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News and market highlights

Senate

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

$77,597,276 volume

Control of the U.S. Senate is on the line in the 2026 midterms, with Republicans defending a 53-47 majority and Democrats needing a net gain of four seats to retake the chamber, according to 270toWin. Key battlegrounds include Maine, North Carolina, Georgia and Michigan, according to Race to the WH.

Senate

Texas Senate winner?

$36,729,415 volume

Ken Paxton, former Texas attorney general, faces Democrat James Talarico, a state representative, in what has emerged as an unusually competitive race for a Senate seat in a reliably Republican state, according to AP. Paxton won the Republican primary after surviving his 2023 impeachment and acquittal, while Talarico has sought to consolidate support from moderate and independent voters.

Politics

Blue wave this year?

$2,071,037 volume

Democrats have expanded their list of targeted Republican-held House districts as the 2026 midterms take shape, with inflation and an escalating trade dispute with Canada shaping the economic backdrop, according to Fox News. Republicans hold a sizable financial edge heading into the fall, with the Republican National Committee and Trump-aligned groups outraising Democratic committees by several multiples.

Slide 1 of 10

Control of the U.S. Senate is on the line in the 2026 midterms, with Republicans defending a 53-47 majority and Democrats needing a net gain of four seats to retake the chamber, according to 270toWin. Key battlegrounds include Maine, North Carolina, Georgia and Michigan, according to Race to the WH.

Weekly forecasts

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Popular markets

Senate

Michigan Senate winner?

$11,770,446 volume

Trump

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

$47,311,352 volume

Politics

Blue wave this year?

$2,071,037 volume

Slide 1 of 3
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Midterms Hub

$965,558,813 volume

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Midterms Hub

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Monthly forecasts

How high will BTC get in October?

$86,750.00forecasted

(−0.2% 1D)▼

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

11forecasted

(0% 1D)

Gas prices in the US this month?

$4.24forecasted

(+1.5% 1D)▲

Brent crude oil price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

$107.41forecasted

(+1% 1D)▲
Trade forecasts
Democratic Party99.9%67%
Republican Party99.9%33%
0%50%100%
James Talarico99.9%68%
Ken Paxton99.9%32%
0%50%100%
83%chance▲ 6.9
50%75%100%
Abdul El-Sayed99.9%70%
Mike Rogers99.9%30%
0%50%100%
Before Jan 1, 202899.9%48%
Before Jul 1, 202899.9%54%
25%50%75%
83%chance▲ 6.9
50%75%100%