When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Sep 1, 2026

1.83x

Before Oct 1, 2026

1.70x

$28,498,936 vol10 markets

SCOTUS & courts

Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?

Yes

11.7x

1.07x

$1,572,416 vol1 market

Tech & Science

When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?

Before Jul 7, 2026

2.29x

Before Jul 10, 2026

1.55x

$1,050,786 vol7 markets

Space

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029

3.18x

Before 2028

4.13x

$29,722,374 vol9 markets

Congress

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes

10.4x

1.09x

$6,616,430 vol1 market

Iran

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before 2027

2.05x

Before December

2.34x

$17,169,985 vol9 markets

Trump

Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?

Yes

1.18x

4.98x

$536,197 vol1 market

Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28)

Above 200

1.34x

Above 225

3.52x

$186,506 vol13 markets

Trump

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

Todd Blanche

1.29x

Lee Zeldin

15.6x

$9,109,150 vol22 markets

Congress

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Before 2027

2.29x

Before August

9.41x

$2,687,835 vol3 markets

Recurring

Trump's approval rating on Friday?

40.5 to 40.7

2.66x

40.8 to 41.0

3.66x

$46,155 vol8 markets

Trump

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

2.09x

Kash Patel

2.09x

$5,522,555 vol32 markets

Politics

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (June 2026)

At least 60

5.56x

At least 50

1.16x

$388,381 vol5 markets

Recurring

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (6/28-7/4)

140-159

3.40x

160-179

3.80x

$39,767 vol9 markets

Culture

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding attendees

Phoebe Bridgers

1.67x

Lorde

1.62x

$205,968 vol21 markets

SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

John Brennan

1.79x

Letitia James

2.34x

$957,391 vol40 markets

Congress

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

Yes

13.4x

1.07x

$599,527 vol1 market

Trump

Will the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act become law?

Before Jul 7, 2026

2.81x

Before Jul 4, 2026

3.29x

$369,734 vol6 markets

Recurring

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (6/29-7/5)

2.01x

2.98x

$13,449 vol4 markets

Trump

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

$0 / No Acquisition

1.19x

$100 billion to $299 billion

23.4x

$1,443,834 vol8 markets

Trump

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before 2028

1.46x

Before Jan 20, 2029

1.28x

$7,132,546 vol4 markets

Trump

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 2027

8.56x

Before August

46.8x

$4,209,515 vol3 markets

Recurring

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (6/28 - 7/4)

Above 2

2.40x

Above 1

1.23x

$14,131 vol3 markets

International

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Before Jan 1, 2027

2.09x

Before Dec 1, 2026

2.81x

$850,689 vol9 markets