets

Oscar for Best Actor?

MarketPays outOdds
Michael B. Jordan
Michael B. Jordan
1.57x
Timothee Chalamet
Timothee Chalamet
3.08x
$14,444,981 vol4 markets

News · The Best Actor race at the 98th Academy Awards is shaping up as one of the night’s most unpredictable contests, with several performers in strong contention, BBC News Reports. Michael B. Jordan’s performance in “Sinners” has gained late momentum after recent awards wins, while Timothée Chalamet and others remain firmly in the mix heading into Sunday's ceremony.

THE PLAYERS Championship Winner?

LIVERound 4
Ludvig Aberg
Matt Fitzpatrick
$77,214,551 vol71 markets

News · Rory McIlroy said a back injury is improving but a final decision on defending his Players Championship title at TPC Sawgrass will likely come shortly before his scheduled tee time, BBC Sport Reports. The Northern Irish golfer withdrew from the Arnold Palmer Invitational after aggravating the injury but said the issue is muscular and improving as he prepares for a potential return.

SEC Championship: Vanderbilt vs Arkansas

LIVE· 2ND - 10:58
Arkansas
Arkansas
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt
$7,855,931 volSpread and Total

News · Arkansas and Vanderbilt meet Sunday in Nashville with a tournament title on the line after both teams won their semifinal matchups, while Arkansas also took the only regular-season meeting between them, CBS Sports reports. Vanderbilt is chasing its first conference tournament crown since 2012, while Arkansas is trying to win the event for the first time since 2000.

Oscar for Best Picture?

MarketPays outOdds
One Battle After Another
One Battle After Another
1.26x
Sinners
Sinners
4.98x
$16,857,414 vol9 markets

News · The 98th Academy Awards take place Sunday in Los Angeles, with the Best Picture race widely seen as a showdown between 'One Battle After Another' and 'Sinners,' KTLA Reports. Paul Thomas Anderson's political comedy-thriller built early momentum during awards season, while Ryan Coogler's vampire drama gained attention with 16 nominations and a major ensemble win at the Actor Awards.

Indian Wells Championship: Sabalenka vs Rybakina

LIVE
Elena Rybakina
5
Aryna Sabalenka
2
$1,466,216 vol

News · The Indian Wells women’s final will feature another showdown between the world’s top-ranked player and the world No. 3 after both advanced with straight-set semifinal victories, BBC News reports. The matchup marks their third final meeting in just over four months as the rivals renew one of the sport's most competitive recent title clashes.

Who will attend the Oscars?

MarketPays outOdds
Hailee Steinfeld
Hailee Steinfeld
2.89x
Connor Storrie
Connor Storrie
3.66x
$711,653 vol10 markets

News · The 98th Academy Awards will take place Sunday evening in Hollywood, with the ceremony airing at 7 p.m. ET on ABC, Boston.com Reports. The event will honor films across major categories including Best Picture, Best Actor, and Best Actress during one of the film industry's biggest nights.

Minnesota at Oklahoma City

LIVE· 3RD - 7:34
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Minnesota
Minnesota
$4,610,298 volSpread and Total

News · Minnesota travels to face Oklahoma City at 1:00 p.m ET Sunday at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, The Oklahoman reports. Oklahoma City enters the matchup after a close home win earlier in the week, while Minnesota arrives following a road victory on Friday.
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