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Politics

SCOTUS & courts

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Oct 1, 2027

$8,002,648 vol6 more

Will the Clarity Act become law?

MarketPays outOdds

Before Jan 1, 2028

2.05x

Before Oct 1, 2027

2.24x

Before Jul 1, 2027

2.59x

Before Apr 1, 2027

2.89x

$8,002,648 vol4 more

1 of 3

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

1.73x

Before Jul 1, 2027

2.24x

$43,205,192 vol9 markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029

4.51x

Before 2028

6.74x

$36,667,717 vol6 markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)

Above 35

2.52x

Above 30

1.29x

$133,664 vol11 markets

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes

11.7x

No

1.08x

$3,228,967 vol1 market

Which leaders will leave office this year?

Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

2.09x

Christopher Luxon

Christopher Luxon

Christopher Luxon

1.97x

$8,943,441 vol34 markets

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/6-9/12)

160-179

1.10x

180-199

5.90x

$125,437 vol10 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?

Yes

15.6x

No

1.05x

$1,655,565 vol1 market

Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?

Before Jan 1, 2028

2.13x

Before Sep 1, 2027

3.13x

$3,089,512 vol4 markets

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

2.98x

Before Jan 1, 2028

4.51x

$20,834,742 vol8 markets

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027

13.4x

Before Dec 1, 2026

15.6x

$4,014,551 vol4 markets

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Dec 1, 2026

2.89x

Before Nov 1, 2026

5.56x

$1,224,703 vol3 markets

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?

Before Jan 1, 2027

1.83x

Before Jan 1, 2028

1.13x

$31,498 vol2 markets

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?

Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

2.98x

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

3.40x

$7,623,196 vol30 markets

How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed next year?

Above 900

1.76x

Above 1,000

2.59x

$48,718 vol7 markets

Trump’s RCP approval average tomorrow?

39.3%

1.83x

39.2%

3.29x

$5,673 vol9 markets

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Before Jun 1, 2027

2.34x

Before Jan 31, 2028

1.36x

$980,847 vol6 markets

Trump’s approval rating on Friday?

39.1 to 39.3

3.80x

39.4 to 39.6

4.31x

$8,873 vol8 markets

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?

Yes

1.04x

No

10.4x

$35,122 vol1 market

When will Trump, Zelenskyy and Putin meet together?

Before Jan 20, 2029

2.19x

Before Jan 1, 2028

2.52x

$10,112 vol3 markets

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Before Jan 20, 2029

2.73x

Before 2027

5.90x

$559,998 vol2 markets

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Yes

1.44x

No

2.73x

$556,145 vol1 market