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Customize your view

Get the classic Kalshi experience. You can always switch between modes in Settings later.

Trending

1
IL-09 Democratic nominee?Daniel Biss
79%
▲9
2
Illinois Democratic Senate nominee?Raja Krishnamoorthi
60%
▲12
3
Bitcoin price on Friday at 5pm EDT?$74,750 or above
46%
▲6
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading

2026 Primaries

1
IL-09 Democratic nominee?Daniel Biss
79%
▲9
2
Illinois Democratic Senate nominee?Raja Krishnamoorthi
60%
▲12
3
Illinois Republican Senate nominee?Don Tracy
93%
▼2

Top movers

1
New York M vs MiamiNew York M
84%
▲73
2
Who will be featured on Yeat's next album?Drake
84%
▲82
3
St. John's at ColumbiaSt. John's
20%
▼74

New

1
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?Before May 1, 2026
41%
▲41
2
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?Before May 15, 2026
30%
▲30
3
Will Congress reauthorize FISA before it expires?Yes
75%
▲75

Highest volume

1
Men's College Basketball ChampionDuke
68 markets
19%
▼2
2
2028 Democratic nominee for President?Gavin Newsom
39 markets
30%––
3
Pro Basketball Champion?Oklahoma City
30 markets
38%
▼1

Illinois Democratic Senate nominee?

LIVE
Juliana Stratton
Juliana Stratton0.0% · 0 votes
2.29x
Raja Krishnamoorthi
Raja Krishnamoorthi0.0% · 0 votes
1.62x
$596,800 vol12 markets

News · Democratic candidates in Illinois’ Senate primary are centering their campaigns on opposition to ICE, with ads and messaging focusing heavily on the issue ahead of the March 17 vote, NBC News reports. The leading contenders have taken varying positions, ranging from reforming to abolishing the agency, as the race tests what resonates most with Democratic voters.

Manchester City vs Real Madrid

MarketPays outOdds
Manchester City
Manchester City
1.46x
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
5.25x
$3,140,116 volSpread and Total1 market

News · Kylian Mbappe is set to return for Real Madrid's Champions League clash with Manchester City, while Jude Bellingham will not feature despite traveling with the squad, BBC Sport reports. Real Madrid hold a 3-0 lead from the first leg as they head into the decisive match.

Men's College Basketball Champion

MarketPays outOdds
Duke
Duke
4.98x
Michigan
Michigan
5.25x
$73,079,877 vol66 markets

News · The 68-team field for the men's national college basketball tournament was unveiled Sunday, with Duke earning the top overall seed in the East Region after winning the ACC title, NBC Sports reports. Michigan, Florida, and Arizona also secured No. 1 seeds as teams prepare for the First Four games starting March 17 in Dayton, Ohio.

World Baseball Classic Winner?

MarketPays outOdds
United States
United States
1.38x
Venezuela
Venezuela
3.18x
$15,911,163 volSpread and Total

News · The United States and Venezuela will meet in the 2026 World Baseball Classic championship after both teams advanced with semifinal wins, ESPN reports. The matchup pits a deep U.S. roster seeking redemption against a surging Venezuela squad aiming to cap its tournament run with a title.

#15 or #16 seed to win a game in the Round of 64

MarketPays outOdds
Yes
7.25x
No
1.13x
$100,628 vol

News · The 68-team field for the men’s national college basketball tournament will be announced at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, giving fans their first look at the full bracket, USA TODAY Reports. The reveal comes after most conference championship games wrapped up this weekend, allowing teams and fans to begin preparing for the opening round matchups.

Number of upsets in the Round of 64

MarketPays outOdds
7+ upsets
1.86x
8+ upsets
2.89x
$225,798 vol16 markets

News · The men's college basketball tournament's first round begins this week with 32 games across the field of 64 teams, setting the stage for the opening wave of potential upsets, CBS Sports reports. Analysts expect top contenders to advance but warn that unexpected results often emerge immediately once the bracket tips off.

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

MarketPays outOdds
Republican Party
Republican Party
1.90x
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.93x
$2,445,590 vol

News · Democrats may have new opportunities to compete for Senate seats in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, and Montana as the 2026 midterms approach, according to a political analysis, The Hill Reports. The races could determine control of the chamber as the elections are framed as a referendum on the first year of President Donald Trump’s second term.
1 of 7

Politics

Congress

How long will the government shutdown last?

At least 60 days
1.79x
At least 70 days
2.34x
$4,673,594 vol21 markets
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading
Congress

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029
1.59x
Before 2027
6.67x
$225,218 vol3 markets
Trump

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 2027
5.25x
Before August
11.7x
$1,387,250 vol9 markets
International

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

Between 10% and 19.99%
1.37x
Between 20% and 29.99%
5.26x
$42,812 vol7 markets

Elections

US Elections

2028 Democratic nominee for President?

Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
3.33x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11.1x
$62,163,470 vol39 markets
US Elections

2028 Republican nominee for President?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
2.56x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
3.57x
$22,226,616 vol31 markets
US Elections

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.18x
Republican Party
Republican Party
6.25x
$6,843,320 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Senate winner?

Republican party
Republican party
1.72x
James Talarico
James Talarico
2.27x
$1,743,322 vol2 markets

Companies

AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

xAI
2.27x
OpenAI
1.72x
$856,275 vol14 markets
Elon Musk

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

340000 or more
1.89x
350000 or more
2.38x
$504,559 vol12 markets
BTC

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

Before January 2027
2.13x
Before October 2026
2.78x
$3,886,558 vol8 markets
IPOs

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Anthropic
Anthropic
2.08x
OpenAI
OpenAI
2.08x
$995,006 vol28 markets

Economics

Employment

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Soft landing
1.89x
Stagflation
4.35x
$9,163 vol4 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts
3.85x
Exactly 1 cut
3.85x
$2,126,489 vol21 markets
Employment

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

Yes
1.14x
No
7.25x
$2,905,784 vol1 market
Employment

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

Above 9%
1.92x
Above 8%
1.72x
$9,165 vol10 markets