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SCOTUS & courts

TrumpOct 16

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

Before Oct 20, 2026

Before Oct 24, 2026

$2,593,850 vol7 more

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

LIVE

Before Oct 20, 2026

1.05x

Before Oct 24, 2026

1.03x

Before Nov 1, 2026

1.01x

Before Dec 1, 2026

--

$2,593,850 vol5 more

1 of 3

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

1.93x

Before Nov 1, 2027

2.09x

$46,583,524 vol17 markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 22

2.05x

Above 20

1.31x

$311,619 vol12 markets

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 2

5.56x

At least 3

18.8x

$89,483 vol11 markets

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

2.52x

Doug Collins

Doug Collins

Doug Collins

3.08x

$8,068,300 vol30 markets

SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Ilhan Omar

Ilhan Omar

Ilhan Omar

2.59x

Cassidy Hutchinson

Cassidy Hutchinson

Cassidy Hutchinson

2.98x

$2,061,934 vol43 markets

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

160-179

2.01x

140-159

2.66x

$130,617 vol10 markets

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Aug 1, 2027

1.97x

Before Oct 1, 2027

1.70x

$4,923,230 vol10 markets

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

2.40x

Before Jan 1, 2028

2.66x

$22,359,335 vol7 markets

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Above 1

7.85x

Above 3

31.2x

$42,915 vol5 markets

Will Ilhan Omar’s citizenship be revoked this year?

Yes

9.41x

No

1.09x

$45,389 vol1 market

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 190

2.09x

Above 185

1.44x

$101,375 vol10 markets

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Feb 1, 2027

1.65x

Before Apr 1, 2027

1.52x

$1,460,821 vol9 markets

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 290

1.76x

Above 300

2.46x

$15,040 vol8 markets

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 185

1.97x

Above 180

1.67x

$11,793 vol11 markets

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 300

1.60x

Above 310

2.52x

$170,223 vol8 markets

Generic congressional ballot today?

8.1%

1.36x

8.0%

2.29x

$10,595 vol9 markets

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 190

2.19x

Above 185

1.52x

$10,466 vol9 markets

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

Before Nov 20, 2026

2.01x

Before Nov 27, 2026

1.62x

$9,616 vol7 markets

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez

Delcy Rodríguez

Delcy Rodríguez

3.66x

Nicolás Maduro

Nicolás Maduro

Nicolás Maduro

1.26x

$5,722,840 vol18 markets

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Yes

1.38x

No

3.18x

$713,394 vol1 market

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.67x

Before Apr 1, 2027

2.01x

$7,429,900 vol6 markets