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News and market highlights

Senate

Who will control the Senate?

$108,406,068 volume

Control of the U.S. Senate is on the line in the 2026 midterms, with Republicans defending a 53-47 majority and Democrats needing a net gain of four seats to retake the chamber, according to 270toWin. Key battlegrounds include Maine, North Carolina, Georgia and Michigan, according to Race to the WH.

Senate

Kansas Senate winner?

$6,301,373 volume

Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall faces Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton in the November 3 general election, with Republicans spending roughly $8 million to defend the seat as Hamilton closes the gap, according to CNBC. Democrats have not won a Kansas Senate race in nearly a century, making Hamilton's bid one of the more closely watched long-shot campaigns of the cycle.

Politics

Blue wave this year?

$3,348,802 volume

Democrats have expanded their list of targeted Republican-held House districts as the 2026 midterms take shape, with inflation and an escalating trade dispute with Canada shaping the economic backdrop, according to Fox News. Republicans hold a sizable financial edge heading into the fall, with the Republican National Committee and Trump-aligned groups outraising Democratic committees by several multiples.

Slide 1 of 10

Control of the U.S. Senate is on the line in the 2026 midterms, with Republicans defending a 53-47 majority and Democrats needing a net gain of four seats to retake the chamber, according to 270toWin. Key battlegrounds include Maine, North Carolina, Georgia and Michigan, according to Race to the WH.

Weekly forecasts

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Popular markets

Senate

Michigan Senate winner?

$16,236,352 volume

Trump

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

$47,805,344 volume

Politics

Blue wave this year?

$3,348,802 volume

Slide 1 of 3
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Midterms Hub

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Midterms Hub

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Monthly forecasts

Gas prices in the US this month?

$4.19forecasted

(−0.3% 1D)▼

How high will BTC get in October?

$86,262.89forecasted

(0% 1D)

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

11forecasted

(0% 1D)

Brent crude oil price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

$112.99forecasted

(+2.3% 1D)▲
Trade forecasts
Democratic Party99.9%67%
Republican Party99.9%33%
0%50%100%
Roger Marshall99.9%51%
Adam Hamilton99.9%49%
0%50%100%
83%chance▲ 6.9
50%75%100%
Abdul El-Sayed99.9%76%
Mike Rogers99.9%24%
0%50%100%
Before Jan 1, 202899.9%50%
Before Jul 1, 202899.9%57%
25%50%75%
83%chance▲ 6.9
50%75%100%

Top movers

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James BondJoe Alwyn
6%
▼92
Klarna Credit Card Spend in October 2026Above 290
97%
▲92
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?Alexa+ / Alexa Plus
2%
▼91