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Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh1.05x
Judy Shelton
Judy Shelton18.8x
$167,198,040 vol23 markets

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance3.80x
Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom4.51x
$12,042,278 vol23 markets

2028 Democratic nominee for President?

2028 Democratic nominee for President?
Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom3.08x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7.85x
$49,224,778 vol39 markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes4.98x
No1.20x
$3,031,666 vol1 market

How long will the government shutdown last?

How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 25 days1.93x
At least 30 days2.52x
$799,374 vol15 markets

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Republican Party
Republican Party1.60x
Democratic Party
Democratic Party2.40x
$1,585,991 vol2 markets

Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?

Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Before September 1, 20262.59x
Before July 1, 20262.98x
$19,553,077 vol4 markets

2028 Republican nominee for President?

2028 Republican nominee for President?
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance2.09x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio4.98x
$15,163,221 vol30 markets

Will the Bangladesh July Charter referendum pass?

Will the Bangladesh July Charter referendum pass?
Yes1.02x
No31.2x
$579,551 vol1 market

Who will attend the State of the Union?

Who will attend the State of the Union?
Barron Trump
Barron Trump1.73x
Nick Shirley
Nick Shirley1.73x
$959,826 vol39 markets

When will DHS be funded again?

When will DHS be funded again?
Before Mar 10, 20261.55x
Before Mar 1, 20262.98x
$1,424,094 vol5 markets

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Before January 20, 20293.13x
Before 20276.67x
$5,870,747 vol3 markets

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate2.05x
D-House, D-Senate
D-House, D-Senate2.59x
$846,780 vol4 markets

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Pam Bondi4.13x
Kristi Noem5.25x
$1,278,597 vol24 markets

Keir Starmer Out?

Keir Starmer Out?
Before Jul 1, 20262.01x
Before Sep 1, 20261.65x
$506,630 vol4 markets

How many Supreme Court justices will vote for Trump's tariffs?

How many Supreme Court justices will vote for Trump's tariffs?
32.73x
24.73x
$1,243,643 vol10 markets

When will DHS receive full-year funding?

When will DHS receive full-year funding?
Before Mar 20, 20261.79x
Before Mar 10, 20262.46x
$772,527 vol4 markets

Donald Trump out as President?

Donald Trump out as President?
Before January 20, 20292.29x
Before 20282.73x
$2,657,465 vol5 markets

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Will the SAVE Act become law?
Yes5.25x
No1.19x
$748,763 vol1 market

Texas Democratic Senate nominee?

Texas Democratic Senate nominee?
James Talarico
James Talarico1.57x
Jasmine Crockett
Jasmine Crockett2.46x
$1,917,181 vol11 markets

Who will leave the Trump administration this year?

Who will leave the Trump administration this year?
Pam Bondi
Pam Bondi2.01x
Karoline Leavitt
Karoline Leavitt1.97x
$1,010,057 vol35 markets

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition1.29x
$600 billion to $899 billion18.8x
$766,383 vol8 markets

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds1.26x
James Fishback
James Fishback6.29x
$1,490,526 vol9 markets

California Governor winner? (Person)

California Governor winner? (Person)
Eric Swalwell
Eric Swalwell1.93x
Matt Mahan
Matt Mahan4.51x
$2,574,638 vol25 markets