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SCOTUS & courts

TrumpOct 16

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

$881,815 vol7 more

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

LIVE

Before Jan 1, 2027

1.93x

Before Dec 1, 2026

2.34x

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.22x

Before Jan 1, 2028

1.20x

$881,815 vol5 more

1 of 3

Trump’s approval rating today?

Above 38.7

1.16x

38.5 to 38.7

4.98x

$171,439 vol8 markets

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 310

2.40x

Above 300

1.46x

$159,123 vol8 markets

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?

Amy Gleason

Amy Gleason

Amy Gleason

1.79x

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

2.09x

$8,036,844 vol30 markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 22

1.86x

Above 20

1.31x

$274,318 vol12 markets

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 185

2.14x

Above 180

1.55x

$105,440 vol12 markets

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.44x

Before Apr 1, 2027

1.57x

$7,422,497 vol6 markets

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 1

1.73x

At least 2

5.25x

$54,931 vol11 markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

2.05x

Before Jul 1, 2028

1.73x

$46,510,358 vol17 markets

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

1.79x

Before Aug 1, 2027

2.09x

$4,896,810 vol10 markets

Will Ilhan Omar’s citizenship be revoked this year?

Yes

8.56x

No

1.10x

$25,754 vol1 market

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

160-179

3.08x

180-199

3.52x

$100,810 vol10 markets

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

1.57x

Above 6

2.81x

$97,409 vol8 markets

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 190

2.40x

Above 185

1.55x

$84,922 vol10 markets

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

Nicolás Maduro

Nicolás Maduro

1.22x

Delcy Rodríguez

Delcy Rodríguez

Delcy Rodríguez

4.51x

$5,714,167 vol18 markets

Trump Truth Social posts today?

25-29

4.13x

10-14

2.19x

$12,586 vol8 markets

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Feb 1, 2027

2.09x

Before Apr 1, 2027

1.65x

$1,444,997 vol9 markets

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

October 13

3.96x

October 14

5.90x

$36,505 vol7 markets

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/10-10/16)

At least 15

1.50x

At least 20

4.13x

$30,827 vol7 markets

How many states will Trump visit this month?

At least 22

1.60x

At least 23

1.52x

$80,883 vol16 markets

Generic congressional ballot today?

8.1%

1.31x

8.0%

6.74x

$8,755 vol9 markets

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

2.40x

Before Jan 1, 2028

2.66x

$22,336,073 vol7 markets